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Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays,
7-11-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#913 Detroit
Tigers 8
#914 Tampa Bay
Rays -135

Wednesday, July 11, 2018 at 12:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Detroit Tigers
J. ZIMMERMANN

40 - 54

4
W's
0
L's
3.67
ERA
1.05
WHIP

Tampa Bay Rays
H. WOOD

47 - 44

0
W's
0
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

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The American League Central meets the American League this afternoon as the Detroit Tigers grapple with the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field in Tampa, Florida in the final game of a three-game set. The Rays took game one of this series by a 10-9 in 10 innings. Pitching Probables: Jordan Zimmermann (4-0, 3.51 ERA) will get the nod for the Tigers, while the Rays will be sending out Hunter Wood (0-0, 2.00 ERA).

Tigers Fall In Wild Game One

The Detroit Tigers continue to have a rough season as they are now at 13 games under .500 for the year and 11 games out of first in the American League Central after losing to the Tampa Bay Rays on Monday night by a score of 10-9 in 10 innings. The Tigers trailed the game by a score of 5-0 after the first innings and 7-3 after the 3rd, but they were able to fight back and then tied the game at 9-9 in the 8th inning. The Rays eventually won it in the 10th. Leading the attack for the Tigers was Niko Goodrum, who had two hits and three RBIs, while Victor Martinez and Jose Iglesias each had a hit and two RBIs. Francisco Liriano had a horrible start as he allowed seven ERs on eight hits and a walk while striking out three in just 2.1 innings of work. He was saddled with a no-decision while taking the loss was Blaine Hardy and he is now 3-2 with a 3.40 ERA on the year. The Tigers have averaged 3.56 rpg and have allowed 4.87 rpg on the road for the year so far.

Getting the nod for the Tigers in this one will be Jordan Zimmermann and he has gone 4-0 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in 11 starts on the year, including 2-0 with a 4.68 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in six starts on the road. In his career, he has gone 40-36 with a 3.77 ERA in 113 starts on the road and 11-12 with a 4.14 ERA in 36 starts during the month of July, plus 30-22 with a 3.71 ERA in 77 games (76 starts) in the daytime, while against the Rays he has gone 1-1 with a 3.68 ERA in six starts, including 0-0 with a 5.29 ERA in three starts here at the Trop.

The Tigers have been a below average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 23rd in the league in scoring, putting up 4.03 rpg, while also ranking 13th in hitting at .248 and 29th in homers with 75. On the mound, they have been below average so far as they enter this contest ranked 21st in the league in ERA at 4.38, while also ranking 20th in WHIP at 1.34 and 26th in K’s with 696. The bullpen ranks 25th in the league with a 4.54 ERA.

Gomez Leads Rays Over The Tigers

A few days ago, Carlo Gomez took his frustrations out on a water cooler. It must have helped as on Monday night he took his frustrations out on a baseball as he had three hits and drove in three runs in Tampa Bay’s 10-9 win in 10 innings. Daniel Robertson and C.J. Cron also had a nice game with three hits and an RBI each, while Wilson Ramos had their only homer of the game. He now has 13 on the year. The Rays pounded out 16 hits in the game overall. It was a wild game and much higher scoring than the Rays have been used to of late as their previous 10 games had averaged just 5.90 rpg. Chris Archer got the start and allowed three ERs on six hits and two walks while striking out three in 3.1 innings of work to grab a no-decision. Matt Andriese eventually won the game for them and is now 2-3 with a 3.63 ERA on the year. The Rays used eight relievers in the game, which could mean it is a bit tired out. Tampa Bay has averaged 4.17 and has allowed 3.24 rpg.

Tampa Bay will trot out Hunter Wood in this one and he has gone 0-0 with a 2.00 ERA in four games on the year. They have all been out of the pen. This will be his first MLB start. Wood was 27-26 with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP in 140 games (73 starts) in the minors in his career, including 2-2 with a 3.00 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP in 24 games (two starts) at Durham this year.

Tampa Bay has been rather poor on offense so far as they come in ranked 25th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.97 rpg, while also ranking 11th in hitting at .251 and 26th in homers with 80. On the mound, they have been very solid in the early going as they come in ranked 8th in the league in ERA at 3.57, while also ranking 3rd in WHIP at 1.18 and 18th in K’s with 754. The Rays’ pen is 7th in the league in ERA at 3.50.

Trends

Detroit is:

  • 4-1 in Zimmermann’s last five road starts vs. a team with a winning record
  • 7-2 in Zimmermann’s last nine starts during game three of a series

Tampa Bay is:

  • None Available

The Tigers have not been playing good ball at all, but I feel that they have a chance to take this one. Jordan Zimmermann was horrible for the Tigers last year, but he has turned it around this year as he has gone 4-0 with a 3.50 ERA overall, including 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in his last three starts. He should be able to hold a less than stellar Tampa offense down. The Rays have played well of late and will enter their game on Tuesday having won their last three games in a row, but this is still an inconsistent team and I feel that the Tigers will be able to take advantage of that. Go with the Cats in this one.

Pick: Detroit

The Rays and Tigers put up 19 runs in game one of this series, so what will happen in this one? Well, we note that the Over is 5-2 in Zimmermann’s last seven road starts, but we must also take note of the fact that the Under is 8-1 in Tampa Bay’s last nine Wednesday games. The Rays 10 games prior to the one on Monday, averaged just 5.90 rpg and I will look for this one to return to the norm. Tampa Bay has not been a great offensive team this year and Jordan Zimmerman has been on fire with a 0.90 ERA in his last three starts. The Tigers have averaged just 3.56 rpg on the road, while the Rays have allowed just 3.24 rpg here at home. Lastly, we note that the Under is 18-6 in Tigers last 24 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 16-6 in Tampa Bay’s last 22 home games. Look for the under to cash in this one.

Pick: Under

Confidence: 3

David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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