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Tuesday evening on the MLB diamond and the National League Central will square off with the National League East as the St Louis Cardinals pay a visit to Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA to grapple with the Philadelphia Phillies in game two of the three-game set. The teams split the four games against each other so far. Pitching Probables: Luke Weaver (3-6, 4.52 ERA) will toe the slab for the Cardinals while the Phillies will trot out Vince Velasquez (5-7, 4.74 ERA).
Cards Salvage One Against The Cubs
The St Louis Cardinals came into their game with the Cubs on Sunday night struggling as they had lost their previous four games in a row, but they were able to break the slide with a 5-0 win. The Cubs had scored 19 runs in the first two games, but the Cards shut that offense down in front of the ESPN cameras. Jack Flaherty had a very solid outing as he allowed just two hits and three walks while striking out seven in 5.0 innings of work. The game was tied at 0-0 when he left so he got a no-decision. Grabbing the win was John Brebbia, who allowed two hits in an inning, He is now 1-1 with a 3.20 ERA on the year. The Cards pen has struggled this year, but they did shut out the Cubs over the last five innings of that game. Going deep for the Cards in the win was Matt Carpenter, which was his 10th of the year. St Louis has averaged 4.47 rpg and has allowed 4.20 rpg on the road so far.
Taking the hill for the Cardinals will be Luke Weaver and he has gone 3-6 with a 4.52 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP in 14 starts on the year, including 3-3 with a 4.98 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP in seven starts on the road. In his career, he has gone 7-7 with a 4.61 ERA in 18 games (17 starts) on the road and 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA in June, while against the Phillies he has gone 0-2 with a 3.00 ERA in two starts, including 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in one start here at Citizens Bank Park.
The Cardinals have been below average on offense so far as they come in ranked 19th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.26 rpg, while also ranking 16th in hitting at .244 and 11th in homers with 86. On the mound, they have been very solid in the early going as they are ranked 10th in the league in ERA at 3.68 while also ranking 15th in WHIP at 1.29 and 21st in K’s with 580. The pen for the Cardinals ranks 24th in the league in ERA at 4.38.
Franco Leads Phillies Over Brewers
The Philadelphia Phillies had been struggling, but they have turned it back around of late as they just took two of three games in Milwaukee and they have now won five of their last seven games, after losing seven of their previous eight games. They had really been struggling to score over that stretch as they averaged 2.75 rpg in those eight games, but the offense looks to be back on track as they will enter their contest on Monday night having averaged 5.14 rpg over their last seven games. The Phillies are still four games out of first in the National League East, but at least they are still very much in the fight. They took the finale against the Brewers by a score of 10-9 and nearly blew the game as they had a 10-5 score heading to the bottom of the 9th. Hector Neris had another rough outing as he allowed four ERs in just 0.2 innings of the 9th inning before Jake Thompson came in and picked up the save. It was his 2nd of the year. The offense was led by Maikel Franco, who had two hits and, including his 10th homer of the year, while driving in four runs. Hoskins (10th) and Herrera (9th) also went deep in the game. The Phillies have averaged 4.82 rpg and have allowed 3.71 rpg here at home for the year so far.
The Phillies will trot out Vince Velasquez in this one and he has gone 5-7 with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP in 14 starts on the year, including 3-4 with a 6.88 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP in seven starts here at home. In his career, he has gone 9-12 with a 4.84 ERA in 36 games (31 starts) in his home games and 2-2 with a 4.53 ERA in 10 starts during the month of June, while against the Cardinals he has gone 1-1 with a 3.65 ERA in two starts. Velasquez has gone 8-12 with a 4.78 ERA in 27 career starts here at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies have been a below offensive team so far as they come in ranked 19th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.24 rpg, while also ranking 26th in hitting at .231 and 20th in homers with 70. On the mound, they have been above average so far as they are ranked 12th in the league in ERA at 3.78, while also ranking 11th in WHIP at 1.24 and 9th in K’s with 597. The pen for the Phillies rank 21st in the league with a 4.05 ERA.
St Louis is:
- 9-19 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
- 2-5 in Weaver’s last seven starts vs. a team with a winning record
- 14-6 in their last 20 home games vs. a right-handed starter
- 5-0 in their last five games vs. a right-handed starter overall
The Cardinals have not been playing great ball of late, while the Phillies have gotten Back on track. The cards will send out Luke Weaver and he has struggled this year, going 3-6 with a 4.52 ERA overall, including 3-3 with a 4.98 ERA on the road. Vince Velasquez has really struggled at home this year, where he has gone 3-4 with a 6.88 ERA, but he will be taking on a struggling St Louis offense, plus he has had quality starts in three of his last four home games. He has allowed 16 ERs in his last four home starts, but 10 of those game in a game against the Brewers. I will look for him to have a good outing in this one. Take The Phillies in this one.
The Over is 5-1 in Philadelphia’s last six home games, but we also note that the Under is Under is 13-6-1 in St Louis’ last 20 games vs. a right-handed starter. Something has to give in this one. Vince Velasquez has pitched well in three of his last four home games, but those four games have averaged 10.25 rpg and his home games overall have put up 12.14 rpg on the year. Luke Weaver has a 4.98 ERA on the road this year and his road starts have averaged 10.00 rpg on the year. Both starters are struggling and behind them are a couple of pens that are not that good, especially the Philly pen which has a 5.64 ERA over its last 10 games. I like this one to go Over the total, especially since the Over is 7-1 in Velasquez’s last eight starts vs. the National League Central.