Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Picks - July 10, 2024

Author: The Tower Last Updated: July 10, 2024 Game Start: 7:05pm EST

Two of the Senior Circuit's top clubs will battle on national television this Wednesday. Citizens Bank Park will host the Los Angeles Dodgers (55-36; 27-17 away) and Philadelphia Phillies (58-32; 33-14 home) at 7:05 p.m. EDT. This week's series marks the first clash between the teams in 2024. Last year, LA won four of the six head-to-head matchups. Will the Phillies get them back this year?

(Published before Tuesday's game)

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Los Angeles Looking Good

On the road for the rest of the first half, the Dodgers have a healthy 7.5-game lead in the NL West. Last weekend, they took two of three from another division leader, the Brewers. LA's strong season stems from a lethal offense, even with Mookie Betts and Max Muncy sidelined. The Dodgers are third in runs per game, averaging 5.03. They lead the majors in OBP thanks to the second-highest walk rate. Los Angeles is also seventh in batting average, second in slugging percentage, third in home runs, sixth in stolen-base percentage, and 11th in strikeout rate. They've scored more (5.18) and hit better (.263 batting average) on the road all season. Will it continue against Philadelphia's elite pitching staff?

On the mound, the Dodgers have the seventh-lowest ERA in the league despite a ton of injuries. The bullpen has MLB's fourth-highest LOB%, which has helped them rank fourth in ERA. So, Gavin Stone, Wednesday's starter, just has to avoid any big blows early to give the team a chance. He is 9-2 with a 3.03 ERA, 3.52 FIP, and 1.196 WHIP midway through his sophomore campaign. Stone has held LA's foe to two or fewer runs in six straight road starts, hence his 2.30 away ERA. Let's see if he can keep the streak alive.

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Philadelphia's Homecoming

The Phillies lost three of their last four to close out a road trip, mostly due to an ice-cold offense. Only once in those four games did they muster more than two runs. Missing Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, they'll try to regain their footing. Philadelphia is sixth in scoring, putting up 4.91 runs per contest. They're third in batting average, third in OBP, seventh in slugging, seventh in homers, fourth in stolen bases, and seventh in walk rate. In almost every facet, this is a top-10 bunch offensively. Can they shake off their recent rough patch?

Even without mustering much at the plate, this team can compete thanks to what is arguably the league's top pitching staff. Philadelphia's relievers lead the majors in FIP and WAR. The rotation is also tops in WAR, something that Christopher Sanchez can add to this game. As a lefty, Sanchez has a 2.96 ERA, 2.58 FIP, and 1.243 WHIP. His home ERA is a dazzling 1.35. No opponent has scored more than two runs against Sanchez in Citizens Bank Park. Will he dominate at home yet again?

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Best Bets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Picking a winner here is tough. Both starting pitchers have been fantastic, especially in their respective relevant home/road splits. The bullpens can get out of jams. Each offense is top-10 in scoring.

The difference is that Philadelphia's offense appears to be in a slump. They scored 11 runs in the four games preceding this series, and eight of those came in the lone win. The Dodgers are already scoring more than them this season. LA's bats are more reliable and that should be the difference in a tight victory.

Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers +100

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


With all due respect to two great offenses, this total is set too high. Gavin Stone owns a 2.30 road ERA. Cristopher Sanchez's ERA at home is 1.35. Both bullpens are top-10 in ERA.

So, a visiting lineup missing Mookie Betts and Max Muncy will have a tough matchup. Same for the home team that's playing without Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber. Take the under in a game that should have a postseason feel.

Prediction: Under 9.5

Author Profile

Andre Ifill , "The Tower"

Watching, playing, and talking about sports has always been an essential part of my life. I graduated from the University of Connecticut with a degree in Communication, and now, I'm striving to be an essential voice in sports media for decades to come. You'd be hard-pressed to find someone more competitive than me, and that extends into my sports betting predictions as well. We're all here to win, and my goal is to make that happen every single night while letting my personality shine in the process. I am honored to be apart of this team.