Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#967 Boston Red Sox -290 vs.
#968 Baltimore Orioles 8.5
Wednesday, May 8, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Chris Altruda

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Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles

When and Where: Wednesday, May 8, Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Md., 7:05 p.m. EDT.

Having avoided matching his longest run without winning starts in his career, Chris Sale looks to resume the business of winning Wednesday night when the Boston Red Sox conclude a three-game series versus the Baltimore Orioles.

Sale out to build on 100th career victory as starter

Sale (1-5, 5.25 ERA) had only gone seven consecutive starts without a win once in his career, from June 6-July 7, 2013, while pitching for the Chicago White Sox.

It may have taken facing his former team to show that seven-time All-Star form, as the left-hander shredded through the White Sox on Friday night, striking out a season high-tying 10 in six shutout innings while scattering three hits and a walk in Boston’s 6-1 victory.

“It was nice to feel like I’m back on track and actually help this team win a ballgame,” Sale told the Boston Herald. “Just kind of got back to some old little things I used to do, I talked with AC and (pitching coach Dana LeVangie) a lot this week about getting back to doing some things that I used to do, things that made me successful and things that changed a couple of things. Just kind of focused on some of the things that made me successful before.”

Sale’s spot in the rotation did not come up in last month’s series between the AL East rivals, which may have prevented him from finding a groove sooner. The southpaw is 7-0 with a 1.78 ERA in his last nine starts versus Baltimore, striking out 88 in just 55 2-3 innings for a staggering 14.23 strikeouts per nine innings.

He went 2-0 in four starts last year, fanning 37 in 20 2-3 innings while holding Orioles hitters to a .127 batting average. Trey Mancini has been able to size up Sale, though, going 7 for 19 with two doubles and a triple. Chris Davis has not, striking out nine times while scratching out two singles in 22 at-bats.

Cashner tries again to top 2018 win total

Andrew Cashner (4-1, 4.71) makes his second bid to surpass his win total from last year, when he endured a 4-15 season with a 5.29 ERA. The right-hander fared nowhere near as well on Sale on the south side of Chicago last Wednesday, yielding five runs and six hits in four innings.

His teammates got him off the hook for a loss, rallying to tie the game before eventually losing 7-6. That compensated for some of the fielding miscues that took place as Baltimore committed two errors behind him and allowed a three-run single.

Cashner picked up one of his wins at Boston on April 13, yielding three runs and five hits in five innings of a 9-5 victory to improve to 2-1 lifetime against the Red Sox. The righty has also been effective at home in his two starts this season, winning both while posting a 2.92 ERA. The offense has also been generous in his support in those games, totaling 15 runs.

Xander Bogearts is 3 for 8 with a homer in his dealings with Cashner.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Sale’s last start was the culmination of where he was supposed to be all season, and given his track record against Baltimore, is worth the all-in pick here. He has been virtually unhittable at Camden Yards of late, winning six straight starts with a paltry 1.18 ERA and 61 strikeouts in 38 innings. Sale has also conceded just one run in 19 innings in winning the last three, and his strong run at Camden Yards makes him worthy of an all-in pick on the adjusted run line at -2.5 runs.

Prediction: Red Sox -2.5 runs (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

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The expectation is Sale will pitch deep into this game, perhaps into the eighth, which puts the onus on Cashner to at least not implode. He has clearly pitched better this year than in 2018 and already has a victory over the Red Sox to his credit. If he can get through five innings with similar numbers to last month’s matchup, the under will be in good shape.

Prediction: UNDER 8.5 runs (-110)

Full-Game Prop Bet

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This is a confidence pick in Sale following up his last start with another good one. The lefty has a 1.00 WHIP in his last three starts and a 0.50 hits to innings pitched ratio in that span. He can carry Cashner, who does have a greater than 1.00 hits to innings pitched ratio.

Prediction: UNDER 26.5 runs+hits+errors (-105)

First Five Innings Side Pick

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While there is confidence in Sale to deliver another solid outing, the rate of return does not offer much incentive to take it. That said, his last start marked the first time Boston had a lead after five innings this season, though the Red Sox had failed to score in the first five innings in three of those outings.

Prediction: Red Sox -0.5 runs (-185)

First Five Innings Total Bet

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This is a toss-up pick to a degree because the expectation is Sale will allow two or fewer runs. The five-inning over has delivered in Cashner’s last three starts and five of seven overall in both directions from Baltimore’s offense or Cashner struggling on the mound. The other hedge is the Red Sox offense picks up where it left off in Tuesday night’s 8-5 win.

Prediction: OVER 4.5 runs (-105)

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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Rating:

Cashner has been reached for a first-inning run just once in his last six starts and pitched around a game-opening walk at Fenway last month. Sale’s three opening-frame runs allowed in his seven starts have come on a pair of home runs, but with the expectation of him to pitch well, the lean is to a scoreless first.

Prediction: NO to 1st-inning run (-130)
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Written By Chris Altruda

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is based in Chicago. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiner, he worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Follow Chris daily right here at W&W and on Twitter at @AlTruda73. You won’t be disappointed.