Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#903 Atlanta Braves vs.
#904 Washington Nationals
Tuesday, May 4, 2021 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Washington Nationals battle the Atlanta Braves as the NL East foes open a three-game series on Tuesday evening. The Braves pitching continues to be an issue and will have Huascar Ynoa on the hill. The Nationals have won four consecutive games and will send Joe Ross to the mound. The Braves lead the season series 2-1.

Braves Swept by Blue Jays

The Braves give Huascar Ynoa the nod for the seventh time of the season on Tuesday. Ynoa was brilliant in his previous start, tossing 5.1 shutout innings against the Cubs, propelling a 2-1 win. The young right-hander has really helped a Braves pitching staff dealing with significant injuries. Ynoa has compiled a stellar 2.96 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP in 27.1 innings of work. He tossed five scoreless innings against the Nationals last month and has conceded seven runs in 13.1 career innings against the rivals.

The Braves' inconsistent play continues and they are fortunate to be playing in a division where no team has found a groove. Atlanta recently won three straight against the Cubs and went on to lose four consecutive games including a sweep by the Blue Jays this past weekend.

Marcell Ozuna has broken out of his slump which is great news for the Braves offense. The 30-year old slugger has launched two big flys along with five RBI’s in his last five games overall. Ozuna now has 15 RBI’s and is 1 for 9 against the Nationals this season.

Atlanta is scoring an average of 4.61 runs per game on the season, good for 13th in the big leagues. They are carrying a Major League worst 5.06 team ERA.

Ross Eyes Third Win, Nats Silence Marlins

The Nats will have Joe Ross on the hill for the fifth time of the year on Tuesday. Ross was stellar in his previous outing, limiting the Mets to just one run in six innings in a 7-1 win. The veteran right-hander has been tremendous with the exception of one disastrous start in which he gave up a whopping 10 runs which inflated his season ERA to 4.64 along with a 1.22 WHIP and a 2-1 record. Ross has struggled against the Braves, going 1-3 with an awful 6.98 ERA in 29.2 innings.

The Nationals are gaining momentum after winning four straight games overall propelled by stellar pitching. They allowed just four runs in their sweep over division rival Miami this past weekend. Washington continues to play without their best hitter in Juan Soto.

Victor Robles hasn’t been able to find his swing this season. The young center fielder is only hitting .229 with one RBI and a .635 OPS. He is starting to rebound, collecting four hits in his last four games. Robles is 2 for 7 with four walks against the Braves pitching this season.

Washington is averaging 3.63 runs per game, ranking them 28th in the Majors. The pitching staff has posted a 4.15 team ERA, positioning them 17th overall.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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It’s been an uninspiring season for the Braves but overall this team is much better than their record indicates. They have Huascar Ynoa starting this one and the right-hander has been outstanding, limiting his opponents to two or fewer runs in all but one of his starts. Also, he tossed five shutout innings in a 2-0 win against the Nationals last month.

Furthermore, the Braves have feasted on Nats’ starter Joe Ross. The right-hander owns an abysmal 6.98 ERA in 29.2 career innings against the division foes. The Braves won two of three over the Nationals last month and I expect another victory in this one.

Prediction: Atlanta Braves -141

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Braves offensive production hasn’t been the issue in their struggles. They have scored at least five runs in five out of their last seven games overall and as mentioned Joe Ross has no answer for the Braves offense. The over is also 4-1 in the Braves’ last five clashes overall.

In addition, while I expect Ynoa to contain the Nats, they have scored a combined 12 runs in their three games against Atlanta this season and Atlanta’s bullpen ranks near the bottom with a 4.70 ERA on the season. The over is a convincing 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings between these foes.

Prediction: Over 8.5

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The Braves offense will have a big performance at the plate. Atlanta has scored at least five runs in two of their three games against the Nationals this season which included a seven-inning doubleheader. Several of the Braves’ top hitters feature an average of at least .300 against Joe Ross.

Prediction: Braves Team Total Over 4.5

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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I expect the Braves to score first. Atlanta won’t be happy after their sweep against Toronto and I expect them to come out swinging against a Joe Ross. The Braves’ highest scoring stretch occurs in innings 1-3 with a combined 50 runs.

Prediction: Braves to Score First
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Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.