Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#913 Pittsburgh Pirates vs.
#914 San Diego Padres
Tuesday, May 4, 2021 at 10:10pm EDT
Written by The Admiral

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Pittsburgh Pirates (12-15) vs. San Diego Padres (16-13)

The Pittsburgh Pirates will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak when they take on the San Diego Padres on Tuesday. Pittsburgh lost their fourth straight game when they were shut out by St. Louis on Sunday, 3-0. San Diego lost to San Francisco on Sunday, 7-1.

San Diego is the favorite in this contest at -233 while the odds are set for Pittsburgh at +175. San Diego defeated Pittsburgh the last time these teams met, beating them on April 15, 8-3. However, the Pirates have dominated the Padres recently, winning eight of the last 10 meetings.

Martinez Scuttles Pirates

Carlos Martinez tossed eight shutout innings as the St. Louis Cardinals defeated Pittsburgh, 3-0. The Pirates generated just five hits and struck out 11 times. Will Crowe pitched a solid game, allowing three runs on three hits in five innings of work.

Pittsburgh is 27th in runs scored per game at 3.78 and is 22nd in runs allowed per contest at 4.74. They are 20th in team batting average at .227 and are 29th in home runs per game at 0.74.

Mitch Keller will get the start for the Pirates. He is 1-3 with an 8.20 ERA in five starts. The right-hander was rocked in his last start, giving up four runs on three hits in five walks in 2.1 innings.

Philip Evans and Colin Moran lead the team in home runs with four each. Moran has driven in 19 runs this season is hitting .287. Pittsburgh will be without third baseman, Ke’Bryan Hayes.

Giants Dominate Padres

Kevin Gausman allowed one run in six innings as the San Francisco Giants defeated the Padres, 7-1. San Diego recorded eight hits and struck out nine times. Tommy Pham and Trent Grisham each had two hits for San Diego. Joe Musgrove was hit hard, allowing five earned runs in five innings pitched.

San Diego is 21st in runs per game at 4.00 and is third in runs allowed per contest at 3.55. They are 16th in team batting average and .235 and 22nd in home runs per game at 1.00.

The Padres have not named their starter yet, which could mean they are waiting to see if Ryan Weathers will be able to go. He is currently listed as questionable for Tuesday’s game. Weathers is 1-0 with a 0.55 ERA in six appearances, three starts.

Fernando Tatis leads San Diego with eight homers and 12 RBI. He has scored 20 runs and has a .326 on-base percentage. Grisham, Manny Machado, and Wil Myers have each had four homers this season. Jorge Ona and seven relievers are listed as either questionable or out for this game.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


The Pirates continue to be an organization that struggles to find ways to win. This team has lost their last four games, and this is not a very good batting order. There is no denying that the Padres are not lighting things up either, but they have outstanding pitching, and that is the difference in a game like this.

Regardless of whether Weathers can go or not, they should have a group of hurlers who can handle the job, helping to keep a very anemic Pittsburgh offense from generating much offense in this game. Definitely take the Padres all the way.

Prediction: Take the San Diego Padres (-233)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


The trends are definitely moving toward under in this game. San Diego has gone under in eight straight games at home against a team with a losing record and has gone under in 12 of their last 15 at home overall. Pittsburgh has gone under in five of six road starts by Keller. 

I think this is a game won by San Diego using the long ball. The Pirates are not going to generate much offense, so San Diego wins by hitting a couple of big blasts.

Take the Padres to win, 5-1.

Prediction: Go under 7.5 (-110)

Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so the Admiral knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.