Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#3905 Los Angeles Dodgers vs.
#3906 Cincinnati Reds
Thursday, June 23, 2022 at 12:35pm EDT
Written by Mason Folz

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This Thursday the (41-25) Los Angeles Dodgers and the (23-44) Cincinnati Reds will play their final game of this three-game series. The first pitch will be thrown out at 12:35 PM EST inside the Great American Ball Park. This is the second series between these two teams this season, as the Dodgers swept the Reds earlier in the year. Los Angeles also won game one of this series, as their offense showed that they were one of the best in the league.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming into this one after losing their previous series to the Cleveland Guardians. The Dodgers looked shaky at the plate in their two losses, but they rebounded in game one of this series. They scored eight runs against the Reds on Tuesday and covered the run line spread.

The Cincinnati Reds are entering this one after getting swept by the Milwaukee Brewers in their previous series. They struggled in the field, as the Reds allowed at least five runs in all three games.

This game was written/published before last night's results.

The Dodger's Bats are on Fire!

The Los Angeles Dodgers have started this regular season strong, as they are currently in first place in the NL West. At the plate, the Dodgers are currently scoring 5.06 runs per game and they are hitting .250 as a team. This is the second most runs scored per game and the ninth highest overall team batting average. They are very good at making contact with the ball and they have also been solid when they have men in scoring position. The Dodgers have shown that they can change the game with one swing of the bat, as well. They are averaging 1.20 home runs per game, which is the 10th highest average in the league. This team can score multiple different ways and their batting order is deep enough to always give them a chance. I also expect the Dodgers to stay aggressive once they have reached base safely. They have already recorded 44 stolen bases, which is the fourth most in the league. They attempt to move their base runners into scoring position as quickly as they can, as this offense is ready to strike at all times. Watch for Trea Turner at the plate in this one. He is currently leading the team with a .310 batting average and 49 runs batted in. With Mookie Betts out of the lineup, watch for Turner to step up big for his team.

In the field, the Dodgers have also been solid to begin this season. They are currently allowing 2.90 runs per game and they have a 1.07 overall team WHIP rating. This is the second least amount of runs allowed per game and the second-lowest team WHIP rating in the league. They make it very difficult to reach base safely, which has allowed them to hold their opponents to fewer runs. Los Angeles has also already recorded 25 quality starts, which is the 10th most in the league. Their starting pitching rotation has been incredible to begin this season, as they have multiple arms that can go deep into these games. They aren't forced to turn to their bullpen early in these games either, as this has allowed them to stay fresh and ready. The Dodgers are one of the best fielding teams in the league, as well. They have only recorded 32 errors this season, which is the seventh least in the MLB. They are very strong in the field and they don't make many mistakes that come back to haunt them.

According to MLB.com, Clayton Kershaw will be getting the start on the mound in this one. He has started this season (4-1) with a 2.08 ERA and .85 WHIP rating. He has also struck out 40 batters in the 39.0 innings that he has pitched.

The Reds Can't Heat Up

The Cincinnati Reds have had a very difficult start to this 2022 regular season. They are currently in last place in the NL Central. Luckily, they still have plenty of time to string together some wins! At the plate, the Reds are currently scoring 4.31 runs per game and they are hitting .237 as a team. This is the 17th most runs scored per game and the 20th highest overall team batting average. They have struggled to reach base consistently, which has made it much more difficult to score. The Reds have also realized that they don't have as much home run-hitting power littered throughout their lineup as they originally thought. Cincinnati is only averaging .98 home runs per game, which is the 17th lowest average in the league. Watch for Kyle Farmer at the plate in this one. He is currently hitting .277, which leads his team. He has also driven 38 runs, as he has been solid when they have men in scoring position.

In the field, the Reds have some work to do. They are currently allowing 5.27 runs per game and have a 1.41 overall team WHIP rating. This is the most runs allowed per game and the 27th highest overall team WHIP rating. Reaching base safely against the Reds has been a cakewalk for most teams this season, as their starting pitching and fielding have both had their issues. Cincinnati has only recorded 19 quality starts, which is the 21st most in the league. They have been forced to turn to their bullpen early in these games, as their starting pitching has not been trustworthy.

According to MLB.com, Hunter Greene will be on the mound in this one. He has started this season (3-7) with a 5.26 ERA. He has also already surrendered 17 home runs, which is way too many in my opinion. The Reds also need to make sure they pick up the slack in the field. They have already committed 39 fielding errors this season, which is the 19th most in the league. They can't continue to make these mistakes and still expect to win.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I will be hammering the Los Angeles Dodgers run line spread (-1.5) against the Reds in this game. The Dodgers have Clayton Kershaw on the mound and I don't see the Reds being able to score enough runs against him to keep this game close. Cincinnati is only scoring the 17th most runs per game and they have the 22nd highest overall team batting average. Kershaw has started this season (4-1) with a 2.08 ERA, as he looks like he is on a mission this season. He is playing too good and the Reds aren't going to be able to touch him. The Dodgers are also allowing the second least amount of runs per game. At the plate, Los Angeles will also get the job done. They are currently scoring the second-most runs per game and they have the ninth-highest overall team batting average. They will hit Greene early and often in this one and the Reds will be forced to turn to their bullpen early. This Dodgers team isn't in the same league as the Reds. Expect Kershaw to dominate and the Dodgers will cover the spread.

Pick Los Angeles Dodgers and lay the run line spread (-1.5).

Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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I will be riding with the over (9.5) runs in this matchup. The Los Angeles Dodgers are currently hitting the ball very well and I expect them to score a ton of runs in this game. They are currently scoring the second-most runs per game and they have the ninth-highest overall team batting average. They will consistently reach base against Hunter Greene and they will do their part in pushing this total over the number. Greene has started this season (3-7) with a 5.26 ERA. The Dodgers are going to get to him early and the Reds will be forced to turn to their bullpen quicker than they would like. Cincinnati is also allowing the most runs per game and they have the 27th highest overall team WHIP rating. Reaching base safely and driving in runs is going to be easy for the Dodgers in this one. The over is also 5-0-1 in Kershaw's last 6 starts vs. National League Central teams. The Reds will eventually cash in on the offensive side of the field, as I expect them to give us a few insurance runs to push this total over (9.5). The Dodgers will do the majority of the scoring, though.

Take the over (9.5) runs and expect the Dodgers to light up the scoreboard in this one.

Prediction: Over 9.5
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Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!