Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#901 Cincinnati Reds 10 vs.
#902 Chicago Cubs -150
Saturday, May 25, 2019 at 2:20pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino



#901 Cincinnati
#902 Chicago


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The Chicago Cubs will host the Cincinnati Reds as the NL Central foes resume a three games series Saturday afternoon from Wrigley Field. The Reds will give the nod to 24-year old right-hander Tyler Mahle, and the Cubs will counter with 32-year old right-hander Yu Darvish. The Reds lead the season series 3-1 which included a 6-5 win on Friday.

Mahle Shuts Out Dodgers in First Win of Season

Tyler Mahle will get the call for the 11th time of the year, aiming for his second straight win. Mahle came through with one of his best performances of the season last time out, tossing six shutout innings against the Dodgers, leading to the win to lift his record to 1-5. The young right-hander was sharp in three of his four starts this month, and he features a 3.51 ERA and a terrific 1.17 WHIP in 41.1 innings logged. He has fared well in his three career starts against the Cubs, registering a stifling 2.41 ERA and a 2-1 record. Wilson Contreras is 2 for 8 against Mahle, while Anthony Rizzo is 1 for 8, and Javier Baez is 4 for 8.

Derek Dietrich has quietly been one of the Reds best hitters this month, belting seven homers with 13 RBI’s. The seventh-year left fielder owns a .240 average with 12 home runs and 27 RBI’s on the season. Dietrich is 2 for 13 against the Cubs this season, and he has hit two home runs in his last four games.

The Reds are scoring an average of 4.10 runs per game, ranking them 22nd overall. The Cincinnati pitching has been a bright spot, carrying a 3.50 team ERA, good for third in the big leagues. The Reds own an 11-16 road record entering Friday’s play.

Darvish Still Hunting for First Home Win

Yu Darvish will get the starting nod for the 11th time of the season, seeking his first victory since late April. Darvish tallied the Quality Start in his latest outing, holding the Phillies to three runs in six innings, resulting in a no-decision in a game the Cubs lost 5-4. The veteran right-hander is turning the corner after a rocky start to the season, although he still owns a poor 5.06 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP accompanied with a 2-3 record in 48 innings pitched. He battled the Reds last week and held them to just two runs in 5.1 innings in a no-decision, and he is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in four career meetings against Cincinnati. Joey Votto is 2 for 10 against Darvish, while Yasiel Puig is 0 for 2, and Eugenio Suarez is 1 for 7.

Anthony Rizzo was out of the lineup against the Reds last week, however, he drove in 14 runs against the Reds last season. The 29-year old first baseman is on a roll, clubbing four home runs with nine RBI’s in his last six games. Rizzo is currently hitting .279 with 14 home runs and 38 RBI’s on the season.

The Cubs deep lineup stands third in the Majors with an average of 5.42 runs per game. The Chicago pitching staff features a 3.64 team ERA, positioning them fifth in the Major Leagues. The Cubs feature a 17-9 record at Wrigley Field.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I am siding with the Reds in this one. The Reds are playing well in the midst of a tough schedule. They own a competitive 5-3 record in their last eight games which occurred against the Cubs, Dodgers, and Brewers. Reds’ starter Tyler Mahle has shut down the Cubs in his career, limiting them to only five runs in 18.2 innings.

Furthermore, Cubs’ starter Yu Darvish can’t seem to find a comfort level at Wrigley Field. He stands at 0-2 with a terrible 5.92 ERA at Wrigley Field this season. The Reds have won three straight against the Cubs and I like them in this one.

Prediction: Cincinnati Reds

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


The under is a strong play in this clash. These two teams did not see many runs scored in their series last week. The Reds only plated a combined 11 runs in three games, plus the under is 4-1 in their last five games at Wrigley Field.

In addition, the Cubs only scored 10 runs against the Reds last week. Tyler Mahle has been reliable and Yu Darvish should at least contain the Reds considering he limited them to two runs in 5.1 innings last week. The under is 7-1-1 in Mahle’s last 9 starts overall, and it should hit again in this one.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:


I am taking the under on the Cubs team total on PointsBet. The Reds have faced difficult lineups recently and they have held their own. They shutout the Dodgers and Brewers this past week, and the Reds posted a 2.89 ERA team ERA in three games against the Cubs last week. The Cubs are only hitting .229 as a team in four games against the Reds this season.

Prediction: Cubs Team Total Under

First Five Innings Side Pick

Insiders Status:


I am staying with the Reds on the five-inning line. Tyler Mahle features a stifling 2.31 ERA over his last four starts, and he shut down the A’s and Dodgers in that span. Also, while Darvish should limit the damage against the Reds, he is still carrying a 5.12 ERA on the month.

Prediction: Cincinnati Reds

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.