Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4915 Toronto Blue Jays vs.
#4916 Boston Red Sox
Sunday, June 13, 2021 at 1:10pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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It’s the conclusion of a set between AL East rivals on the diamond up in Beantown. The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road as they close out a three-game series with the Boston Red Sox Sunday afternoon. These teams opened up their series on Friday night with Boston picking up a 6-5 victory in walk-off fashion as they rallied for a victory. On Saturday, Toronto came back to win 7-2. zasThe pitching matchup for the middle game of the set Saturday saw Steven Matz take the mound for the Blue Jays against the Red Sox’ Nick Pivetta. First pitch from Fenway Park was scheduled to be thrown at 4:10 pm ET.

Toronto Blue Jays Looking to Close Gap in AL East

Toronto let one slip away as they dropped their second straight and fourth in the last five games by falling in the opener. The Blue Jays entered Saturday fourth in the AL East, 7.5 games behind the Rays for the top spot in the division race. Toronto got three hits each from Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (run, two RBI) and Randal Grichuk to pace a 16-hit attack. Guerrero Jr. hit his 19th homer of the season in a losing effort. The Blue Jays struggled with runners in scoring position, going four of 15 in those situations Friday night. Ross Stripling didn’t factor in the decision as he allowed four runs on five hits with two walks and six strikeouts over 5.2 innings. Rafael Dolis (1-2) took the loss as he allowed one run (none earned) on one hit with no walks or strikeouts while failing to retire a hitter.

Robbie Ray is on the hill for the Blue Jays as he makes his 12th start of the season in this contest. He comes in 3-2 with a 3.36 ERA, a 1.104 WHIP, 14 walks and 82 strikeouts though he has allowed an AL-high 15 homers over 64.1 innings on the season. Ray didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came Tuesday on the road against the White Sox. He threw 6.1 innings, allowing one run on five hits with no walks and 13 strikeouts in a game the Blue Jays eventually dropped 6-1. In his last three starts, Ray is 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, four walks and 27 strikeouts over 17 innings of work. Ray makes his third career appearance and second start against the Red Sox in this contest. He comes in with no record, a 7.71 ERA, a 2.143 WHIP, three walks and six strikeouts over 4.2 innings of work. Both of Ray’s outings against the Red Sox have come at Fenway Park, giving him some experience with the Green Monster.

Boston Red Sox Battling for Top Spot in AL East

Boston won their second straight and seventh in the last nine games as they rallied from a 5-1 deficit after five and a half frames to win Friday night. The Red Sox entered Saturday second in the AL East race, one game behind Tampa Bay for the top spot. Boston finished with eight hits Friday with Alex Verdugo (run, RBI) picking up three of them. Christian Arroyo (his third) and Bobby Dalbec (his seventh) each went deep in the victory. Garrett Richards didn’t factor in the decision as he allowed four runs on 11 hits with two walks and three strikeouts over 5.1 innings of work. Garrett Whitlock (2-1) earned the win in relief as he threw two scoreless innings, allowing two hits with one walk and three strikeouts.

Martin Perez takes the hill for the Red Sox as he logs his 13th start of the year in this contest. He comes in 4-3 with a 3.88 ERA, a 1.343 WHIP, 21 walks and 54 strikeouts over 60.1 innings of work on the year. Perez took the loss, snapping his four-start win streak, in his last start, which came Tuesday at home against the Astros. He threw two innings, allowing six runs on six hits with three walks and two strikeouts in a game Boston eventually dropped 7-1. In his last three starts, Perez is 2-1 with a 4.91 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, four walks and 10 strikeouts over 14.2 innings of work. Perez makes his eighth career start against the Blue Jays in this contest. He comes in 2-2 with a 2.20 ERA, a 1.317 WHIP, 19 walks and 31 strikeouts over 41 innings of action against them. Perez is 4-7 with a 5.61 ERA, a 1.482 WHIP, 33 walks and 61 strikeouts over 85 innings in 17 career starts at Fenway Park.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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These teams are trying to catch the Rays in the AL East race with Toronto finally starting to get healthy after dealing with injuries in the first couple of months of the season. Boston has exceeded expectations coming into the weekend as they weren’t expected to be near the top of the AL East. The Red Sox have gotten great production from their lineup, which works in their favor. In addition, they get the advantage of facing Ray, who has been prone to the long ball this season. Perez had won four straight starts before falling to Houston his last time out. With Boston at home in this one, you have to lean toward the Red Sox in the series finale.

Prediction: Boston Red Sox -105

Full-Game Total Pick

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Toronto has seen the under post a 31-28-2 mark in their games entering Saturday’s action. The Blue Jays are 7th in the majors by averaging 4.85 runs a night this season. Toronto is 15th by allowing 4.34 runs a game, giving them an average total of 9.19 runs per contest. Boston has seen the under post a 33-30-1 mark this season entering Saturday. The Red Sox are third in the majors by averaging 5.02 runs per contest while they are 14th by allowing an average of 4.27 runs a night. That gives Boston an average total of 9.29 runs per contest this season. With a pair of good lineups and questionable pitching, this one winds up over the mark when all is said and done.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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