Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#6975 Colorado Rockies vs.
#6976 Minnesota Twins
Friday, June 24, 2022 at 8:10pm EDT
Written by Mark Ruelle

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The Colorado Rockies travel to Minnesota to take on the Twins in an interleague matchup on Friday night. The Rockies are in last place in the very competitive NL West Division as they battle the Arizona Diamondbacks to stay out of the basement. Minnesota remains in a dog fight with Cleveland for first place in the Al Central. The pitching matchup for Friday night will feature righty German Marquez (3-5, 6.16) of the Rockies taking on fellow righty Dylan Bundy (4-3, 5.17) of the Twins. Game time is set for 8:10pm EST.

Rocky in Colorado

The Rockies have hit a rough patch as of late and are now battling with the Diamondbacks to avoid the basement in the NL West. Colorado has not slipped too far out of range of Arizona thanks to the Diamondbacks' recent struggles as well. In the midst of a brief six-game road trip, the Rockies have started slowly. The Rockies' pitching stumbled in the first two games, losing 9-8 and 7-4. In the series finale on Thursday afternoon, the Rockies could only produce two runs on 12 hits. Colorado left 13 men on base and wasted an outstanding performance from starter Kyle Freeland who gave up just 2 runs in 7 innings of work. Colorado has now lost three in a row and is a season-worst 10 games under .500.

The Rockies' home and road splits are once again pronounced this year as they struggle to match their offensive output on the road. The Rockies are hitting just .239 on the road this season and, coming into Thursday's series finale, they are just 11-20 away from home. The Rockies are averaging just 3.2 runs per game on the road this season, a number that would place them 28th in baseball in runs per game. On the mound on Friday night will be German Marquez. Marquez has been inconsistent this season and has allowed 89 hits in just 73 innings pitched. He has also allowed a team-leading 14 home runs this season.

Minnesota in a Dog Fight

The Minnesota Twins have held the lead in the AL Central for much of the 2022 season thus far. Minnesota, after a productive offseason, figured to be in the hunt for the division title but they likely didn't expect the race to be with the Cleveland Guardians. Yet, after a rough series with the Guardians at home, the Twins find themselves in a battle for first place with the young, upstart squad. After losing the first two games of the series, including a stunning loss in game 2 after leading by 3 heading into the 9th, Minnesota went into Thursday afternoon's game looking to salvage a game in the series. The Twins got an outstanding performance from left-hander Devin Smeltzer who went six innings and allowed just three hits without a run. Four relievers combined to shut out the Guardians the rest of the way to take a 1-0 win and once again even things up in the AL Central Division.

The Twins staff has an ERA of 4.55 in the last ten games prior to Thursday's finale. The Twins are 3-7 during that stretch and have had just 2 quality starts over that span. They have allowed 85 hits in 87 innings and given up 15 home runs over that span. The staff is, however, getting healthier with the return of Sonny Gray last week and they will soon have the services of Bailey Ober as well. Friday night's starter will be Dylan Bundy. Bundy is coming off his best performance of the season, going 8 innings and allowing 4 hits and just 1 run while striking out 7 in an 11-1 Twins win in Arizona. It was an encouraging turnaround for Bundy who failed to get into the fifth inning in his previous two starts.

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The Twins need to right the ship and now keep pace with the suddenly hot Cleveland Guardians. The Rockies are a completely different team at home than they are on the road and the team's poor offensive production will continue in Minnesota. Bundy is 2-0 at home this season and has allowed 15 hits in 19 innings of work. He is also coming off his best performance of the season in a season-long 8-inning stint in Arizona. Bundy should once again benefit from facing a light-hitting lineup as the Rockies have proved to be on the road this season. The Twins, despite their struggles against Cleveland, have been a solid home team this season. They are hitting nearly .260 as a team at home and are averaging 4.5 runs per game at home this year. Expect the Twins to take advantage of Marquez propensity for giving up the long ball as they have belted 52 home runs at Target Field.

Take the Twins with the money line.

Prediction: Minnesota -154

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While the Rockies are a near-lock to the over at home, the same is not true on the road this season. They are among the worst scoring teams in baseball away from Coors Field, averaging just 3.3 runs per game. Marquez has been a slightly better road pitcher than at home with a +5 ERA on the road compared with +7 at home. Bundy is sporting a tidy 2.29 ERA at home this season so he should be able to keep the Rockies' bats from doing much damage. Colorado is 6-4 to the under in its last ten road games.

Take the under, 9 runs.

Prediction: Under 9
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Written By Mark Ruelle , "Mark Ruelle"

Mark has been a sports fanatic since childhood. He is also an avid follower of sports analytics and has used it in his own betting analysis for over two decades. Now we have Mark on our team here at Stat Salt. He holds degrees in marketing, broadcasting, and English and uses this vast array of assets to dissect and analyze game matchups. Mark will provide you with a wide variety of statistics to consider and a strong opinion in each matchup that he covers. Please follow him daily for an up-to-the-minute analysis of all the important games.