The Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays will play the second game of their four-game series at Fenway Park on Saturday. The Red Sox took the opening game of the series 6-5 on Friday night and now lead the season series 4 games to 2.
The Blue Jays led the game 5-1 in the sixth inning after a two-run homer by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. The Red Sox came back with three runs in the bottom of the sixth, one run in the eighth, and then won the game on a walk-off single with two outs in the ninth inning by Alex Verdugo.
Blue Jays lose second straightAfter suffering their second straight loss, the Blue Jays are 31-30 on the season, fourth in the AL East. On the road, the Blue Jays are 18-17. The Blue Jays are second in MLB with a .259 batting average, third with a .435 slugging percentage, and fifth with 86 home runs. Leading Toronto is MVP-candidate Vladimir Guerrero Jr. with a .336 AVG, 19 home runs, and 50 RBI.
Steven Matz will start for Toronto on Saturday. In 12 starts his year, Matz is 6-3 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Matz struggled against the Red Sox in a home game on May 20 this season, allowing five runs in six innings of an 8-7 Toronto loss. In two career starts against Boston, Matz is 0-1 with a 6.35 ERA.
Red Sox win on a walk-off hitThe Red Sox are 39-25 on the season, second in the AL East division, and 19-15 at home. The Red Sox are third with a .257 batting average and eight with 79 home runs. Xander Bogaerts leads the team with a .324 batting average, and Rafael Devers has team-highs in 15 home runs and 48 RBI. J.D. Martinez is also having a great season batting .311 with 13 home runs and 41 RBI. Bogaerts is questionable for Saturday with a knee injury.
The Red Sox are scheduled to start Nick Pivetta on Saturday, who is 6-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.29 WHIP on the season. Pivetta faced Steven Matz in the Blue Jays in the Red Sox 8-7 win on May 20 and allowed five runs in five innings of that game. In three career starts against Toronto, Pivetta is 0-1 with a 5.94 ERA.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in Matz's last 5 starts.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Pivetta's last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
The Red Sox have been tough to beat with Pivetta on the mound this season, winning 10 of his 12 starts overall, including his only start against the Blue Jays this season. The Red Sox are also 12-7 against left-handed pitchers this season and have had a lot of past success against Matz. The Blue Jays have struggled behind Matz lately, losing six of the last eight games he started. With active Red Sox batters collectively holding a lifetime .378 batting average and four homers in just 55 at-bats against Matz, I will take the Red Sox.
Full-Game Total Pick
Matz has struggled tremendously against the current Red Sox hitters, and the Blue Jays lineup has also had solid success against Pivetta. Although no current Blue Jays have homered off Pivetta, they have a.325 batting average against him. The first time these two pitchers faced each other, the teams combined for 15 runs. I will take the over in this game for the second day in a row, with both offenses ranking in baseballs' top three in batting average and slugging percentage.