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Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants,
6-20-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#955 Miami
Marlins 8
#956 San Francisco
Giants -120

Wednesday, June 20, 2018 at 3:45pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Miami Marlins
J. URENA

29 - 45

2
W's
8
L's
4.18
ERA
1.15
WHIP

San Francisco Giants
D. HOLLAND

36 - 38

4
W's
7
L's
4.48
ERA
1.3
WHIP

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The National League East meets the National League West this afternoon as the Miami Marlins battle it out with the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park in San Francisco, California in game three of their three-game series. The Marlins took game one by a score of 5-4. Pitching Probables: Jose Urena (2-8, 4.18 ERA) will get the nod for the Marlins and he will be opposed by Derek Holland (4-7, 4.48 ERA).

Marlins Rally In The 9th To Take Down The Giants

The Miami Marlins have been the worst team in the National League East and they will enter their game on Tuesday night at 15 games under .500 for the year, but this team has been playing very well of late as they have won six of their last eight games and nine of their last 14. They were able to steal game one of this series by plating three runs in the top of the 9th as they walked away with a 5-4 win. Miguel Rojas got the game-winning hit on an RBI single in that three-run 9th and then Kyle Barraclough came in an picked up his 6th save of the year. Rojas had two hits and drove in three total runs in the game overall. Caleb Smith got the start and it was not a great one for him as he allowed four ERs on six hits and two walks while striking out four in just four innings of work. Tayron Guerrero got the win and has now gon 1-2 with a 5.34 ERA on the year. It was his 1st career win. The Marlins have averaged 3.63 rpg and have allowed 5.66 rpg on the road so far.

Taking the hill for the Marlins will be Jose Urena and he has gone 2-8 with a 4.18 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in 15 starts on the year, including 2-1 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in six starts on the road. In his career, he has gone 14-8 with a 5.20 ERA in 47 games (29 starts) on the road and 6-5 with a 3.31 ERA in 15 starts during the month of June, plus 8-8 with a 3.08 ERA in 30 games (20 starts) in the daytime, while against the Giants he has gone 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA in three games (two starts), including 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA in two games (one start) here at AT&T Park.

The Marlins have been a poor offensive team so far as they come in ranked 30th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.53 rpg, while also ranking 24th in hitting at .235 and 30th in homers with 56. On the mound, they have been poor as they enter this contest ranked 25th in the league in ERA at 4.77, while also ranking 23rd in WHIP at 1.39 and 22nd in K’s with 580. The Marlins have a pen ERA of 5.00, which is 27th in the league.

Hunter Strickland Blows It In The 9th

The San Francisco Giants will enter their game on Tuesday night three games under .500, but they are still just 5.5 games out of first in the rather weak National League West. The Giants had a chance to stay within 4.5 games of the Diamondback, but a 9th inning blow-up by Hunter Strickland allowed the Marlins to rally for a 5-4 win. Strickland allowed three ERs on three hits and two walks in just a 3rd of an inning to take the loss. He is now 3-3 with a 3.84 ERA on the year and it was his 4th blown save so far. Andrew Suarez got the start and allowed just two ERs on five hits and a walk while striking out seven in 6.1 innings of work. Pablo Sandoval led the attack on offense with his 6th homer of the year, which was a two-run shot in a three-run 2nd inning for the Giants. The Giants have been struggling of late as they have now lost six of their last eight games as they head into play on Tuesday night. San Francisco has averaged 5.00 rpg and has allowed 4.35 rpg at home for the year.   

Getting the nod for the Giants will be Derek Holland and he has gone 4-7 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP in 14 starts on the year, including 1-2 with a 5.55 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in five starts here at home. In his career, he has gone 40-32 with a 4.73 ERA in 112 games (100 starts) in his home games and 7-12 with a 5.40 ERA in 28 games (27 starts) during the month of June, plus 20-22 with a 3.94 ERA in 63 games (54 starts) in the daytime, while against the Marlins he has gone 0-1 with a 67.50 ERA in one start. Holland is 1-2 with a 4.60 ERA in six career starts in this park.

The Giants have been rather poor on offense so far as they are ranked 23rd in the league in scoring, putting up 4.14 rpg, while also ranking 6th in hitting at .255 and 19th in homers with 76. On the mound, they have been below average so far as they rank 20th in the league in ERA at 4.18 while also ranking 22nd in WHIP at 1.33 and 24th in K’s with 554. The Giants have a pen ERA of 3.70, which is 11th in the league.

Trends

Miami is:

  • The Under is 5-0 in Urena’s last five starts vs. the National League West
  • The Under is 15-7-1 in Urena’s last 23 starts during game three of a series

San Francisco is:

  • The Under is 6-2 in Holland’s last eight starts on grass

The Marlins really stole one in game one of this series as their offense came alive in the top of the 9th, but still, this is the worst offense in the league so far and while Derek Holland has some poor numbers overall, he does have a solid 2.00 ERA in his last three starts. Jose Urena has really pitched in some bad luck this year as the offense has not helped him out at all so far. Yes, he is 2-8 on the year, but with a decent 4.08 ERA. He comes in pitching well as he has a 2.88 ERA over his last four starts and while the Giants have averaged 5.00 rpg here at home, I just don’t see that offense doing a ton of damage against him or a Miami pen that has a 2.28 ERA in its last 10 games. Holland’s last three games have averaged just 6.67 rpg, while Urena’s last four games have averaged 5.50 rpg. Take the Under in this one.

Pick: Under

David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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