Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#927 Detroit Tigers 9.5 vs.
#928 New York Mets -175
Saturday, May 25, 2019 at 4:10pm EDT
Written by David Hess

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#927 Detroit
#928 New York
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Saturday afternoon interleague MLB action and the American League Central will duke it out with the National League East as the Detroit Tigers grapple with the New York Mets in game two of their three-game series from Citi Field in New York.

Pitching Matchup: The Tigers will trot out Ryan Carpenter (0-2, 13.00 ERA) and the Mets will counter with Jason Vargas (1-2, 5.92 ERA).

Tigers Top Mets To End Skid

The Detroit Tigers were just swept at home against Miami, while the Mets were sweeping the Nationals in a four-game series at home. That’s right, the Tigers went into New York and won game one of this series by a score of 9-8. The win broke a nine-game slide that the Tigers were on and they will now look to win two games in a row for the first time since sweeping a doubleheader against the Red Sox back on April 23rd. Detroit needs to start stringing together some wins as they are currently in 4th place in the American League Central and 14 games out of first. They are also sitting 6.5 games out of the 2nd wildcard spot in the American League. Detroit does have three on the road against the lowly Orioles in their next series, followed by three at Atlanta.

Winning game one of this series was huge for them. They won by a score of 9-8 and leading their offensive attack was Jacoby Jones, who had two hits and drove in four runs. One hit was his 5th round-tripper of the year, while Miguel Cabrera (2) also went deep in the contest. The Tigers pounded out 14 hits in the game and they needed every one of them as the pitching was not very good. Gregory Soto got the start and allowed five ERs on six hits in just 3.2 innings of work. He got a no-decision while snatching up the win was Buck Farmer (3-3, 4.29 ERA). Shane Green picked up his 16th save. The Tigers have now allowed a whopping 7.60 rpg over their last 10 completed games.

Getting the nod for the Tigers will be Ryan Carpenter who has gone 0-2 with a 13.00 ERA in two starts on the year. Carpenter has allowed 14 runs (13 earned) on 16 hits and four walks with seven strikeouts in 9.0 innings of work so far. In his career, he has gone 1-4 with an 8.90 ERA in eight games (seven starts) overall, including 1-0 with a 5.05 ERA in one start on the road and 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA in three day starts. Carpenter has never faced the Mets. He was 1-4 with a 4.15 ERA in seven starts for Toledo (AAA) this year.

The Tigers have been poor on offense so far as they come in ranked 29th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.41 rpg, while also ranking 25th in hitting at .224 and 29th in homers with 39. On the mound, they have been poor as they rank 24th in the league in ERA at 5.00, while also ranking 25th in WHIP at 1.42 and 27th in K’s with 389. Their pen ranks 27th in ERA at 5.57.

Five Homers Were Not Enough

The New York Mets just came off of a four-game home sweep against the Nationals and they outscored them 23-13 in the four-game set. The Mets could not keep the momentum going as they lost in game one of this series by a score of 9-8. The offense remained strong for the Mets and they have now averaged 6.2 rpg over their last five games, but the pitching struggled and that cost them in this game. New York lost, despite hitting five homers in the contest. Amed Rosario (5), Pete Alonso (17), Wilson Ramos (3), Adeiny Hechavarria (1) and newly acquired Aaron Altherr (1) all went deep for the Mets. Hechavarria led them with three RBIs.

Noah Syndergaard has posted ERA’s of 3.03, 2.97, and 2.60 the last three years, but it has been a much different story for him this year. Syndergaard got a no-decision in game one and he struggled as he allowed six ERs on 10 hits and a walks in 5.1 innings of work. He did post nine Ks, but his ERA rose to 4.93 on the year. Not good and the Mets will need the Syndergaard that showed up the last three years if they hope to land a playoff spot. Drew Gagnon allowed three ERs on three hits and a walk in an inning ofd work to take the loss and fall to 3-1 with a 4.80 ERA on the year. The Mets are now back to 5.5 games out of first in the National League East and they really have the look of a team that will be very inconsistent the rest of the season.

Taking the hill for the Mets will be Jason Vargas and he has gone 1-2 with a 5.92 ERA in seven games six starts on the year, including 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in four games (three starts) here at home. In his career, he has gone 4-5 with a 4.14 ERA in 11 games (10 starts) here at Citi Field and 22-12 with a 3.61 ERA in 53 games (47 starts) during the month of May, plus 10-10 with a 4.34 ERA in 28 games (27 starts) in interleague play and 22-29 with a 4.15 ERA in 77 games (72 starts) in the daytime. Vargas has gone 4-6 with a 6.38 ERA in 13 career starts against the Tigers.

The Mets have been a below average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 17th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.60 rpg, while also ranking 17th in hitting at .245 and 20th in homers with 61. On the mound, they have been below average as they come in ranked 21st in the league in ERA at 4.50, while also ranking 19th in WHIP at 1.35 and 9th in K’s with 466. The bullpen ranks 21st in the league with a 4.47 ERA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Jason Vargas has been putrid the last couple of year, but the Mets are still 9-4 in his last 13 starts and Ryan Carpenter has been horrid in his brief MLB carer the last two years so far. The Mets have been playing a bit better of late, while the Tigers have gone into freefall mode. I feel that the Met offense will do a bit more damage to Carpenter than the very weak Tiger offense will do to Vargas. The Tigers have played well in this series, but this one will go the way of the Mets.

Prediction: New York

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I will look for this game to go Over the total. That is a bit o=dd for me as I normally look at the Under in Met home games, but it is hard to do here with the Pitching that is on the mound. Jason Vargas has a 5.92 ERA on the year and a 6.38 ERA in his career against the Tigers, while Carpenter has an 8.90 ERA in his brief MLB career. The Over is 7-1 in Detroit’s last eight interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter and 8-3-1 in New York’s last 12 interleague games overall.

Prediction: Over

Written By David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.