Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#917 Seattle Mariners 9.5 vs.
#918 Minnesota Twins -220
Wednesday, June 12, 2019 at 8:10pm EDT
Written by David Hess



#917 Seattle
#918 Minnesota


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Major League Baseball action on Wednesday evening and the American League West will square off with the American League Central as the Seattle Mariners grapple with the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. This is game two of a three-game series.

Pitching Matchup: Getting the nod for the Mariners will be Tommy Milone (1-1, 3.10 ERA) and he will be opposed by Jose Berrios (8-2, 3.14 ERA).

(This Article Was Written Prior To Last Night’s Game)

What Could Have Been For The Mariners

The Seattle Mariners began their season at 13-2, but then the wheels fell off and they have gone just 15-39 since (Pending Tuesday night). The Mariners were rocking and rolling on offense early and they have still been solid at the plate for much of the year, but the offense has not been able to keep up with the horrible pitching that has happened for this team. The Mariners did allow 5.00 rpg over their first 15 games, but the offense averaged 7.80 rpg over that stretch. Since then, the offense has put up just 4.42 rpg while allowing 6.40 rpg over that stretch. That is not good at all and the reason why the Mariners are 18 games out of first in the American League West and nine games out of the 2nd wildcard spot in the AL. Either the offense has to play as it did in the first 15 games or the pitching needs to drastically improve for the Mariners to work their way back into the playoff picture.

Seattle will enter Tuesday night off a three-game road series against the Halos, in which they took two of the three games played.  In the finale on Sunday, the M’s looked like the offensive team that showed up in the first 15 games as they won by a score of 9-3. Edwin Encarnacion (19th & 20th) and Tom Murphy (6th & 7th) each went deep twice in the game and each drove in three runs. Daniel Vogelbach (16) and Kyle Seager (4) also went deep for the Mariners, who pounded out 13 total hits in the game. Encarnacion is now on pace for 47 homers, which would be a career-high. He has hit 42 in a season twice and now has 400 in his career. Grabbing the win on Sunday was Wade Leblanc, who allowed two ERs on six hits and a walk while striking out eight in 6.0 innings of work. He came in after Austin Adams was used as an “Opener” for the first inning. Leblanc is now 3-2 with a 5.31 ERa on the year.

Toeing the rubber for the Mariners will be Tommy Milone and he has gone 1-1 with a 3.10 ERA in four games (three starts) on the year, Milone has allowed eight runs (seven earned0 on 17 hits with five walks and 20 strikeouts in 20.1 innings of work so far this year. In his career, he has gone 23-23 with a 4.57 ERA in 82 games (70 starts) on the road and 9-5 with a 3.80 ERA in 26 games (25 starts) during the month of June. Milone has gone 2-0 with a 2.12 ERA in four games (two starts) against the Twins in his career, while here at Target Field he has gone 8-4 with a 5.11 ERA in 24 games (20 starts).

The Mariners have been a solid offensive team so far as they come in ranked 9th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.14 rpg, while also ranking 22nd in hitting at .242 and 1st in homers with 126. On the mound, they have been very poor as they come in ranked 29th in the league in ERA at 5.29, while also ranking 28th in WHIP at 1.46 and 26th in K’s with 530. The bullpen ranks 26th in the league with a 5.12 ERA.

Twins Are Top Money Team In The League

The Minnesota Twins were expected to be an improved team over last year, but I don’t think many outside the organization saw them doing what they have done this year so far. The Twins enter Tuesday’s game at 43-21 on the year, but more importantly for bettors is that if you wagered on them blindly this year, you would be up $2,143, if you wagered $100 a play. That is tops in the league and it is not even close as Texas is 2nd at $1352. As far as the Standings go, the Twins lead the American League Central by 10.5 games over the Cleveland Indians. That is prior to Tuesday night and it is the largest lead of any of the division leaders. We also note that the Twins lead the league in run differential at +112. This is a pretty complete team with the best offense in the league, a top team pitching staff and they are also 9th in errors committed with just 32. The weakness is a bullpen that ranks 21st in the league in ERA at 4.68. The Twins could try and bolster their pen at the trade deadline.

The Twins topped the Tigers on Sunday by a score of 12-2 and leading the attack was Nelson Cruz, who had three hits and three RBIs, while Eddie Rosario had three hits and two RBIs. The Twins had 17 hits in the game and all nine players had at least one, while six of them had at least two. This offense is unstoppable and there is no easy out on it. Cruz (11), Rosario (19), Miguel Sano (6) and Byron Buxton (8) all went deep in the contest. Oh and the Twins can also pitch, especially their starters which have a 3.59 ERA on the year. Jake Odorizzi allowed just one ER on five hits and a walk while striking out eight in 6.0 innings of work against the Tigers to move to 9-2 with a slim 1.92 ERA on the year. Minnesota has gone a solid 19-9 here at home and they have averaged 5.11 rpg and have allowed 3.25 rpg in those games.

The Twins will counter with ace Jose Berrios and he has gone 8-2 with a 3.14 ERA in 13 starts on the year, including 5-1 with a 2.72 ERA in six starts here at home and 2-0 with a 2.33 ERA in his last three starts overall. In his career, he has gone 23-11 with a 3.48 ERa in 39 games (38 starts) here at Target Field and 8-2 with a 3.10 ERa in 12 starts during the month of June. Berrios has gone 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA in four career starts against the Mariners.

The Twins have been very good on offense so far as they come in ranked 1st in the league in scoring, putting up 5.97 rpg, while also ranking 1st in hitting at .274 and 2nd in homers with 125. On the mound, they have been solid as they rank 7th in the league in ERA at 3.97, while also ranking 8th in WHIP at 1.26 and 18th in K’s with 556. Their pen ranks 21st in ERA at 4.68.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I will be going with the Twins on the runline in this one. Tommy Milone has pitched well for the Mariners so far, but he has a 5.11 ERA in his career in this park and the Twins have the best offense in the league. I will look for the Twins to take apart the Seattle pitching in this one. Jose Berrios has been the ace of the Twins and Minnesota is 25-6 in his last 31 home starts. The Mariners have not been that great on offense since their first 15 games of the year and I don’t see that changing here vs Berrios. Take the Twins to win this one easily.

Prediction: Minnesota -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Milone has a 5.11 ERA in this park and the Twins have the best offense in the league, but he also has a 2.12 ERA in his career against Minnesota. I still feel the Twins will get some runs in this one, but they won’t go crazy and Berrios will keep a mediocre Seattle offense under wraps. The Under is 7-3-1 in Minnesota’s last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record and that seals the deal for me.

Prediction: Under 9.5

Written By David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.