Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2967 Houston Astros vs.
#2968 New York Yankees
Wednesday, May 5, 2021 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Blake V.

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New York has a chance to extend its four-game winning streak when it hosts Houston in the second game of a three-game series on Wednesday night. The Yankees swept Detroit over the weekend and picked up a win in Tuesday’s series-opener. Houston has now lost consecutive games, but it has been playing good baseball over the last few weeks.

Astros looking to bounce back

Houston went through a stretch where it lost nine out of 10 games in April. The Astros responded well, taking three out of four against the Angels and the Mariners in consecutive series. They went to Tampa Bay and won two of their three games against the Rays over the weekend. However, they dropped the series finale and were unable to bounce back in New York on Tuesday. Houston has relied on its offense this season, where it ranks sixth in the MLB with a team batting average of .253. First baseman Yuri Gurriel leads the team with 32 hits, including four homers, and a .327 average.

Left fielder Michael Brantley has 31 hits and has recorded 10 doubles. Shortstop Carlos Correa has 30 hits. They are going to face a New York pitching staff that is third in the MLB with a team ERA of 3.02. Right-handed pitcher Luis Garcia is set to make the start for the Astros on Wednesday night. He pitched five innings against Seattle in his last start, allowing one run and not walking anyone. However, Garcia has suffered some tough luck. He is 0-3, despite bringing a 2.70 ERA into this start. Garcia struck out six Seattle batters his last time out.

Yankees lineup starting to get going

New York went through a rough patch of its own this season, losing five consecutive games in mid-April. Like Houston, the Yankees have bounced back nicely. They took three out of four at Cleveland before splitting a four-game set in Baltimore. New York then swept Detroit in a three-game home series and got off to a nice start in this series with Tuesday’s win. The Yankees have struggled to get an extremely talented lineup going consistently this season, listed at No. 24 in the MLB with a team batting average of .221.

They are led by second baseman DJ LeMahieu, who has 28 hits and is batting .269. Designated hitter Giancarlo Stanton and right fielder Aaron Judge have combined for 13 home runs, while Gio Urshela has 25 hits. They are going to face a Houston pitching staff that is tenth in the MLB with a team ERA of 3.72. Left-handed pitcher Jordan Montgomery will make the start for the Yankees on Wednesday. He allowed two runs on six hits across five innings of work against Baltimore in his last start. Montgomery is 1-1 with a 4.39 ERA this season.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I think the value spot is pretty clear in this game. New York is slated as a favorite with a little extra juice, which just doesn’t make sense. Houston has been the more balanced team this season and its starting pitcher has been much more consistent. Sure, Garcia has not tallied a win yet, but his numbers have been good. Bettors are likely to look at his 0-3 mark and assume the surging Yankees are the play. However, the Astros have better overall numbers and are in a good spot to bounce back and reward Garcia with his first win.

Prediction: Houston +125

Full-Game Total Pick

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New York is finally getting its offense going. The Yankees have the most talented lineup in the American League, but it has taken some time for them to start clicking. Now that they have, the over has become a solid play. Montgomery has also been very shaky on the mound this season and Houston’s lineup is capable of hanging a crooked number. He has gone over in four of his last five starts against a team from the AL West. The Astros have gone over at an 8-2-1 clip in their last 11 road games against a southpaw pitcher.

Prediction: Over 9
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Written By Blake Von Hagen , "Blake V."

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint.