Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#903 Miami Marlins 8 vs.
#904 Washington Nationals -205
Saturday, May 25, 2019 at 4:05pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins will continue a four games series Saturday afternoon from Nationals Park. The Marlins will send 23-year old right-hander Sandy Alcantara to the hill, and 29-year old left-hander Patrick Corbin will take the mound for the Nationals. The Marlins won two of three against the Nationals in Miami last month.

Alcantara Records Complete Game Shutout

Sandy Alcantara will get the call for the 10th time of the season in this contest. Alcantara was brilliant in his previous effort, firing a complete game, two-hit shutout against the Mets for his second win of the season. Overall, the third-year right-hander has not been dependable this season, and he enters this one with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP to go along with a 2-4 record in 53 innings of work. Alcantara has yet to see Washington this season, and he has served up nine runs on 13 hits in his eight career innings pitched against the Nationals.

The red-hot Marlins do not have a player with more than 16 RBI’s on the season. Jorge Alfaro has collected  13 RBI’s along with six home runs and a .244 average on the season. The 25-year old catcher is 0 for 7 against the Nationals pitching this season. Alfaro has cooled off, driving in only four runs with one home run on the month.

The low-scoring Marlins are last in all of baseball with an average of 2.85 runs per game on the season. The Miami putting staff is carrying  4.36 team ERA, positioning them 17th in the Majors. The Marlins stand at 7-14 on the road this season entering Friday. Miami has won six consecutive games heading into Friday.

Corbin Looks to Rebound From Rare Rocky Outing

The Nationals will have Patrick Corbin on the mound for the 11th time of the year in this one. Corbin wasn’t at his best in his previous start, conceding four runs including two home runs in five innings against the Mets, resulting in the defeat to drop his record to 4-2. The veteran southpaw is having a terrific season, registering a 3.25 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in 63.2 innings. He has yet to face the Marlins this season, and stand at 1-1 with a weak 4.62 ERA in six career starts. Starlin Castro is 0 for 5 against Corbin, while Martin Prado is 3 for 8, and Brian Anderson is 1 for 3.

The Nationals are glad to have Trea Turner back in the lineup after missing a majority of the season with a finger injury. The speedy 25-year old shortstop has collected seven hits in seven games upon his return to action, and he is hitting .261 with two homers and five RBI’s in 11 games on the season. Turner dominated the Marlins pitching last season, crushing four homers along with 19 RBI’s.

The Nationals are currently averaging 4.38 runs per game, ranking them 20th in the big leagues. The Washington pitching staff has been shaky recently, and they hold a 4.94 team ERA, placing them down at 24th in the Majors. The Nationals stand at 10-14 at home this season.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am siding with the Nationals in this contest, and I recommend a play on the run line (-1.5) for added value. Nats’ starter Patrick Corbin wasn’t at his best last time out, however, he usually bounces back with a strong performance after a rocky outing. Corbin features a dazzling 2.66 ERA over his last four starts, and he pitched against the Phillies and Dodgers in that span.

Furthermore, while the Marlins are playing well recently, they were up against a slumping Mets offense and a weak Tigers team that is really scuffling. Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara has struggled against the Nationals, surrendering nine runs in eight career innings.

Prediction: Washington Nationals -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am taking the under in this one. I expect a majority of the scoring to occur from the Nationals with very little offense from Miami up against Corbin. The Marlins stand last in the Majors with a .599 OPS against lefties this season, and I can’t see them solving Corbin, plus the under is 16-6-1 in the Marlins’ last 23 road games.

In addition, the Nationals should generate offense against Alcantara, but they are not exactly knocking the cover off the ball, averaging 4.3 runs in their last ten games entering Friday, plus the under is 4-1 in Alcantara’s last 5 road starts.

Prediction: Under

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.