Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction and Picks - July 10, 2024

Author: Mark Ruelle Last Updated: July 9, 2024 Game Start: 2:10pm EST

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The Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox wrap up their three-game series on Wednesday afternoon in Chicago. The Twins are chasing the Guardians in the AL Central Division while the White Sox have the worst record in the division. The pitching matchup on Wednesday features Twins' righty Pablo Lopez (8-7, 5.18) taking on the White Sox' righty Drew Thorpe (3-1, 3.71). The first pitch is scheduled for 2:10 PM EST.

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MInnesota's Lopez Back on the Hill

The Minnesota Twins are in prime playoff position as the season heads toward the All-Star Break. The defending AL Central Division Champions are very much in the hunt for the division crown despite the red-hot start from the Cleveland Guardians. A three-game series with the floundering White Sox gives them an opportunity to gain ground in the standings. In the opener, the Twins overcame a three-run deficit and pulled out an 8-6 win in 11-innings. Tuesday night's game was canceled due to rain to set up today's doubleheader.

The Twins will turn to hard-throwing righty Pablo Lopez in the series finale. Lopez is 8-7 on the season with an ERA of 5.18 and a WHIP of 1.19 in 18 starts, including eight quality starts. Lopez has allowed 96 hits in 99 innings pitched including 17 home runs. Lopez has walked 22 batters this season and struck out 116. In his last start, a 13-12 loss vs the Astros, Lopez went five innings and gave up eight hits and six runs while striking out six.

Key Injuries: LF Austin Martin, RP Brock Stewart, and RP Zack Weiss are out.

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White Sox Turn to Thorpe on Wednesday

The Chicago White Sox are on pace to have possibly the worst record in the storied history of the franchise in 2024. The White Sox are well on their way to 100 losses unless they are able to turn things around after the All-Star Break. That seems unlikely given that the White Sox will likely be selling off many of their key veteran assets at the Trade Deadline to bolster their farm system. In game one of this series, the White Sox blew a 5-2 lead and fell to the Twins in 11-innings, 8-6. The White Sox will try regroup after Tuesday night's rainout.

The White Sox will go with youngster Drew Thorpe in the series finale on Wednesday afternoon. Thorops is 3-1 in five starts this season including three quality starts already. Thorpe has allowed 16 hits in 26.2 innings pitched with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.13. He has struggled with command, walking 14 batters while striking out 18 and giving up two home runs. In his last start, a 3-2 win over Miami, he went 6.1 innings and allowed three hits and one run while striking out five batters.

Key Injuries: SP Mike Clevinger, RP Lane Ramsey, and RP Matt Foster are out.

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Best Bets for Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


The White Sox are well on their way to 100 losses but I like their chances on Wednesday afternoon in the series finale against the Twins. Thorps has been outstanding since taking a spot in the rotation, with three quality starts in his first five starts. Lopez has been painfully inconsistent for the Twins despite his high strikeout total. He has coughed up 17 home runs on the season and is coming off an effort against the Astros that included six earned runs and eight hits in just five innings of work. The White Sox lineup has added back some key pieces in recent weeks and has more ability to produce runs. I'm going to take the White Sox in a minor upset in the series finale.

Take the White Sox with the money line.

Prediction: White Sox ML

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Thorpe has been arguably the most consistent pitcher for the White Sox since stepping into the rotation. He is 3-1 on the season in his five starts and has consistently kept the light-hitting White Sox in games that he has started. The White Sox have gone under the total in four of his five starts this season. Even though Lopez has struggled, he is still facing a White Sox lineup that is last in MLB in batting average and is in the bottom three in runs per game this season.

Take the under.

Prediction: Under

Author Profile

Mark Ruelle , "Mark Ruelle"

Mark has been a sports fanatic since childhood. He is also an avid follower of sports analytics and has used it in his own betting analysis for over two decades. Now we have Mark on our team here at Stat Salt. He holds degrees in marketing, broadcasting, and English and uses this vast array of assets to dissect and analyze game matchups. Mark will provide you with a wide variety of statistics to consider and a strong opinion in each matchup that he covers. Please follow him daily for an up-to-the-minute analysis of all the important games.