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San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins,
6-13-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#909 San Francisco
Giants -100
#910 Miami
Marlins 8

Wednesday, June 13, 2018 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

San Francisco Giants
A. SUAREZ

33 - 34

2
W's
4
L's
5.06
ERA
1.25
WHIP

Miami Marlins
C. SMITH

25 - 42

5
W's
6
L's
3.7
ERA
1.19
WHIP

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Wednesday evening on the MLB diamond and we will see the National League West duke it out with the National League East as the San Francisco Giants take on the Miami Marlins in game three of their four-game series from Marlins Park in Miami, Florida. The Marlins took game one by a score of 7-5. Pitching Probables: Getting the nod for the Giants will be Andrew Suarez (2-4, 5.06 ERA) and he will be opposed by Caleb Smith (5-6, 3.70 ERA).

Bumgarner/ Bullpen Struggle In Game One Loss

The San Francisco Giants are right in the mix in the National League West as they will enter play on Tuesday night just 3.5 games out of first, but they are just 3-3 in their last six games after losing by a 7-5 score in game one of this series on Monday night. The Giants had Madison Bumgarner on the mound for that game and he was making just his 2nd start of the year, after starting the season on the DL. Well, it was not a good start as he allowed four ERs on six hits and a walk while striking out three in 5.1 innings of work, plus he got ejected in the game as well. He got a no-decision as it was tied at four when he left. Reyes Moronta then allowed the tying run and Sam Dyson allowed the final two runs to take the loss. He is now 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA on the year. Andrew McCutchen and Evan Longoria each had two hits and an RBI in the game. The Giants have averaged 3.58 rpg and have allowed 4.97 rpg on the road so far.   

Toeing the rubber for the Giants in this one will be Andrew Suarez and he has gone 2-4 with a 5.06 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in nine starts in this his first year in the league, including 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.72 WHIP in five starts on the road. This will be his first meeting with the Marlins. Suarez was 23-18 with a 3.11 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in 65 games (60 starts) over four seasons in the minors, including 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in four starts between Sacramento (AAA) and San Jose (A+) this year.

The Giants have been below average on offense so far as they are ranked 18th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.24 rpg, while also ranking 1st in hitting at .263 and 18th in homers with 69. On the mound, they have been rather poor so far as they rank 22nd in the league in ERA at 4.36 while also ranking 21st in WHIP at 1.36 and 26th in K’s with 499. The Giants have a pen ERA of 3.85, which is 15th in the league.

Anderson & Realmuto Bail Out Chen

The Marlins just haven’t had the offense to bail anyone out yet, but that is exactly what happened in game one of the series. Wei-Yin Chen got the start in that game and he allowed four ERs on six hits and four walks in 4.1 innings of work. When his line was done, he trailed the game by a score of 4-2. The Marlins then scored two in the 6th and three in the 7th to walk away with the 7-5 win. Leading their attack in the game was Brian Anderson and JT Realmuto, who both had three hits, scored three runs and drove in two. Anderson hit his 4th homer of the year and he also had two doubles, while Realmuto hit his 7th homer and had a double as well. The Marlins would have lost this game had Anderson and Realmuto not shown up. Miami is still in last place in the National League West and 13.5 games out of first. The Marlins have averaged 3.41 rpg and have allowed 4.38 rpg here at home so far.

Taking the hill for the Marlins will be Caleb Smith and he has gone 5-6 with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in 13 starts on the year, including 2-2 with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in six starts here at home. In his career, he has gone 5-7 with a 4.59 ERA in 22 games overall, including 5-6 with a 4.08 ERA in 15 games as a starter. This will be his first career start against the Giants.

The Marlins have been a poor offensive team so far as they come in ranked 30th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.50 rpg, while also ranking 25th in hitting at .233 and 30th in homers with 51. On the mound, they have been poor as they enter this contest ranked 27th in the league in ERA at 4.89, while also ranking 26th in WHIP at 1.41 and 21st in K’s with 529. The Marlins have a pen ERA of 5.28, which is 28th in the league.

Trends

San Francisco is:

  • 22-45 in their last 67 road games
  • 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter

Miami is:

  • 6-1 the last seven games in this series overall

The Marlins are one of the worst teams in the league, while the Giants are fighting to stay in the race in the jumbled National League West. Well, I feel that the Marlins can get a nice win in this one. Andrew Suarez has pitched better of late, but he is still just 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA on the road for the year and will be facing Caleb Smith, who is 2-2 at home, but with a solid 2.90 ERA. I feel the Marlins have a good edge on the mound in this one and while the Giants have an edge on offense, I just don’t feel that it will be enough to take down the Marlins in this one and we do note that the Giants are 3-8 in their last 11 games here in Miami.

Pick: Miami

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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