Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#923 Milwaukee Brewers 7.5 vs.
#924 Houston Astros -135
Wednesday, June 12, 2019 at 8:10pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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It’s the conclusion of a short interleague set on the diamond down in the Lone Star State. The Milwaukee Brewers close out a two-game interleague series against the Houston Astros Wednesday night. Milwaukee swept a series over the weekend from the Pirates, prevailing 5-2 in the finale Sunday afternoon. Houston won the rubber game of their three-game set with the Orioles, taking a 4-0 victory on Sunday afternoon. The pitching matchup for Tuesday’s series opener saw Freddy Peralta take the mound for the Brewers against the Astros’ Brad Peacock. First pitch in that contest was scheduled for 8:10 pm ET.

Milwaukee Brewers Look to Keep Momentum

Milwaukee won their fourth straight game as they rolled to the victory on Sunday afternoon to sweep the Pirates. The Brewers entered Tuesday’s action with a half-game edge over the Cubs in the NL Central race. Hernan Perez (two runs) led Milwaukee with three hits in the game while Mike Moustakas (his 20th) and Christian Yelich (his 24th) each homered in the triumph. Chase Anderson didn’t factor in the decision as he allowed two runs on four hits with one walk and six strikeouts over six innings. Jeremy Jeffress (1-0) earned the win with a scoreless eighth while Josh Hader worked around a walk to fan the side in the ninth for his 16th save.

Brandon Woodruff is in line to get the call for his 14th start of the year for the Brewers in this contest. He comes in 8-1 with a 3.87 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, 20 walks and 90 strikeouts over 74.1 innings of work this season. Woodruff picked up the win in his last start, which came Friday at home against the Pirates. He threw six innings, allowing three runs on four hits with one walk and 10 strikeouts in a game the Brewers won 10-4. Woodruff is 2-0 with a 5.00 ERA, a 1.00 WHIP, three walks and 25 strikeouts over 18 innings in his last three starts. In his 41st career appearance and 26th career start, he pitches against the Astros for the first time. Woodruff pitches at Minute Maid Park for the first time in his career as a result.

Houston Astros Running Away With AL West Race

Houston won for the eighth time in 10 games as they picked up the victory over the Orioles in the rubber game of that set. The Astros entered Tuesday holding a hefty nine-game advantage over the Rangers in the AL West race. Houston got two hits from Josh Reddick (RBI) while Yordan Alvarez cracked his first career big league homer in his major league debut. Wade Miley (6-3) earned the win as he threw six scoreless innings: he allowed six hits with two walks and five strikeouts. Roberto Osuna got the final out with two runners on to record his 17th save.

Justin Verlander takes the hill for his 14th start of the season as he faces his former team. He comes in 9-2 with a 2.31 ERA, a 0.737 WHIP, 19 walks and 110 strikeouts over 93.2 innings of work on the year. Verlander recorded a no-decision in his last start, which came Thursday on the road against Seattle. He threw 6.1 innings, allowing three runs on five hits with no walks and seven strikeouts in an 8-7, 14 innings, Houston victory. Verlander is 1-1 with a 2.53 ERA, a 0.75 WHIP, two walks and 21 strikeouts over 21.1 innings in his last three starts. He is 2-0 with a 1.08 ERA, a 0.72 WHIP, seven walks and 20 strikeouts over 16.2 innings in two career starts against the Brewers. Verlander is 11-8 with a 2.64 ERA, a 0.861 WHIP, 37 walks and 268 strikeouts over 204.1 innings in 32 career starts at Minute Maid Park.

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Both teams entered Tuesday holding the lead in their respective division races and are solidly in the playoff picture. Woodruff has pitched well this season but he’s slowed a bit in his last three starts, posting an ERA of five in that stretch. He has only two quality starts in five road outings this season and his ERA and WHIP are higher as the visiting team. Verlander continues to thrive in the late stages of his career and the Astros are putting up runs even minus some of their stars. The Astros’ ace shuts down the Brewers and delivers a win for the hosts in the finale.

Prediction: Houston Astros -143

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Milwaukee has had their ups and downs on the road this season, posting a 16-15 record entering Tuesday. The Brewers average 4.9 runs per game on the road compared to 5.14 runs a game at Miller Park. Milwaukee has a .241/.327/.427 slash line on the road compared to their .265/.340/.480 slash line at home. That goes out the window against Verlander, who has seriously limited opposing hitters: they have a .151/.206/.320 slash line against him. He’s given up 14 homers but only 11 other runs have scored against him. Can the Brewers’ power get the upper hand on the Houston ace?

The under is 9-0 in the Brewers’ last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record, 10-1 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record and 21-6-2 in their last 29 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Houston has seen the under go 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter, 4-0 in their last 4 home games and 13-3-1 in their last 17 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Given the way both pitchers have looked in the first couple months of the season and the Astros missing George Springer, Carlos Correa and Jose Altuve, this one ends up under the total.

Prediction: Under 7.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.