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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets,
6-24-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#953 Los Angeles
Dodgers -150
#954 New York
Mets 8

Sunday, June 24, 2018 at 1:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Los Angeles Dodgers
R. HILL

40 - 35

1
W's
2
L's
4.99
ERA
1.57
WHIP

New York Mets
J. BLEVINS

31 - 43

0
W's
0
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

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The National League West battles it out with the National League East this afternoon as the Los Angeles Dodgers take on the New York Mets at Citi Field in New York in game three of a three-game series. The Dodgers took game one by a score of 5-2. Pitching Probables: Rich Hill (1-2, 4.99 ERA) will toe the slab for the Dodgers and the Mets will counter with Jason Vargas (2-6, 8.60 ERA).

Bellinger’s Slam Leads Dodgers Over The Mets

The Los Angeles Dodgers are right in the thick of the National League West, so losing games to the lowly teams in the league would not be good for them. Well, they started this series offense against a struggling New York team with a nice 5-2 win on Friday night. The Dodgers remained just 2.5 games out of first in their division with the win and they really needed the win as they had lost three of their last four games. The game was tied 0-0 when Cody Bellinger uncorked a grand slam in the top of the 6th inning to give the Dodgers all the offense they needed in the game. He now has 13 homers on the year. The Mets did score two in the bottom of the 6th, but that was all the offense they got and the Dodgers added an insurance run in the top of the 9th with Yasiel Puig’s 9th homer of the year. The Dodgers have averaged 5.34 rpg and have allowed 4.26 rpg on the road.   

The Dodgers will send out Rich Hill in this one and he has gone 1-2 with a 4.99 ERA and a 1.56 ERA in seven starts on the year, including 0-0 with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in three starts on the road. In his career, he has gone 25-21 with a 4.19 ERA in 121 games (62 starts) on the road and 5-5 with a 5.11 ERA in 33 games (18 starts) during the month of June, plus 18-11 with a 4.10 ERA in 82 games (44 starts) in the daytime, while against the Mets he has gone 1-2 with an 8.00 ERA in six games (four starts), including 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA in one start here at Citi Field.  

The Dodgers have been solid on offense so far as they come in ranked 8th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.65 rpg, while also ranking 19th in hitting at .241 and 11th in homers with 93. On the mound, they have been solid as they come in ranked 8th in the league in with an ERA of 3.57, while ranking 9th in WHIP at 1.23 and 5th in K’s with 701. The pen for the Dodgers ranks 11th in the league with a 3.67 ERA.

Losses Continue To Pile Up For The Mets

The New York Mets started out the season at 11-1 and it looked as they were finally going to be a player in the National League East again, but then the injuries started to pile up and the pitching wasn’t as good as it was earlier in the year and the Mets have now fallen to 11 games under .500 for the year and 11.5 games out of first in their division. The Mets lost game one of this series and will now enter Saturday’s game having gone just 20-41 in their last 61 games, including just 4-16 in their last 20 games. The losses just keep piling up for them. Taking the loss in game one was Zack Wheeler, who allowed four ERs on five hits and three walks while striking out seven in 7.0 innings of work to fall to 2-6 with a 4.85 ERA on the year and he is now 8-20 with a 4.97 ERA in his career in this park. Accounting for the offense in the loss was Jose Bautista, who hit a two-run shot in the bottom of the 6th. He now has three homers on the year. The Mets have averaged just 3.03 rpg and have allowed 4.03 rpg here at home for the year so far.

Toeing the rubber for the Mets will be Jason Vargas and he has gone 2-6 with an 8.60 ERA and a 1.83 WHIP in nine starts on the year, including 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in three starts here at home. In his career, he has gone 49-39 with a 3.70 ERA in 127 games (118 starts) in his home games and 18-14 with a 4.00 ERA in 40 starts during the month of June, plus 20-18 with a 4.17 ERA in 74 games (69 starts) in the daytime, while against the Dodgers he has gone 2-2 with a 4.39 ERA in four starts. The three starts he has at Citi Field are the only three starts here in his career.

The Mets have been poor on offense so far as they come in ranked 24th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.96 rpg, while also ranking 27th in hitting at .233 and 21st in homers with 76. On the mound, they have been below average in the early going as they enter this contest ranked 21st in the league in ERA at 4.23 while also ranking 21st in WHIP at 1.33 and 8th in K’s with 672. The pen for the Mets ranks 26th in the league with a 4.57 ERA.

Trends

Los Angeles is:

  • 11-1 in their last 12 games in this series  
  • 10-1 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

New York is:

  • 7-20 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
  • 8-22 in their last 30 home games vs. a left-handed starter

The Dodgers will send out Rich Hill for this one and while he has struggled overall and has struggled against the Mets in his career, he does have a 2.70 ERA on the road this year and the Mets have averaged just 3.03 here at home. Jason Vagar has been a mess this year as he has gone 2-8 with an 8.60 ERA overall, including 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA here at home. He should struggle in this one against a Dodgers’ offense that has averaged a solid 5.34 rpg on the road for the year. The Mets are just 4-16 in their last 20 games and they do not have the pitching in this one to make that record look any better. I like the Dodgers to take this one and it could be a rather easy win.

Pick: Los Angeles -1.5

The Mets have been a weak offensive team at home, while the Dodgers have been a strong offensive team on the road, which makes picking a total a bit tricky. Still, I will give it a go. The Dodgers have averaged 5.34 rpg on the road and will be facing Jason Vargas, who has an 8.76 ERA in his last three starts and a 12.91 ERA in two day starts. His home starts have averaged just 5.33 rpg, but I don’t see that holding up in this one. The Mets have struggled on offense, but Rich Hill has a 4.66 ERA in day games and an 8.00 ERA in his career against the Mets. All four of his starts against the Mets have seen at least nine runs being scored, while Vargas’ nine starts this year overall have averaged 10.44 rpg. I will look for this one to go Over the total.    

Pick: Over

Confidence: 4

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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