The Colorado Rockies continue on their quest to fix their road record in their ensuing three-game series with the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday. They did manage to steal one game on the road in their previous series with the Miami Marlins, but that still doesn’t change the fact that bad things tend to happen whenever they’re away from Coors Field. The Reds are hoping to be one of those bad things as they aim to bounce back from a series loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. Wade Miley is expected to be the first man to strut out to the mound for the Reds opposite of Colorado’s right-handed pitcher German Marquez.
What offense will show up for the Rockies?The Rockies got Trevor Story back in the lineup, but the jury is still out on whether his return will cause a serious shift for an already sinking offense. I’m not going to say things can’t possibly get any worse because that would be a bald-faced lie.
Things could absolutely get worse for a Rockies team with an unreliable offense in the same year their pitching rotation has the fifth-worst ERA. I get that the Reds are basically handing out runs like Christmas in the spring. But there may be no helping the Rockies even if jolly old Saint Nick himself fell out of the sky and attended Saturday’s game.
Even with the series being on the road, if Colorado can’t make waves against the Reds, it’ll be even harder holding out hope that they’ll be able to do so against anyone else. They currently have the worst run-scoring average in the league on the road, but the Reds are the worst run-scoring defense.
Something has to give.
German Marquez (3.91 ERA) could do the entire team a solid by pitching a gem and taking some of the pressure off the offense. He hasn’t allowed more than one earned run in four consecutive outings, and he’s coming off a victory over the AL West-leading Oakland Athletics. But he’ll also be staring into the fire of a team averaging the fifth-most home runs and boasting a .246/.325/.424 slash line. It could be another long night for the Rockies.
Will home be the difference for the Reds?The Great American Ballpark couldn’t save the Reds from dropping a three-game NL Central divisional meeting to the Milwaukee Brewers. Their offense only showed up for one game, and they got crushed in the other two meetings, including a 7-2 loss on finale night.
Perhaps things will be different with the struggling Rockies coming into town for a visit over the weekend. The Reds split even in the last series at Coors Field, but it’s clearly obvious the Rockies are not the same team when playing away from their home building.
The words “home sweet home” never meant more to a team.
So the Reds will need to make their stay in Cincy as uncomfortable as possible, starting with Wade Miley’s pitching. The 34-year-old veteran lefty had what was easily his worst performance so far this season when staring down the Rockies’ batting lineup on the road back in May. He gave up a whopping 11 hits and eight earned runs in a 9-6 loss.
It was the meltdown of all meltdowns.
But he hasn’t allowed more than one earned run since that loss, and he recently fanned eight batters in five innings to knock off the St. Louis Cardinals. This is the perfect opportunity for him to get a little revenge on the last team that made him look bad.
The Reds clearly have the offense to ruin Colorado’s weekend. They’re packing a punch at the plate with the team sitting fifth in the league with a .177 ISO. The Rockies aren’t too far behind as one of the league’s worst run-scoring defenses.
Don’t blink because pitches could be going into orbit during this game.
The top supporting trends for this game, found on Covers.com, are:
- Rockies are 3-8 in their last 11 road games against a team with a losing record.
- Rockies are 13-39 in their last 52 road games.
- Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 games against teams in the National League Central.
- Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 Saturday games.
- Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
- Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
The Great American Ballpark will serve as the backdrop for Wade Miley’s revenge game on Saturday. You have to believe that horrific performance at Coors Field has lingered in the back of his mind. It has also propelled him to great starts in three consecutive outings. But this will be his opportunity to avenge his worse loss of the season so far.
The Rockies can’t be trusted on the road with the team struggling and coming undone upon arrival.
They are 20-14 at home this season and a sad 5-24 away from their home building. No team in the league has played worse on the road than the Rockies. Along with Miley, they’ll be running into a Reds batting lineup capable of blowing up the scoreboard. The Rockies should know considering they allowed an average 6.75 runs in the previous four-game meeting between the two teams.
However, this time, they won’t have the luxury of playing at home, and the Reds will be coming in hot with both a dangerous offense and Miley on the mound.
I’m rolling with Cincinnati in this one.
Full-Game Total Pick
Not only do the Reds have the worst run-scoring defense in baseball, but their bullpen also has the worst ERA in the league as well. The Rockies are going to have their moments in the game, which isn’t surprising considering how poor the Reds have looked defensively.
But Colorado hasn’t looked any better.
They have especially looked like a mess on the road, and they’ll be playing against a Reds team with the sort of hard-hitting lineup capable of causing nightmares. Only the Rockies are averaging more runs than the Reds currently at home this season. Get ready for fireworks. Give me the under in this one.