Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#909 San Diego Padres -135 vs.
#910 San Francisco Giants 8
Wednesday, June 12, 2019 at 9:45pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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A pair of NL West rivals close out a short set in the city by the bay. The San Diego Padres are on the road for the finale of a two-game set with the San Francisco Giants Wednesday night. San Diego fell 5-2 in the final game of their four-game series at home against the Nationals Sunday afternoon to end up with a split. San Francisco was blanked 1-0 by the Dodgers at home in the rubber game of their three-game series Sunday afternoon. The pitching matchup for Tuesday’s opener saw Chris Paddack take the mound for the Padres against the Giants’ Tyler Beede. First pitch in that contest was scheduled for 9:45 pm ET.

San Diego Padres Looking to Regroup

San Diego lost for the fourth time in six games as they were dropped in the finale of their set with the Nationals. The Padres entered Tuesday night fourth in the NL West race, 11.5 games behind the Dodgers in the division. Franmil Reyes (RBI) had two hits for San Diego while Ian Kinsler knocked in the other run in the defeat. Luis Perdomo got the start and didn’t factor in the decision. He threw 3.1 innings, allowing one run (none earned) on two hits with no walks or strikeouts. Craig Stammen (4-3) took the loss as he gave up four runs on five hits with no walks and a strikeout in two-thirds of an inning. Stammen was burned, giving up back to back to back to back homers in the span of seven pitches.

Joey Lucchesi takes the mound and logs his 13th start of the season for the Padres in this contest. He comes in 5-3 with a 4.21 ERA, a 1.131 WHIP, 18 walks and 67 strikeouts over 66.1 innings of work on the year. Lucchesi earned the win in his last start, which came at home against the Nationals on Thursday night. He threw five innings, allowing four runs on four hits with three walks and five strikeouts in a 5-4 Padres triumph. Lucchesi is 2-0 with a 4.00 ERA, a 0.78 WHIP, five walks and 21 strikeouts over 18 innings in his last three starts. He is 2-1 with a 4.87 ERA, a 1.328 WHIP, five walks and 28 strikeouts over 20.1 innings in four career starts against the Giants. Lucchesi lost his lone career start at Oracle Park, which came on April 9. He allowed seven runs on seven hits with two walks and four strikeouts over four innings in a 7-2 Padres defeat.

San Francisco Giants Fading Into Oblivion

San Francisco lost their second straight and their fourth in the last five games as they were unable to scratch out any offense against the Dodgers. The Giants entered Tuesday in the basement of the NL West, 17.5 games behind the Dodgers and six games behind the fourth-place Padres. San Francisco finished the game with five hits in the game with Joe Panik’s double the lone extra base hit. The Giants were zero for seven with runners in scoring position. Madison Bumgarner (3-6) was the hard-luck loser in the game as he allowed one run on four hits with a walk and five strikeouts over seven innings.

Shaun Anderson makes the sixth start of his rookie season in this contest for the Giants. He comes in 1-1 with a 4.18 ERA, a 1.357 WHIP, eight walks and 16 strikeouts over 28 innings of work this season. Anderson didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came Thursday on the road against the Mets. He threw six innings, allowing three runs on six hits with three walks and three strikeouts in a game the Giants dropped 7-3. Anderson is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP, five walks and eight strikeouts over 18 innings in his last three starts. In his sixth major league start, he pitches against the Padres for the first time in his career. Anderson is 0-1 with a 4.80 ERA, a 1.533 WHIP, four walks and nine strikeouts over 15 innings in three career starts at Oracle Park.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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We’re looking at a couple of teams that are trying to right a listing ship. The Giants are likely going to be sellers at the trade deadline and it will be interesting to see what unfolds over the next seven weeks or so. San Diego is still battling around the .500 mark as they continue to get their young pitchers on the job training as they work on their lineup. The Padres have the edge on the mound in this one if Lucchesi can build off his last two outings. The Giants don’t score enough to be considered a viable threat: look for the Padres to get the win in the finale.

Prediction: San Diego Padres -143

Full-Game Total Pick

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Both teams are weak offensively and that’s a major reason for their inability to make an impact in the NL West. San Diego is 26th in the majors in runs per game (four) and 27th in team batting average (.232) while San Francisco is 27th (3.75 runs per game) and 29th in team batting average with a .221 team mark on the year. For good measure, the Giants are next to last in the majors with 58 homers. With a pair of young pitchers on the mound, the potential for nerves is there: can the bats make the arms pay in this contest?

The over is 3-0-1 in the Padres’ last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record and 10-1 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. San Francisco has seen the over go 9-3-1 in their last 13 home games vs. a left-handed starter, 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 6-2 in their last 8 home games. With the Padres’ ability to hit the long ball, you have to lean toward this one ending up over the total.

Prediction: Over 7.5

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.