Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2907 San Diego Padres vs.
#2908 New York Mets
Friday, June 11, 2021 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Jordy

After splitting even in the previous series, the San Diego Padres and New York Mets will work towards settling things in the opener of their three-game weekend meeting on Friday. It has been a fall into the abyss for a Padres team that is 3-8 in their last 11 games. They recently dropped back-to-back losses to the Chicago Cubs in games where they were held to only a solo run.

They’ll have their work cut out for them in turning it around on the road against a Mets team that just went 1-1 with the Baltimore Orioles. Left-handed pitcher Blake Snell is slated to start on the mound for the Padres opposite of New York’s Jacob deGrom.

Offense sputters for the Padres

The Cubs' defense kept the Padres’ bats under lock and key in the last couple of games at Petco Park. It was basically a repeat of what the Mets did to them last weekend, when they shut them out in Game 3 and held them to only two total runs in Game 4.

Something or somebody needs to snap the Padres out of this offensive coma.

Things won’t get any easier on the road against a Mets team that makes a living putting opponents in defensive jail. That’ll be even more of a case with the team’s ace, Jacob deGrom, slated to start at pitcher. He was one of the primary culprits behind the goose egg for the Padres in the Game 3 meeting last weekend.

So runs are going to be hard to come by on Friday night.

The goal for the Padres should be making it equally as difficult for the Mets to score to give their team a fighting edge down the stretch. Say what you want about their recent outings, but the Padres still have the best bullpen in the league right now.

And Blake Snell (4.83 ERA), the team’s starter on Friday, blanked them in a seven-inning effort a week ago. Despite his serious road struggles, there should be plenty of confidence that he can continue to deliver the goods against a Mets team only averaging 7.63 hits and 3.87 runs per game. They might be a problem defensively, but there is much to be desired from that team offensively.

Another dance with the deGrom boogeyman

Jacob deGrom hasn’t even looked real on the mound.

He’s turning every ballpark into his personal playground—a pitching spectacle that has become a traveling circus for both fans and those that cheer against him. And for opposing teams, it’s a dance at the plate with the real-life Boogeyman.

The 32-year-old right-handed pitcher is throwing with an astonishing 0.62 ERA and 0.57 WHIP in a season where he has fanned 93 batters. San Diego got an up-close-and-personal with the former two-time NL CY Young Award winner and got blanked.

It’s going to be tough for anyone to beat the Mets, much less the struggling Padres, when deGrom is this hot and starting.

If only the Mets had an offense to back him.

Even for a player as great as deGrom, the weight on his shoulders must be unbearable considering the team’s offensive pitfalls. It must feel like gem-or-bust some nights for the Mets. The team has the fourth-worst run-scoring average with a .694 OPS

They didn’t do well against Blake Snell in their last run-in with him, and someone is going to have to make a play to even put the Mets in position to take this game.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Jacob deGrom is not the pitcher you want to see on the mound when your team is smack-dab in the middle of hitting problems. After getting held to one run and no more than four hits in back-to-back outings against the Cubs, the Padres now have a dance at the plate with the Mets’ Boogeyman.

He made it look easy the last time he stared them down on the road. It’ll be an uphill battle for the Padres with deGrom playing at Citi Field and leading every pitcher in the league in ERA. Blake Snell looked great against the Mets the last time out as well, but he clearly hasn’t looked anything near the same pitcher when playing on the road this season. He has a 9.70 ERA in six starts away from his home building.

The Mets aren’t some high-powered offensive team by any stretch, but they are clearly capable of putting in enough work at the plate to keep the team in the lead. There will be far less pressure with deGrom on the mound for this outing.

I’m rolling with the Mets to come out on top in the opener.

Prediction: New York Mets (-169)

Full-Game Total Pick

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These aren’t great offensive teams, and the pitching has been too dominant to think the floodgates will open. Sure, the Padres haven’t looked like themselves in recent outings, and they’re clearly struggling on both ends. But their pitching rotation still leads the league in ERA (2.89). Unfortunately for them, their bats have grown increasingly silent, and they’ll have a head-to-head meeting with Jacob deGrom on Friday. The Mets’ ace is hotter than fish grease right now. He cooked the Padres a week ago, and he’ll cook them again this weekend as well. Give me the under in this one.

Prediction: Under (5.5)
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Written By Jordy McElroy , "Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast, and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY, and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys, and all the Sun Drop you can drink.