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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates,
6-19-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#901 Milwaukee
Brewers 8
#902 Pittsburgh
Pirates -110

Tuesday, June 19, 2018 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Milwaukee Brewers
F. PERALTA

42 - 30

1
W's
0
L's
3.72
ERA
1.24
WHIP

Pittsburgh Pirates
J. TAILLON

36 - 36

4
W's
5
L's
3.94
ERA
1.2
WHIP

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Major League Baseball on Tuesday evening and a pair of teams from the National League Central will square off as the Milwaukee Brewers rumble with the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park In Pittsburgh, PA in game two of their four-game series. The Pirates have taken two of the first three games in this series. Pitching Probables: Getting the nod for the Brewers will be Freddy Peralta (1-0, 3.72 ERA) and the Pirates will counter with Jameson Taillon (4-5, 3.94 ERA).  

Brewers Are Trying To Hold On To First In The Central

The Milwaukee Brewers just lost two straight at home to the Phillies, but thanks to the Cubs losing on Sunday evening they will enter their game on Monday night leading the National League Central by a half a game over the Cubs. they will be looking to hold on to their lead in the division as they take on the Pirates in this series. The Brewers allowed 10 runs in their finale against the Phillies, after allowing a total of six runs over their previous four games. They will really need their pitching to be on track in this series as they take on a Pittsburgh offense that has been very solid so far. The offense has been very inconsistent for the Brewers of late as they will enter their game on Monday having scored 46 runs in four of their last nine games and just 11 runs in the other five. Leading the team in homers is Travis Shaw with 14 and he leads them in RBIs as well with 45. The Brewers have averaged 4.47 rpg and have allowed 3.39 rpg out on the road for the year.

Getting the nod for the Brewers will be Freddy Peralta and he has gone 1-0 with a 3.72 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in two starts in this his first year in the league. Peralta was 10-25 with a 3.20 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in 97 games (72 starts) in six seasons in the minors, including 6-1 with a 2.75 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in 12 starts at Colorado Springs (AAA) this year.  

The Brewers have been an average offensive team so far as they are ranked 12th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.42 rpg, while also ranking 13th in hitting at .249 and 8th in homers with 90. On the mound, they have been very solid in the early going as they enter this game ranked 6th in the league in ERA at 3.50, while also ranking 10th in WHIP at 1.23rd and 13th in K’s with 614. The pen for the Brewers has been very good so far as it is ranked 3rd in the league with a 2.76 ERA.

Pirates are Hoping To Close The Gap

The Pirates just lost a game at home to the lowly Reds and they will enter their game on Monday night sitting 7 games out of first in the National League Central. The Pirates have a real chance at closing the gap by playing well in this series. The Pirates will enter their game on Monday having won three of their last four games after they went through a stretch that saw them win just six of their previous 23 games. The Pirates will enter Monday’s game having averaged 5.71 rpg in their last seven games while allowing 5.83 rpg in their last six games. Their offense will really be tested against one of the best staffs in the league, while their pitching will also be tested against a team that has scored nine or more runs in four of their last nine games. Leading the Pirates in homers this year has been Gregory Polanco and Francisco Cervelli, who both have nine while leading them in RBIs has been Josh Bell with 36. The Pirates have averaged 4.94 rpg and have allowed 4.11 rpg here at home for the year.

Toeing the rubber for the Pirates will be Jameson Taillon and he has gone 4-5 with a 3.94 ERA and a 1/20 WHIP in 14 starts on the year, including 2-2 with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in seven starts here at home. In his career, he has gone 8-9 with a 4.04 ERA in 3 starts here at PNC Park and 6-3 with a 2.94 ERA in 12 starts during the month of June, while against the Brewers he has gone 1-3 with a 3.47 ERA in seven starts.

Pittsburgh has been a solid offensive team so far as they come in ranked 8th in the league in scoring, putting up just 4.65 rpg, while also ranking 7th in hitting at .254 and 18th in homers with 74. On the mound, they have been below average so far as they come in ranked 22nd in the league in ERA at 4.30, while also ranking 20th in WHIP at 1.32 and 19th in K’s with 586. The bullpen for the Pirates ranks 25th in the league with a 4.54 ERA.

Trends

Milwaukee is:

  • 2-5 in the last seven meetings in Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh is:

  • 4-1 in Taillon’s last five starts during game two of a series
  • 8-3 in Taillon’s last 11 starts with five days of rest

The Pirates are trying to chop off some of the lead that the Brewers have over them in the National League Central and they have played well at home, but the Brewers have played well on the road. Still, I feel that the Pirates can take this one as they have an edge on the mound with Taillon over Peralta. I am aware that the Pirates have never seen Peralta and that he has pitched well in the early going, but I feel that a good Pittsburgh offense can get tio him in this one. Taillon is just 2-2 with a 4.03 ERA here at home and while he is just 1-3 in his career against the Brewers, he does have 3.47 ERA in his seven starts against them. Both teams need this game, but I feel that the Pirates need it a bit more, especially if they are coming off a loss in game one on Monday.  

Pick: Pittsburgh

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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