Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction and Picks - July 10, 2024

Author: The Tower Last Updated: July 10, 2024 Game Start: 7:10pm EST

Old Junior Circuit foes will face off in Fenway Park this week. The Oakland Athletics (34-59; 12-33 away) are visiting the Boston Red Sox (49-40; 20-23) for a three-game set. Wednesday's matchup is round two, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EST. In April, when these teams first met, Boston swept the A's. Will Oakland get even now that they're the visiting team?

(Published before Tuesday's game)

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Oakland Hates the Road

The Athletics weren't projected to make much noise this season. Still, their record is awful, and a lot of it stems from MLB's second-worst road record. Somehow, despite a cavernous home park, Oakland's OPS dips to .642 on the road. That's troubling for a team that's overall ranked 28th in runs per game. This lineup is 28th in batting average, 27th in OBP, and 20th in slugging percentage. They have MLB's second-highest strikeout rate. Along with that, they're 23rd in stolen bases. When Oakland succeeds offensively, it's usually due to the long ball. The A's are sixth in homers this season. Where will it get them on Wednesday?

Unfortunately, Oakland's pitching hasn't been much better. This staff's ERA jumps to 4.77 in away games. Some good news is that the bullpen is ninth in ERA and can close a lead. JP Sears will get the ball trying to give his relievers a chance. He tossed five two-hit, scoreless innings last time out, snapping a four-start stretch of at least three runs allowed. Sears brings a 4.74 ERA, 4.78 FIP, and 1.274 WHIP into this outing. Let's see if he can build off his latest performance.

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Boston Building Momentum

The Red Sox, having a streaky season, are on a heater. They entered this series amid a 6-1 stretch after blanking the Yankees. Back in Back Bay, they'll try to shake off their slow start at home. Boston's season has been powered by pitching, a trend that Nick Pivetta would like to continue. He brings a 4.06 ERA, 4.14 FIP, and 1.136 WHIP into this start. Pivetta has a 5.52 ERA in Fenway, including nine runs allowed between his last two home starts. Reinforced by relievers who are top-10 in ERA, FIP, and WAR, will Pivetta give them a chance to shut the door?

At the plate, the Red Sox have not been as potent in their hitter-friendly park. They average 4.16 runs and have a .726 OPS at home. Overall, the team puts up 4.60 runs per contest (12th) thanks to a .739 OPS. The team is ninth in batting average, ninth in OBP, and sixth in slugging percentage for the year. They have the 10th-most homers and sixth-most stolen bases. If looking for a flaw, it's a strikeout rate that's 27th in the majors. Let's see if they can continue to overcome that and earn another win.

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Best Bets for Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox

Full-Game Side Bet

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When the Red Sox are on a roll like this, not many teams have been able to slow them down. Oakland shouldn't, not with an offense that is 28th in scoring and even worse when they travel. Pivetta and a bullpen that's third in WAR will keep them in check.

All Boston has to do is crack JP Sears, who has a 4.74 ERA this season. He has allowed at least three runs in four of his past five starts. Expect an early barrage to be enough for Boston to cruise to victory.

Prediction: Boston Red Sox -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Oakland's starting pitcher, Sears, has a 4.82 ERA on the road. Boston's starter, Pivetta, brings a 5.52 home ERA into this outing. In a venue that favors hitters, these two should give up plenty of runs.

Especially since both offenses are top 10 in homers. Either side could score runs in bunches on a warm night like Wednesday. Anticipate plenty of guys touching the plate in a high-scoring battle.

Prediction: Over 9.5

Author Profile

Andre Ifill , "The Tower"

Watching, playing, and talking about sports has always been an essential part of my life. I graduated from the University of Connecticut with a degree in Communication, and now, I'm striving to be an essential voice in sports media for decades to come. You'd be hard-pressed to find someone more competitive than me, and that extends into my sports betting predictions as well. We're all here to win, and my goal is to make that happen every single night while letting my personality shine in the process. I am honored to be apart of this team.