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Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees,
6-19-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#911 Seattle
Mariners 9
#912 New York
Yankees -165

Tuesday, June 19, 2018 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Seattle Mariners
M. GONZALES

46 - 26

7
W's
3
L's
3.08
ERA
1.27
WHIP

New York Yankees
D. GERMAN

47 - 22

1
W's
3
L's
5.77
ERA
1.18
WHIP

Betting Trends

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The red-hot New York Yankees will host the Seattle Mariners as the AL foes kick off a three game series Tuesday night from Yankee Stadium. The Mariners will give the starting call to 26-year old left-hander Marco Gonzales, and the Yankees will send 25-year old right-hander Domingo German to the mound. The Yankees went 5-2 against the Mariners last season.

Gonzales Targets Fifth Win in Last Six Starts

Marco Gonzales will take the mound for his 15th start of the season, hunting for his third win of the month. Gonzales was decent in his latest start, allowing three runs in five innings against the Angels, resulting in a no-decision in an 8-6 Mariners’ win. The young left-hander is having a terrific first full season in the Majors, sporting a 3.42 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP accompanied with a 7-3 record in 79 innings pitched. Gonzales has only conceded one home run in his last six starts. This will mark his first career meeting against the Yankees.

Nelson Cruz is the hottest hitter on the Mariners, smashing six home runs along with nine RBI’s in his last nine games. The 37-year old DH is still a big threat at the plate, and he enters this one with a .249 average to go with 17 home runs and 40 RBI’s. Cruz went 7 for 26 with two RBI’s against the Yankees pitching last season. The Mariners are averaging a solid 4.38 runs per game, ranking them 15th in the Big Leagues. The Seattle pitching staff is sporting a strong 3.86 team ERA, placing them 12th in the Majors.

German Defeats Rays in Second Straight Quality Start

Domingo German will make his 13th appearance and eighth start of the season, aiming for his second straight win. German was solid in his previous start, holding the Rays to three runs in six innings, and he fanned 10 batters in a 4-3 Yankees’ win. The rookie right-hander has tallied two straight Quality Starts, and he stands at 1-4 with a poor 5.23 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in 53.1 innings of work on the season. German has now tallied 63 strikeouts in his 53.1 innings pitched. This will be his first career meeting against the Mariners.

Gleyber Torres is another young Yankees’ hitter that is enjoying a breakout season, currently hitting .283 with 13 home runs and 34 RBI’s. The 21-year old rookie second baseman has belted three home runs along with six RBI’s in his last eight games. The Yankees also feature 23-year old Miguel Andujar who is currently hitting .293 with 28 RBI’s. The Yankees continue to lead the Majors in run production, averaging 5.28 runs per game. The New York pitching staff features a 3.43 team ERA, good for fifth in the Major Leagues.

Trends:

The Seattle Mariners are:

  • 5-0 in Gonzales’ last 5 starts.
  • 10-4 in their last 14 games against a team with a winning record.
  • 4-0 in Gonzales’ last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record.
  • 7-1 in their last 8 games in the first game of a series.

The New York Yankees are:

  • No Key Trends

I am taking the Mariners in this showdown. Marco Gonzales is having a terrific season on the mound, allowing only a combined six runs over his last six starts (38.1 innings), and he features a 5-2 record with a strong 3.29 ERA in his seven road starts on the season. Furthermore, Domingo German is struggling at Yankee Stadium, posting a 5.40 ERA in 30 innings. The Mariners are one of the hottest teams in the Majors, winning 13 out of their last 17 games.

Pick: Seattle Mariners

The Mariners are swinging the bats well, and the high-scoring Yankees should be able to get to Marco Gonzales. Seattle has scored at least five runs in five out of their last eight games, plus Domingo German owns a poor 5.40 ERA at Yankee Stadium this season, and the over is 5-1 in the Mariners’ last six road games. Marco Gonzales owns a subpar 4.43 career ERA, and New York is always dangerous at Yankee Stadium, so I expect both deep lineups to do damage against two young pitchers, plus the over is 6-1 in Gonzales’ last seven starts against a team with a winning record.

Pick: Over

5

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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