Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#967 Minnesota Twins -210 vs.
#968 Detroit Tigers 9
Sunday, June 9, 2019 at 1:10pm EDT
Written by Chris Altruda



#967 Minnesota
#968 Detroit


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Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers

When and Were: Sunday, June 9, Comerica Park, Detroit, Mich., 1:10 p.m. EDT.

Currently one of the hottest pitchers in the majors, Jake Odorizzi goes after his ninth straight win Sunday when the Minnesota Twins wrap up their three-game series with the Detroit Tigers.

Odorizzi still far from Santana’s single-season club record of 13 straight wins

Odorizzi (8-2, 1.96 ERA), who is also trying to become the fifth nine-game winner in the majors, has not lost since April 10 as part of an 0-2 beginning to the season over his first three outings.

Both and he and Chicago White Sox starter Lucas Giolito are riding eight-game winning streaks after the latter defeated Kansas City on Saturday.

Since that loss to the New York Mets, the right-hander has gone 8-0 with a 1.02 ERA in his last nine starts, limiting opponents to a .195 batting average while accumulating 55 strikeouts in 53 innings. Odorizzi has also allowed just 6.28 hits per nine innings in this stretch, including a mere seven extra-base hits.

Odorizzi also carries a shutout streak of 16 1-3 innings into this contest as he seeks a third consecutive winning start. He scattered three hits and a walk over six innings of Minnesota’s 9-7 win over Tampa Bay last Sunday and matched a season high with nine strikeouts against his old team.

“His velo is up. His fastball really, really plays up. He’s got a knack to pitch right at the top of the zone. You could tell from the side that he had a lot of zip with the pitches,” Rays manager Kevin Cash noted to after watching his former pitcher. “I know he threw a couple of breaking balls and a couple of changeups in there, but he wasn’t going to get off the fastball until we made him, and we didn’t do that.”

The righty has been tougher on the road than at home during his win streak, going 3-0 with a 0.79 ERA in four starts, and has a 17-inning shutout streak outside Target Field heading into this contest. He is chasing Johan Santana’s club record of 13 straight wins established in 2004 when the Twins won the division.

In a first half of quality starts, his one against Detroit on May 10 may have been the best of the bunch. Odorizzi allowed a first-inning double and retired the final 20 batters he faced in Minnesota’s 6-0 victory. He improved to 4-1 with a 3.24 ERA in nine career starts versus the Tigers and has not lost to them since his first matchup in 2014.

Tigers rookie Christin Stewart has found some success versus Odorizzi, going 3 for 7 with a triple and a double.

Carpenter trying to build on first win of season for Tigers

Like Odorizzi, Ryan Carpenter (1-2, 6.23 ERA) is coming off a victory over the Tampa Bay Rays in his last start. The left-hander shook off a third-inning homer to allow two runs over a career-best seven innings in outpitching reigning AL Cy Young Award winner Blake Snell in a 9-6 Tigers victory Tuesday.

Carpenter has strung together three good outings after getting shellacked for 14 runs and 16 hits over nine innings in losing his first two starts after being called up. The southpaw has allowed six runs over 17 innings in his last three appearances.

His other career win came at Target Field against the Twins last year, giving up three solo homers and eight hits overall in 5 1-3 innings of a 7-5 victory Aug. 18.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Plain and simple, this is a confidence pick in Odorizzi to keep things moving along and give the Twins a winning record on their 10-game road swing. The righty has been a bulldog on the road, has a strong track record on the road in 2019 and also tore through the Tigers once already this season.

Prediction: Twins -1.5 runs (-145)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


As expected given Odorizzi’s dominant run, the under has been on his side. It is 7-1 in his last eight starts vs. AL Central teams, 5-1 in his last six against sub-.500 teams and 10-3 in his last 13 when starting game 3 of a series.

While there is some concern with the over 5-1 in his last six road starts, Carpenter has shown enough of late to feel confident the teams will come close without going over. The under is also 7-2-1 in the last 10 games between the teams at Comerica Park.

Being given the hook on the high side is all the more reason to take the under with Odorizzi’s current form.

Prediction: UNDER 9.5 runs (-121)

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:


AL Central opponents have totaled one run in the three games Odorizzi has started against them this year, with the righty accounting for 18 1-3 of the 27 innings. The Twins have been a mixed bag offensively against the Tigers, scoring four or more runs in four of the eight meetings, but Odorizzi’s form is the swing vote.

Prediction: Twins UNDER 3.5 runs (-115)

First Five Innings Side Pick

Insiders Status:


This is an aggressive play on an alternate line, courtesy Odorizzi has conceded a grand total of three runs in the first five innings of his last nine starts, and the Twins have led by two or more runs in seven of them.

Prediction: Twins -1.5 runs (+146)

First Five Innings Total Bet

Insiders Status:


This is a pick with some confidence in Carpenter to at least get through the Twins lineup once relatively unscathed to keep the under in play. The lefty has delivered the five-inning under in two of his last three starts.

Prediction: UNDER 5 runs (-110)

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

Insiders Status:


The Twins offense is worth a flyer against Carpenter, who has given up two or more runs in three of his five starts in the first three innings and at least one in all five. But the confidence comes from Minnesota’s offense, which has averaged .52 runs or better in each of the first three frames, including an impressive 1.14 mark in the third.

Prediction: Twins OVER 1.5 runs (-110)

Written By Chris Altruda

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is a freelance sportswriter based in Chicago. He has worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Can be followed on Twitter at @AlTruda73.