Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#969 Detroit Tigers -135 vs.
#970 Kansas City Royals 9
Thursday, June 13, 2019 at 8:05pm EDT
Written by David Hess

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#969 Detroit
#970 Kansas City
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Thursday evening on the MLB diamond and a pair of teams from the American League Central will square off as the Detroit Tigers grapple with the Kansas City Royals at Omaha’s TD Ameritrade Park in the final game of a three-game set.

Pitching Matchup: The Tigers will trot out Matthew Boyd (5-4, 3.08 ERA) and the Royals will counter with Homer Bailey (4-6, 5.90 ERA).

Tigers Get One Back

Neither the Tigers nor the Royal will be heading to the postseason, but neither team wants to finish in the basement of the division either. The Tigers are currently in 4th place in the American League Central and they have a 5.5 game lead over the Royals, who are in the basement. Detroit did lose game one of this series by a score of 3-2, but they were able to bounce back with a 3-2 win on Wednesday night. The game was tied at 2-2 until Brandon Dixon hit a sacrifice fly in the top of the 8th that scored Jacoby Jones to put the Tigers up for good. Daniel Norris had a solid outing as he allowed just two ERs on six hits and two walks in 5.0 innings of work, but was saddled with a no-decision. Nick Ramirez (3-0, 2.25 ERA) got the win, while Shane Greene picked up his 20th save of the year. Despite the win, the Tigers are still 3-7 in their last 10 games overall and 14-18 on the road.

Matthew Boyd will toe the slab for the Tigers and he has gone 5-4 with a 3.08 ERA in 14 starts on the year, including 1-0 with a 3.14 ERA in his last three starts and 2-2 with a 3.07 ERA in six starts on the road. In his career, he has gone 11-24 with a 5.66 ERA in 52 games (50 starts) on the road and 1-5 with a 6.46 ERA in 13 starts during the month of June. Boyd has gone 4-7 with a 6.25 ERA in 15 career starts against the Royals, including 2-4 with a 7.91 ERA in eight starts against them here at Kauffman.

The Tigers have been poor on offense so far as they come in ranked 29th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.54 rpg, while also ranking 26th in hitting at .231 and 29th in homers with 57. On the mound, they have been rather poor as they rank 22nd in the league in ERA at 4.78, while also ranking 22nd in WHIP at 1.39 and 28th in K’s with 18. Their pen ranks 26th in ERA at 5.21.

Back To Losing For The Royals

The Kansas City Royals have had their issues stringing together wins this year and that is why they are in the basement of the American League Central. The Royals swept a doubleheader from the Tampa Bay Rays back on May 1st, but since then, they have won two games in a row just one and have gone 10-25 over that stretch. The Royals had a shot at winning back-to-back games as they won game one of this series, but it was back to losing as they fell in game two by a score of 3-2. Danny Duffy had a solid outing as he allowed just two ERs on four hits and two walks while striking out seven in 7.0 innings of work but he had to settle for a no-decision.  Jake Diekman (0-3, 4.28 ERA) took the loss while Jorge Soler had two hits and two RBIs to lead the offense.

The Royals will hand the ball to Homer Bailey, who has gone 4-6 with a 5.90 ERA in 13 starts on the year, including 0-1 with a 5.14 ERA in his last three starts and 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA in seven starts here at home, which have been his only career starts here at Kauffman. In his career, he has gone 8-14 with a 5.88 ERA in 29 starts during the month of June and 1-1 with a 3.05 ERA in three starts against the Tigers.

The Royals have been a rather poor offensive team so far as they come in ranked 23rd in the league in scoring, putting up 4.13 rpg, while also ranking 20th in hitting at .244 and 27th in homers with 67. On the mound, they have been poor as they come in ranked 27th in the league in ERA at 5.13, while also ranking 27th in WHIP at 1.45 and 29th in K’s with 518. The bullpen ranks 22nd in the league with a 4.81 ERA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

This is a bit of a toughie as Matthew Boyd is clearly the better starter, but he has horrible career numbers against the Royals. Despite that, I will take Boyd over Bailey any day. Homer Bailey has been horrible this year, especially at home where he has gone 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA, while Boyd has gone 2-2 with a 3.07 ERA on the road. We do note that this game is at Omaha’s TD Ameritrade Park, but still it is considered a home game for the Royals. Bailey has not been right the past couple of years and the Royals are 1-4 in his last five starts on grass. Take the Tigers in this one.

Prediction: Detroit -130

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Both teams have been horrid on the mound this year, but still, just five runs have been scored in each of the first two games of this series. The offenses have been bad for both teams and I just don’t see bad offense overcoming bad pitching in the finale of this series. The Under is 12-3-2 in Detroit’s last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 7-1-1 in Kansas City’s last nine games vs. a left-handed starter, plus 5-1 the last six games in this series.

Prediction: Under 8.5

Written By David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.