Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#951 Philadelphia Phillies 9.5 vs.
#952 Washington Nationals -145
Monday, June 17, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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A pair of NL East rivals kick off a series in the nation’s capital looking to make up ground in the division. The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road for the opening game of a four-game series with the Washington Nationals Monday night. Philadelphia was walloped 15-1 in the rubber game of their three-game set by the Braves Sunday afternoon on the road. Washington earned a split of their four-game series with the Diamondbacks, earning a 15-5 win Sunday afternoon at home. The teams have split eight previous meetings this season with the Phillies taking two of three at home in the last series May 3-5.

Philadelphia Phillies Trying to Regain Ground in NL East

Philadelphia dropped their fifth game in the last seven as they were walloped by Atlanta in the rubber game of their set. The Phillies enter this contest second in the NL East, 2.5 games behind the Braves in the division. Philadelphia finished with six hits in the game with no player having more than one in the contest. Bryce Harper drove in the lone run for the Phillies in the fifth inning. Vince Velasquez (2-4) took the loss on the mound as he allowed four runs on four hits with no walks and four strikeouts over 2.1 innings of work.

Jake Arrieta gets the call for his 15th start of the season for the Phillies in this contest. He is 6-5 with a 4.31 ERA, a 1.447 WHIP, 36 walks and 70 strikeouts over 85.2 innings of work this season. Arrieta earned the win in his last start, which came Tuesday at home against Arizona. He threw six innings, allowing three runs on six hits with four walks and five strikeouts in a 7-4 Phillies triumph. Arrieta is 1-1 with a 7.47 ERA, a 2.11 WHIP, 10 walks and 11 strikeouts over 15.2 innings of work in his last three starts. He is 1-2 with a 5.07 ERA, a 1.479 WHIP, 35 walks and 69 strikeouts over 71 innings in 14 career starts against the Nationals. Arrieta is 1-1 with a 2.79 ERA, a 1.241 WHIP, 12 walks and 28 strikeouts over 29 innings in five career starts at Nationals Park.

Washington Nationals Looking to Get Something Started

Washington split a four-game set at home with Arizona as they rolled to an easy win on Sunday afternoon. The Nationals enter this game fourth in the NL East, 8.5 games behind the Braves and five games under the .500 mark on the year. Washington got three hits from Adam Eaton (three runs, RBI), Anthony Rendon (three runs, two RBI) and Howie Kendrick (two runs, two RBI) in the win. Matt Adams homered twice and drove in seven runs for the Nationals. The offensive support was more than enough for Anibal Sanchez (3-6), who allowed two runs on six hits with no walks and three strikeouts over six innings of work.

Patrick Corbin takes the mound for his 15th start of the year for the Nationals in this contest. He is 5-5 with a 4.11 ERA, a 1.219 WHIP, 29 walks and 94 strikeouts over 85.1 innings of work this season. Corbin took the loss in his last start, which came Tuesday on the road against the White Sox. He threw five innings, allowing seven runs on six hits with two walks and five strikeouts in a 7-5 Nationals defeat. Corbin is 0-3 with an 11.37 ERA, a 2.29 WHIP, seven walks and 13 strikeouts over 12.2 innings in his last three starts. He is 3-2 with a 3.58 ERA, a 1.142 WHIP, nine walks and 33 strikeouts over 37.2 innings in six career starts against the Phillies. Corbin is 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA, a 1.04 WHIP, 15 walks and 59 strikeouts over 57.2 innings in nine career starts at Nationals Park.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Both starters have had their problems of late as each guy has an ERA north of seven in their last three starts. The Phillies have stumbled with five losses in seven games as the combination of shaky pitching and injuries to Andrew McCutchen along with Jay Bruce, plus Odubel Herrera being on the restricted list, have taken a toll. Corbin is due to bounce back sooner rather than later after three straight rough starts. He pitches well at Nationals Park and the Phillies are struggling right now. Look for Washington to get the win in the opener of this set with plenty of boos for Harper mixed in to boot.

Prediction: Washington Nationals

Full-Game Total Pick

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The pitching for both teams has been mediocre this season and things haven’t been good for either starter at this point. The Phillies are 15th in team ERA with a 4.50 mark while the Nationals are 20th with a 4.70 team mark entering this contest. Philadelphia is 16th in the majors in runs per game as they put up 4.87 runs per game while the Nationals are 14th as they average 4.96 runs per contest. With things being relatively even on the year, which team gets the upper hand in this contest?

The over is 5-0 in the Phillies’ last 5 road games, 4-0 in their last 4 Monday games, 4-1 in their last 5 overall and 4-1 in their last five on grass. Washington has seen the over go 5-1-1 in their last seven series openers, 4-1 in their last five overall and 4-1 in their last five on grass. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Washington and 4-1 in Arrieta’s last five starts against the Nationals. Look for this one to be an offensive showcase that goes over the number.

Prediction: Over

First Five Innings Side Pick

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Washington put on an offensive display in the finale of their set on Sunday, racking up 15 runs on the board. On the other side of the equation, Philadelphia gave up 15 runs and saw their recent mound struggles continue: they allowed at least five runs in all three games against the Braves and allowed at least four in six of their last seven games. The injuries are piling up for the Phillies and that proves costly here as the Nationals hold the upper hand after five innings.

Prediction: Washington Nationals

First Five Innings Total Bet

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There were plenty of runs in both teams’ series over the weekend as the Phillies and Braves combined for 44 runs in their three games. Washington and Arizona piled up 48 in their four games with 43 of those coming in the final three games of the set. Both Arrieta and Corbin has sputtered in their last three turns coming into this one. Arrieta has given up at least four runs in six of his last 10 starts while Corbin has given up at least four in four of his last five, including 20 runs in his last three. This one is over the number after five innings.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.