Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2959 Los Angeles Dodgers vs.
#2960 Chicago Cubs
Wednesday, May 5, 2021 at 7:40pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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It’s the conclusion of an early week series on the diamond in the Windy City as a pair of National League teams take the diamond in the Friendly Confines. The Los Angeles Dodgers are on the road as they finish up a three-game set with the Chicago Cubs Wednesday night. Los Angeles salvaged the finale of a four-game set with the Brewers on the road as they hammered their way to a 16-4 win on Sunday afternoon. Chicago dropped the rubber game of a three-game set against the Reds on the road as they fell 13-12 in 10 innings Sunday. These teams were rained out Monday so they were slated for a doubleheader Tuesday. Clayton Kershaw and Trevor Bauer were slated to take the mound for the Dodgers while the Cubs were slated to send Kyle Hendricks and an undecided option. First pitch for Game 1 was slated for 2:20 pm ET with game two slated for a 7:40 pm ET first pitch from Wrigley Field.

Los Angeles Dodgers Hoping to Get Back on Track

Los Angeles had dropped three straight and six of seven before walloping Milwaukee in the finale of their four-game set Sunday. The Dodgers entered Tuesday second in the NL West, half a game behind the Giants for the top spot in the division. Los Angeles got four hits from Matt Beaty (three runs, seven RBI) and three each from Chris Taylor (five runs) and A.J. Pollock (two runs, eight RBI) in the win. Pollock (his third and fourth) homered twice while Beaty (his first) homered as well. Both hit a grand slam in the contest. The offensive barrage was more than enough for Julio Urias (4-0) to earn the win as he threw seven innings, allowing one run on four hits with no walks and 10 strikeouts.

Walker Buehler is expected to get the call for his sixth start of the season for the Dodgers here. He comes in 1-0 with a 3.16 ERA, a 0.957 WHIP, two walks and 31 strikeouts over 31.1 innings of work this season. Buehler didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came last Tuesday at home against the Reds. He threw 6.1 innings, allowing five runs on seven hits with one walk and 10 strikeouts in a game the Dodgers went on to lose 6-5. In his last three starts, Buehler has no record with a 4.19 ERA, a 1.03 WHIP, two walks and 23 strikeouts over 19.1 innings of work. Buehler makes his fourth career appearance and third start against the Cubs in this contest. He comes in 0-1 with a 5.27 ERA, a 1.098 WHIP, three walks and seven strikeouts over 13.2 innings of work against them. Buehler didn’t factor in the decision in his lone career start at Wrigley Field, which came on April 24, 2019. He threw 5.2 innings, allowing three runs on four hits with two walks and one strikeout in a game the Dodgers went on to lose 7-6.

Chicago Cubs Looking to Rebound at Home

Chicago dropped two of three to the Reds on the road as they were edged in a slugfest that saw a combined 10 homers. The Cubs entered Tuesday tied for fourth in the NL Central, 4.5 games behind the Brewers and Cardinals for the top spot in the division. Chicago rallied from deficits of 6-4, 9-6 and 12-9 to send the game to extra innings before falling. Kris Bryant (his eighth and ninth) homered twice, while Anthony Rizzo (his fifth), Javier Baez (his seventh) and Ian Happ (his second) all left the yard in the loss as well. Trevor Williams didn’t factor in the decision as he allowed six runs on six hits with four walks and two strikeouts over 2.2 innings of work. Craig Kimbrel (0-1) took the loss as he allowed one run (none earned) on one hit without retiring a hitter in the 10th inning.

Jake Arrieta is on the hill to make his seventh start of the year for the Cubs in this contest. He comes in 3-3 with a 4.31 ERA, a 1.309 WHIP, 12 walks and 28 strikeouts over 31.1 innings of work this season. Arrieta took the loss in his last start, which came Friday on the road against the Reds. He threw 3.1 innings, allowing seven runs on seven hits with one walk and two strikeouts in a game the Cubs lost 8-6. In his last three starts, Arrieta is 1-2 with a 5.65 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, seven walks and 14 strikeouts over 14.1 innings of work. Arrieta makes his ninth career start against the Dodgers in this contest. He is 3-4 with a 3.67 ERA, a 1.163 WHIP, 21 walks and 52 strikeouts over 49 innings of work. Arrieta is 32-15 with a 2.26 ERA, a 0.974 WHIP, 129 walks and 399 strikeouts over 401.1 innings of work in 63 career starts at Wrigley Field.

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Both teams have had their struggles this season at times. The Dodgers were really sputtering before lighting up the Brewers in Sunday’s contest. Los Angeles also took a hit as Dustin May was lost for the season after it was announced that he needed Tommy John surgery Monday. Arrieta started the season strong but was lit up in his last start by the Reds, which can partially be attributed to the way the ball flies at the Great American Ball Park. When it comes to pitching at Wrigley Field, Arrieta has been tremendous in his career. Bryant is the reigning NL Player of the Week after a big week last week and the Cubs get the better of Buehler at home here as the Dodgers continue to sputter on their way to rounding into form.

Prediction: Chicago Cubs

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Los Angeles has seen the under post a 15-14 record in their games this season entering Tuesday’s action. The Dodgers are third in the majors as they put up an average of 5.10 runs per contest this year. Los Angeles stands fourth in the majors in run prevention as they give up an average of 3.55 runs per game, giving them an average of 8.65 runs a night. Chicago has seen the under post a 14-12-2 mark on the season entering Tuesday. The Cubs are tied for 12th in the majors as they are averaging 4.61 runs per contest on the season. Chicago stands tied for 18th in run prevention as they allow an average of 4.48 runs per game, giving them an average total of 8.86 runs per game. This one falls short of the mark as the Cubs have some issues at the plate while Arrieta channels his peak years once again.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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