Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#915 Texas Rangers 10 vs.
#916 Boston Red Sox -145
Wednesday, June 12, 2019 at 4:05pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Boston Red Sox and the Texas Rangers will resume a four-game AL series Wednesday night from Fenway Park. The Rangers will send 32-year old right-hander Lance Lynn to the hill, and 30-year old right-hander Rick Porcello will toe the rubber for the Red Sox. The Rangers tallied a 4-3 win in Monday’s season series opener.

Lynn Seeks Seventh Consecutive Quality Start

Lance Lynn will get the nod for the 14th time of the season, aiming for his second win of the month. Lynn was terrific in his previous start, holding the Athletics to only two runs in six innings, resulting in the no-decision in a contest the Rangers lost. The seven-year veteran right-hander has been very reliable recently, filing six straight Quality Starts, and he features a 4.39 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP accompanied with a 7-4 record in 80 innings pitched. Lynn has silenced the Red Sox in his 33 career head-to-head innings, registering a stifling 1.91 ERA and a 2-1 record .Andrew Benintendi is 2 for 11 against Lynn, while Xander Bogaerts is 1 for 14, and JD Martinez is 3 for 18.

Watch for Rougned Odor in this one as he is 7 for 12 with five RBI’s against Red Sox’ starter Rick Porcello. The 25-year old second baseman is having an awful season, hitting an abysmal .175 with only seven home runs and 29 RBI’s. Odor went 4 for 11 with one RBI against the Red Sox last season and 0 for 3 in Monday’s loss. The Rangers continue to play without slugger Joey Gallo.

The Rangers continue to produce at the plate, and they now stand second in the Majors with an average of 5.66 runs on the season. The Texas pitching staff is carrying a 4.84 team ERA, placing them 22nd in the big leagues. The Rangers are 11-18 away from from this season entering Tuesday.

Porcello Charged with Second Straight Defeat

Rick Porcello will be on the mound for the 14th time of the year in this one. Porcello was shaky in his previous start, allowing four runs on eight hits in six innings against the Rays, leading to the defeat to drop his record to 4-6. The 10-year veteran right-hander has squandered a combined nine runs in his last two starts, and he owns a 4.86 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in 74 innings of action. The Rangers have given Porcello trouble as he is carrying a terrible 5.16 ERA in 12 career meetings, although he does hold a 7-4 record. Elvis Andrus is 5 for 29 against Porcello, while Danny Santana is 4 for 16, and Shin-Soo Choo is 13 for 48.

Andrew Benintendi is riding an eight-game winning streak heading into Tuesday, and he features a .306 average in June. The career .279 hitter hasn’t been as effective as last season similar to most of the Red Sox lineup, and he enters this one hitting .265 with seven homers and 28 RBI’s. Benintendi went 9 for 26 with three RBI’s against the Rangers last season, and he drove in two runs in Monday’s loss. Mitch Moreland and Steve Pearce remain sidelined.

The Red Sox continue to have an inconsistent season at the plate, and they rank eighth in the Majors with an average of 5.22 runs on the season. The Boston pitching staff holds a 4.37 team ERA, pegging them 16th in the Major Leagues. The Red Sox are 15-16 at Fenway Park entering Tuesday.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am siding with the Rangers in this contest. The Rangers are a team on the rise, and they are now five games above .500 entering Tuesday’s play as a result of winning 7 out of their last 10 games. The Rangers offense has moved up to 2nd in the big leagues in runs per game. Texas is averaging a remarkable 5.6 runs in their last ten games and they are up against a struggling Rick Porcello in this one. The right-hander has conceded nine runs in his last two starts spanning 10.2 innings.

Furthermore, the Red Sox are not playing well. They have dropped four out of their last five games overall entering Tuesday all on their home field, and they now stand at 15-16 at Fenway Park. Rangers’ starter Lance Lynn has been more consistent than Rick Porcello, and I am confident Texas can come away with the road win.

Prediction: Texas Rangers

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect plenty of runs from both sides in this one. The Red Sox should be able to take advantage of a Rangers team that gives up a ton of runs. The Rangers’ bullpen owns a 4.73 ERA, and Boston should plate some late runs, plus the over is 8-1 in the Red Sox’ last nine games against a starter with a WHIP above 1.30.

In addition, Rick Porcello hasn’t been sharp, and the over is 9-4 in his last 13 starts overall. The Rangers have been achieving their recent offensive success without Joey Gallo which illustrates their depth. They scored 24 runs in four games against the A’s prior to this series, and they tallied a 4-3 win at Fenway Park on Monday night.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

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I am opting with the over on the Rangers team total offered by PointsBet. The Rangers are effective against Rick Porcello. The veteran right-hander owns a poor 5.16 ERA in 12 career meetings against the Rangers. Texas has several hitters with stellar numbers against Porcello which includes Nomar Mazara, Rougned Odor, and Asdrubal Cabrera who are all hitting over .280 against him.

Prediction: Rangers Team Total Over 4

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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I am selecting Lance Lynn to record the win. Lynn has been pitching deep into games, logging at least six innings in eight consecutive starts, and he has only conceded four home runs in that span. The right-hander has shut down the Red Sox in his career, sporting a minuscule 1.91 ERA in 33 innings.

Prediction: Lance Lynn to Record the Win
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.