Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#909 New York Mets vs.
#910 St. Louis Cardinals
Tuesday, May 4, 2021 at 7:45pm EDT
Written by Blake V.

St. Louis will be up against a tough order on Tuesday night. New York is starting ace Jacob deGrom on an extra day of rest—he struck out 15 batters in a two-hit shutout last time he was on extra rest. St. Louis is playing its best baseball of the season, though, bringing a four-game winning streak into Monday’s series-opener. This story was published prior to that game.

deGrom on extra day of rest again

New York has bounced back from a stretch where it lost four of five games. The Mets took their final two games at Philadelphia to notch an important series win in the National League East. They won 5-4 on Saturday and then picked up a thrilling 8-7 win on Sunday night in primetime, getting the benefit of a questionable call. New York and Washington were tied atop the division standings heading into Monday’s action. The Mets have been a solid offensive team, listed ninth in the MLB with a team batting average of .241.

They are led by center fielder Brandon Nimmo and first baseman Pete Alonso, who each have 21 hits. Right fielder Michael Conforto has added 19 hits. They are going to face a St. Louis pitching staff that is No. 14 in the MLB with a team ERA of 3.86. Right-handed ace Jacob deGrom will make the start for New York on an extra day of rest. He struck out 15 batters in a two-hit shutout the last time he had extra rest prior to a start. DeGrom is the leading candidate to win his third NL Cy Young after going 2-2 with a 0.51 ERA through his first five starts. He allowed just his second run of the season in his last outing.

Cardinals still without Molina

St. Louis brings a four-game winning streak into Monday’s series opener with the Mets. The Cardinals closed their series with Philadelphia by picking up an extra-innings win on Thursday before sweeping Pittsburgh over the weekend. They outscored the Pirates by a tally of 22-8 in the three games. St. Louis scored all three of Sunday’s runs on a three-run homer from Harrison Bader in the second inning. The Cardinals are a below-average offensive team, ranked No. 19 in the MLB with a team batting average of .227. They are led by third baseman Tommy Edman, who has 33 hits and is batting .287.

Third baseman Nolan Arenado has tallied 29 hits, including nine doubles. Left fielder Daniel Carlson has 26 hits, while first baseman Paul Goldschmidt has 25 base knocks. Catcher Yadier Molina is on the injured list with a right foot strain. They will be facing a New York pitching staff that is fifth in the MLB with a team ERA of 3.11. Left-handed pitcher Kwang Hyun Kim is set to start for St. Louis on Tuesday. Kim has not made it through six innings in his three starts since returning from the injured list. However, he has avoided the crooked number as well. Kim is 1-0 with a 3.29 ERA through 13.2 innings.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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There are not many unfadeable spots in the world of sports, but deGrom might be one of those rarities right now. He is well on his way to winning another Cy Young award. DeGrom is also on an extra day of rest, which resulted in a career day the last time he was in this situation. St. Louis is without Molina right now, so its lineup lacks a little bit of pop. New York has been a solid offensive team that has the best pitcher in the MLB on the mound, so it should win this game by several runs on Tuesday.

Prediction: New York Mets -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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It would be pretty shocking if this is a high-scoring game. Kim has not made it through the sixth inning this season, but he has been solid in all three of his starts since returning from injury. He is good enough to limit the damage on Tuesday, which will be enough to keep this one under the total. DeGrom is pretty much a lock to allow one run or less based on his recent form and extra day of rest. The Mets have gone under in their last four games against a team with a winning record.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Blake Von Hagen , "Blake V."

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint.