Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#925 San Diego Padres -120 vs.
#926 Toronto Blue Jays 9.5
Saturday, May 25, 2019 at 3:07pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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It’s the continuation of an interleague set on the diamond north of the border. The San Diego Padres are on the road as they play the middle game of a three-game series with the Toronto Blue Jays Saturday afternoon. San Diego swept a three-game series at home against Arizona, taking a 5-2 victory on Wednesday afternoon. Toronto closed a four-game series at home against Boston on Thursday afternoon, falling 8-2. The pitching matchup for Friday’s series opener saw Joey Lucchesi take the mound for the Padres against the Blue Jays’ Trent Thornton. First pitch in the contest was scheduled for 7:07 pm ET.

San Diego Padres Look for Road Success

San Diego reeled off a third straight win as they shut the Diamondbacks down to sweep the series. The Padres entered Friday second in the NL West, six games behind the Dodgers in the division race. Greg Garcia (two runs, RBI) led San Diego with three hits while Franmil Reyes (run), Eric Hosmer (run, two RBI) and Austin Hedges (run) each added a pair of hits in the contest. Eric Lauer (3-4) turned in a solid outing as he picked up the win: he allowed one run on four hits with no walks and seven strikeouts over seven innings. Kirby Yates worked the ninth for his 20th save of the season.

Cal Quantrill takes the mound for his fourth major league start for the Padres in this contest. He is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA, a 1.733 WHIP, five walks and 10 strikeouts over 15 innings of action at the big league level. Quantrill took the loss in his last start, which came at home against the Pirates Sunday afternoon. He allowed five runs on eight hits with two walks and two strikeouts over five innings in a 6-4 Padres defeat. In his fourth major league start, he pitches against the Blue Jays for the first time. As a result, this marks his first career outing at Rogers Centre. Quantrill was 4-1 with a 4.80 ERA, a 1.433 WHIP, nine walks and 19 strikeouts over 30 innings in six starts for Triple-A El Paso of the Pacific Coast League. In his career, he is 20-22 with a 4.49 ERA, a 1.441 WHIP, 100 walks and 308 strikeouts over 331 innings in 68 career minor league starts.

Toronto Blue Jays Hoping to Climb Toward .500

Toronto dropped three of four at home to the Red Sox as they were clubbed in the finale Thursday. The Blue Jays entered Friday’s action fourth in the AL East, 12.5 games behind the Yankees in the division. Brandon Drury was the lone player for Toronto with two hits in the game as the team finished with five. Justin Smoak cracked a solo homer, his ninth of the year, while Freddy Galvis drove in the other Blue Jays run. Clayton Richard didn’t factor in the decision as he allowed a run on two hits with two walks and two strikeouts over four innings. Sam Gaviglio (3-1) took the loss as he allowed two runs on four hits with no walks and one strikeout over two innings of relief.

Edwin Jackson is in line to take the ball for his third start of the season for the Blue Jays after being picked up as a free agent. He is 0-1 with a 6.30 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, two walks and six strikeouts over 10 innings of work. Jackson took the loss in his last start, which came at home against Boston on Monday night. He threw five innings, allowing six runs (five earned) on seven hits with a walk and four strikeouts in a 12-2 Toronto defeat. Jackson is 1-6 with a 6.05 ERA, a 1.688 WHIP, 23 walks and 48 strikeouts over 64 innings in 16 career appearances, 11 starts, against the Padres. He is 2-1 with a 3.58 ERA, a 1.144 WHIP, 19 walks and 46 strikeouts over 60.1 innings in 10 appearances, nine starts, at Rogers Centre.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Toronto has been inconsistent at best this season and going with a guy that set a major league record by pitching for his 14th team shows how rough the pitching has been for the team this season. On the flip side, the Padres are going with a lot of young, unproven arms yet are still hanging around the .500 mark. San Diego has some decent hitters in their lineup to work with and fans could get a look at two of the hot rookies in the league in Fernando Tatis Jr. and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. on the same field. The Padres are the better team: look for Quantrill to get his first big league win as he shuts Toronto down here.

Prediction: San Diego Padres -115

Full-Game Total Pick

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This is a prove-it game for Quantrill, whose hold on the #5 starter role for San Diego is shaky after his struggles in his first two outings. He gets an opportunity to pitch in his home province for the first time. Toronto has struggled at the plate this season, hitting a collective .218 on the year: that number drops to just .208 over the past month, which is a major cause for concern. The Blue Jays haven’t been generating offense with any consistency: can they find a way to break out and support the journeyman Jackson on the mound in this one?

The over is 4-0 in the Padres’ last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400, 4-1 in their last 5 on astroturf and 8-3-1 in their last 12 on Saturday. Toronto has seen the over go 3-0-1 in their last four on astroturf, 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record, 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games and 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Given the suspect pitching on both sides here, this one ends up squeaking over the total thanks to some long balls.

Prediction: Over 9.5

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.