Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#979 Baltimore Orioles 11.5 vs.
#980 Colorado Rockies -315
Sunday, May 26, 2019 at 3:10pm EDT
Written by David Hess

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Sunday afternoon on the MLB diamond and the American League East will duke it out with the National League West as the Baltimore Orioles grapple with the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado in game three of their three-game series.

Pitching Matchup: Toeing the slab for the Orioles will be David Hess (1-6, 6.75 ERA) and he will be opposed by German Marquez (5-2, 3.38 ERA).

(Was Written Prior To Last Night’s Game)

Orioles Serve Up Four More Round-Trippers

The Baltimore Orioles have had many issues in serving up the long ball so a trip to Coors Field is not the best thing for them. We do note that coming into this series, Coors Field was just middle of the pack in terms of homer, but we also note that the Orioles had yet to play here. In game one of this series, the Orioles wrapped three homers, while serving up four. They have now allowed 111 home runs on the year and that puts them on pace to surrender 352 dingers on the season. That will obliterate the previous record of 258 homers allowed in a season, which was set by the 2016 Cincinnati Reds. This is a horrible team on the mound for sure and they are likely to serve up a few more in this series.

The offense hasn’t been great, but Coors Field will help most offenses put up some runs and the Orioles did score six in the opener. It just wasn’t enough. The Orioles had 10 hits in the game with three of them coming from Hanser Alberto, while  Dwight Smith Jr (9), Keon Broxton (1), and Renato Nunez (11) all went deep for Baltimore. John Means got the start and allowed three ERs on seven hits in 5.0 innings of work to take a no-decision. Mychal Givens (0-3, 5.64 ERA) took the loss. The Orioles will enter their game on Saturday with the worst record in baseball and they are already 18.5 games out of first in the American League East.

Toeing the rubber for the Orioles will be David Hess and he has gone 1-6 with a 6.75 ERA in 10 games (nine starts) on the year, including 1-3 with a 4.78 ERA in six games (five starts) on the road. Hess has allowed 17 round-trippers on the year overall, including eight on the road. In his career, he has gone 2-10 with a 5.08 ERA in 19 games (17 starts) out on the road and 2-4 with a 5.48 ERA in eight starts in May, plus 0-2 with a 7.02 ERA in four games (three starts) in interleague play and 1-6 with a 5.83 ERA in 12 games (10 starts) in the daytime. Hess has never faced the Rockies.

The Orioles have a rather poor offensive team so far as they come in ranked 23rd in the league in scoring, putting up 3.98 rpg, while also ranking 23rd in hitting at .236 and 19th in homers with 62. On the mound, they have been very poor as they come in ranked 30th in the league in ERA at 5.83, while also ranking 29th in WHIP at 1.49 and 28th in K’s with 386. The bullpen ranks 29th in the league with a 6.17 ERA.

Story Lifts Rockies In Game One

The Colorado Rockies are trying to claw their way back to the .500 mark and a home series against the Orioles is a good way to start. Still, Baltimore led for much of game one before the Rockies rallied and eventually won on a two-run homer by Trevor Story in the bottom of the 9th. It was his 2nd of the game and 13th of the year. Nolan Arenado also had a big game with two homers and he now has 13 on the year as well. It would have been an embarrassing loss for the Rockies as the Orioles are clearly the worst team in the league at the moment.

The offense continues to be solid for the Rockies, especially at home where they have averaged 6.05 rpg and that leads the league. They will look to keep their offense rolling against this horrid pitching staff that is on pace to crush the record for most homers allowed in a season. Grabbing the win in game one was Scott Oberg (2-0, 1.69 ERA). Jeff Hoffman continues to struggle as he now has an 8.10 ERA on the year after allowing five ERs on seven hits and two walks in 5.0 inning of work in game one, but he was bailed out by his offense. Colorado needs to win games like this as they are currently nine games out of first in the National League West.

The Rockies will trot out German Marquez and he has gone 5-2 with a 3.38 ERA in 11 starts on the year, including 2-1 with a 5.34 ERA in five starts here at home. In his career, he has gone 15-10 with a 4.82 ERA in 37 games (36 starts) here at Coors Field and 9-3 with a 3.34 ERA in 14 starts during the month of May, plus 5-0 with a 2.52 ERA in 10 interleague starts and 11-9 with a 3.84 ERA in 29 day starts. Marquez has never faced the Orioles.

Colorado has been a solid offensive team so far as they come in ranked 8th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.20 rpg, while also ranking 10th in hitting at .253 and 17th in homers with 65. On the mound, they have been poor as they rank 24th in the league in ERA at 5.03, while also ranking 24th in WHIP at 1.41 and 25th in K’s with 405. The pen for the Rockies ranks 13th in the league with a 4.01 ERA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

There is no way in the world I would back David Hess in this one as there are some ugly numbers attached to him and the Rockies have the best home offense in the league. Hess has pitched in 31 games in his career with 28 of them coming as a starter and he is 4-16 overall in his career. He has only beaten two teams in his career with two wins coming against Tampa Bay and two coming against Toronto. He has not beaten another team in the league and he won’t here. Hess has gone just 2-10 with a 5.08 ERA on the road in his career and -=2 with a 7.02 ERA in interleague play. German Marquez has struggled at home with a 5.34 ERA, but he is 2-1 in his home starts and he is 5-0 with a 2.52 ERA in 10 career interleague starts. Lastly, we note that the Orioles are 5-22 in Hess’ last 27 starts overall. Take the Rockies in this one.

Prediction: Colorado -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Coors Field is the best offensive park in the league so far and we have the best home offense in the league going up against the worst staff in the league. Colorado will be able to score a ton in this one. The Orioles do not have a great offense, but they scored six runs in game one and Marquez has a 5.34 ERA here at home. The Rockies have allowed 6.90 rpg at home and Marquez’s home starts have averaged 11.60 rpg. The Over is 5-1 in Hess’ last 6 starts during game three of a series and 12-3-1 in Colorado’s last 16 during game three of a series.

Prediction: Over 11.5

Written By David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.