Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#967 Boston Red Sox 8.5 vs.
#968 Houston Astros -165
Sunday, May 26, 2019 at 2:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Houston Astros and the Boston Red Sox will wrap up a three-game series in an AL showdown Sunday afternoon from Minute Maid Park. The Red Sox will give the call to 26-year old left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez, and the Astros will counter with 36-year old right-hander Justin Verlander. The Astros lead the season series 3-1.

Rodriguez Shelled for Second Straight Start

Eduardo Rodriguez will get the call for the 11th time of the year, looking to get back on track after a series of rough outings. Rodriguez surrendered six runs including three home runs in five innings against the Blue Jays last time out, leading to the defeat to bring his record to 4-3. The young left-hander has served up 11 runs over his last two starts which has inflated his ERA to 5.43 to go with a 1.46 WHIP and a 4-3 record in 54.2 innings of work. The Astros have done big damage against Rodriguez as he has surrendered 11 runs paired with an 0-2 record in three career starts. Alex Bregman is 2 for 4 against Rodriguez, and Carlos Correa is 4 for 5.

Xander Bogaerts is a big threat at the plate recently, collecting 11 hits along with seven RBI’s in his last six games. The veteran shortstop is having his best month of the season and he is hitting .289 with nine homers and 33 RBI’s on the year. Bogaerts is a solid 6 for 14 with three RBI’s against the Astros this season.

The Red Sox potent lineup continues to excel, and they are fifth in all of baseball with an average of 5.29 runs per game. The Boston pitching staff is carrying a 4.28 team ERA, pegging them 15th in the Major Leagues. The Red Sox own a 14-14 road record on the season heading into Saturday.

Verlander Dazzles in Fourth Consecutive Victory

The Astros will have Justin Verlander on the mound for the 12th time of the season. Verlander will be looking to continue his dominance after limiting the White Sox to only one run in eight innings in a 5-1 victory in his latest effort. The former MVP winner is locked in, allowing only two runs over his last three starts, and he features a dazzling 2.24 ERA and a 0.73 WHIP accompanied with an 8-1 record in 72.1 innings of work. Verlander has enjoyed success against the Red Sox in his career, sporting a sharp 2.89 ERA and a 5-5 record in 18 career starts. Andrew Benintendi is 1 for 9 against Verlander, while Xander Bogaerts is 4 for 17, and JD Martinez is 2 for 3.

Watch for Carlos Correa in this one as he is 4 for 5 with two walks against the Red Sox’ starter Eduardo Rodriguez. The 24-year old shortstop continues to shine, recording at least one RBI in five out of his last seven games, and he features a .284 average with 11 home runs and 33 RBI’s. Correa is 2 for 14 with three RBI’s against the Red Sox this season. Jose Altuve remains out of the Astros lineup this weekend. George Springer has landed on the 10-day injured list with a left hamstring injury.

The Astros stand sixth in the big leagues with an average of 5.27 runs per game on the year. The Houston pitching continues to shine, registering a fantastic 3.41 team ERA, good for second in the Major Leagues. The Astros feature a dominant 19-6 home record entering Saturday’s action.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am confident taking the Astros with Verlander on the hill. The Astros are a lock with Verlander pitching at home. They have won in each of his four home starts, and Verlander features a minuscule 1.55 ERA at Minute Maid Park.

Furthermore, another reason I am staying away from Boston is the performance of Red Sox’ starter Eduardo Rodriguez. He was hit hard in his last two starts, surrendering a combined 11 runs in 11 innings against the Rockies and Blue Jays. The Astros have won 19 out of their 25 home games on the season entering Saturday, and I expect Verlander to lead them to another home win.

Prediction: Houston Astros

Full-Game Total Pick

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I am opting with the under with Verlander on the hill. The under has been a rewarding wager with him on the mound all season as it has converted in 9 out of his 11 starts on the season. Verlander is showing no signs of slowing down, and he has only allowed two runs over his last three starts spread across 22 innings, and the under is also 5-0 in his last five home starts.

In addition, these two clubs played to three low scoring games in Boston last week. The Red Sox only plated a total of eight runs in the three-game series, and they played to a low-scoring 4-3 decision on Friday night. Lastly, the under is 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two sides entering Saturday.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The under on the Red Sox team total is a strong option offered by PointsBet. Verlander has excelled against the Astros in his career, recording a stellar 2.89 ERA, and the Red Sox key hitters such as Xander Bogaerts, Mookie Betts, and Andrew Benintendi are all hitting below .240 against the right-hander. Also, Verlander has allowed one or fewer earned runs in seven out of his last eight starts.

Prediction: Red Sox Team Total Under

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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I am taking the Astros to strike first on PointsBet. Justin Verlander has only conceded two runs on five hits in his 11 innings logged in the first inning this season. Also, Red Sox’ starter Eduardo Rodriguez is decent in the first inning, however, he owns a 4.50 ERA in the second frame, and the Astros are hitting a terrific .319 as a team in the second inning.

Prediction: Astros to Score First
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.