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New York Mets (31-38 SU, 32-37 RL, 29-38-2 O/U) vs. Colorado Rockies (34-38 SU, 33-39 RL, 33-33-6 O/U)
MLB: Wednesday, June 20, 2018 at 8:40 EST
The Colorado Rockies and New York Mets will continue a four-game series when they collide at Coors Field in Colorado on Wednesday night. New York took the opener on Monday for its third win in a row on the heels of a four-game losing streak. The Rockies’ setback was their third in succession and ninth in their last 11 outings.
The Mets face an uphill climb in the National League East standings but may have a breakout star in outfielder Brandon Nimmo. Nimmo has created some much-needed buzz in New York, as the red-hot 25-year-old homered twice and finished 4-for-6 with a career-high four RBIs in Monday’s 12-2 victory over Colorado. With that the Mets extended their winning streak to three games. Wilmer Flores and Devin Mesoraco also homered, but the New York offense was led again by Nimmo–who is 9-for-15 in his last three games and has 19 extra-base hits (seven doubles, two triples, 10 homers) and 17 RBI in his last 25 games. Outfielder Jay Bruce has missed four of the last five games with a sore hip and is listed as day-to-day.
Right-hander Seth Lugo (2-2, 2.49 ERA) is taking the mound for New York on Wednesday. Lugo’s 24th appearance of the season last Friday was his third start, and it did not go well. He allowed five runs on eight hits and one walk while striking out seven batters in 5.0 innings of work during a 7-3 loss to Arizona. Still, Lugo is sporting a solid 2.49 ERA for the season.
Bettis going downhill
Colorado has lost nine of its last 11 games and fallen four games under .500 for the first time this season. The Rockies, who have lost eight in a row at home, are hoping for more production from catchers Chris Iannetta, Tony Wolters, and Tom Murphy (Murphy went 0-for-3 with three strikeouts in Tuesday’s loss).
Right-hander Chad Bettis (5-1, 4.65 ERA) will oppose Lugo on Tuesday. Bettis’ ERA has been on a steady climb since he was sporting a 2.05 mark through his first seven outings of the season. After delivering four quality starts in those seven appearances, he has since turned in just one such performance over his seven most recent starts–and even that one was right on the “quality” cut line (three runs allowed in 6.0 innings of work against San Francisco on May 17). Bettis has given up five runs in each of his last four appearances, none of which lasted more than 6.0 innings. The 29-year-old most recently faced Texas last Friday, when he logged 5.2 innings and surrendered five runs on six hits and three walks while striking out six batters in a 9-5 win for the Rockies.
The New York Mets are:
- 6-2 in their last eight games against the National League West
- 7-3 in their last 10 road games against teams with losing records
- 13-2 in Lugo’s last 15 starts against teams with losing records
The Colorado Rockies are:
- 2-9 in their last 11 overall
- 0-8 in their last eight home games
- 1-4 in their last five games against teams with losing records
The Mets have hit 29 home runs in their last 23 games, although they would want more runners on base (22 of the 29 have been solo shots). Although Lugo did not pitch especially well last week, his 2018 numbers are impressive. New York is 6-2 in its last eight against the National League West, 7-3 in its last 10 on the road against losing opponents, 9-3 in its last 12 on the road against opponents with home winning percentages under .400, and 13-2 in Lugo’s last 15 starts against losing opponents. The Rockies are 2-9 in their last 11 overall, 0-8 in their last eight at home, 1-4 in their last five against losing opponents, 1-5 in their last six against starters with WHIPs under 1.15, 1-8 in their last nine against right-handed starters, and 1-4 in Bettis’ last five home starts. Don’t be surprised if those trends continue.
Pick: New York Mets
Lugo’s career ERA against Colorado is 4.66, while Bettis’ ERA against New York over the past three seasons is 4.50. The latter could struggle again on Wednesday given the way Nimmo has hit the baseball of late. And an outing in Coors Field may not be ideal as Lugo hopes to get back on track. The over is 9-2-1 in Lugo’s last 12 road starts, 5-1-1 in his last seven road starts against losing opponents, and 6-0 in his last six starts against the National League West. It is also 15-4-2 in the Rockies’ last 21 overall, 8-1-1 in their last 10 at home, 4-0 in their last four against the National League East, 11-1-1 in their last 13 against right-handed starters, 5-1 in their last six at home against right-handed starters, and 4-0-1 in Bettis’ last five home starts. Look for this one to go over the total.