Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#965 Texas Rangers 9 vs.
#966 Boston Red Sox -230
Thursday, June 13, 2019 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Sporty Jordy



#965 Texas
#966 Boston


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When and where: June 13, 2019, Fenway Park, Boston, MA, 7:10 PM ET

After putting an end to a three-game losing streak, the Boston Red Sox will try to split even with the feisty Texas Rangers on Thursday in an ensuing four-game series. The Rangers opened up a two-game lead right out the gates on the defending champions, who are coming off a series loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. Meanwhile, the Rangers recently split a four-game series with the Oakland Athletics. Right-handed pitcher Adrian Sampson gets the nod to start in Thursday’s closeout game against Boston’s David Price.

Can Rangers avoid another slip up?

After taking a commanding lead early in the series, the Rangers didn’t get the offensive help they needed to close the deal on Wednesday. There wasn’t much help on the mound, either.

The series is starting to resemble the Rangers’ previous meeting against the A’s, who managed to tie things up in the end after a closely-contested game. It’s already impressive enough to see the Rangers hang with some of the standout teams in the league, but if they have any hope of closing the gap on the Houston Astros, they’re going to have to close the deal in big games.

They currently sit 10 wins behind the Astros in second place in the AL West division with the A’s and Los Angeles Angels breathing down their necks. Outside of Tuesday’s game against the Red Sox, the Rangers have struggled to generate runs on offense, despite being the second-highest run-scoring team in the league.

Sampson will at least try to make things difficult on the Red Sox on the other end when he starts at pitcher on Thursday. The 27-year-old Washington native is pitching a 3.72 ERA with a 5-3 record. There is hope within the Rangers organization that he delivers the same stellar performances we’ve seen from him in recent outings. He played iron-man ball in his last appearance, going toe-to-toe with the A’s batting lineup for nine straight innings and allowing only four hits and one earned run, while amassing seven strikeouts.

Fenway Park becoming a house of horrors for the Red Sox

Fenway Park should be a place of strength for the Red Sox—a place where opponents actually dread playing. That was the case last season when they amassed a 57-24 record on their home field. They are well on their way towards blowing past those losses in 2019 with a 16-17 record, and they have yet to even reach the halfway point in their schedule.

The Red Sox have lost consecutive home meetings to the Tampa Bay Rays, Cleveland Indians and Houston Astros. Granted, they aren’t losing to bad teams, but they also aren’t living up to the expectations of a perennial championship contender, much less a defending champion. They currently sit in third place behind the New York Yankees and Rays in the AL East division with a better road record (19-17) than they have at home.

Price will try to pitch them out of another hole when he steps on the mound on Thursday. The former ace pitched a gem against the Rays in the Red Sox’s only win in the previous series. He retired 10 batters on the mound, while only allowing five hits and one earned run in six innings. The Rangers could be in big trouble if he has another game like that. He is currently throwing a 2.70 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 60 total innings.

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The Red Sox will have to dig deep defensively to ensure the Rangers aren’t celebrating on their home field for a third time in this series. That was the key on Wednesday, as they held the Rangers’ offense to only five hits and three runs. They should thank their pitching rotation, which only gave up two earned runs, for much of their success.

They’ll have a chance to replicate that performance with Price starting on Thursday. The star lefty has seemingly turned back the clock in recent outings and has only allowed three runs in his last 23-plus innings. He has especially been dominant at Fenway Park, where he is throwing a 1.08 ERA in 25 innings played there this season. That’s bad news for a Rangers team completely dependent on their offense to deliver the goods for them to pull off big wins like this.

Led by Price, the Red Sox’s bullpen will pitch the Rangers into a corner, giving the offense the breathing room it needs to get out of the series with a 2-2 split. I’m taking the Red Sox and the points.

Prediction: Boston Red Sox (-1 ½ -115)

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Price has frustrated so many teams on the mound at points in the season, including the Rays, Yankees and Indians. He isn’t an easy guy to get hits against, much less score runs on. The Rangers will flounder against his arm in another low-scoring defensive affair. Give me the under betting total here.

Prediction: Under (9)

Written By Jordy McElroy , "Sporty Jordy"

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