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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves,
7-11-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#927 Toronto
Blue Jays 9
#928 Atlanta
Braves -160

Wednesday, July 11, 2018 at 7:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Toronto Blue Jays
S. GAVIGLIO

42 - 48

1
W's
2
L's
3.97
ERA
1.28
WHIP

Atlanta Braves
M. FOLTYNEWICZ

50 - 40

6
W's
5
L's
2.37
ERA
1.11
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Interleague MLB action on Wednesday evening and we will see the Toronto Blue Jays duke it out with the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park in Atlanta, Georgia in game two of a two-game series. These teams split the first two games this year. Pitching Probables: Sam Gaviglio (2-2, 3.81 ERA) will get the nod for the Blue Jays and the Braves will counter with Mike Foltynewicz (6-5, 2.37 ERA). 

The Blue Jays Will Be Sellers At The Deadline

The Toronto Blue Jays will enter their game on Tuesday sitting seven games under .500 for the year, 20.5 games out of first in the American League East and 15 games out of a wildcard slot. It has been a rough year for them and that will most likely make them sellers at the trade deadline. The biggest name to be on the trading block is J.A. Happ, who has had an outstanding season on a bad team and is currently drawing interest from the Yankees and Cubs. They could also get rid of Josh Donaldson, but they have lost some bargaining power with him currently on the DL. Other names to watch are Marco Estrada and Curtis Granderson. The Jays have some nice pieces to trade away in hopes of building a team that can compete with the Red Sox and the Yankees in the American League East. The Blue Jays have averaged 4.28 rpg and have allowed 5.12 rpg on the road so far.   

Taking the hill for the Blue Jays will be Sam Gaviglio and he has gone 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in 11 games (nine starts) on the year, including 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP in four starts on the road. In his career, he has gone 3-5 with a 5.92 ERA in 11 games (nine starts) on the road and 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in four starts during the month of July, plus 2-1 with a 4.91 ERA in five games (four starts) in interleague play. This will be his first meeting with the Braves.

Toronto has been average on offense so far as they come in ranked 15th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.39 rpg, while also ranking 25th in hitting at .236 and 9th in homers with 117. On the mound, they have been poor so far as they come in ranked 23rd in the league in ERA at 4.53, while also ranking 25th in WHIP at 1.38 and 19th in K’s with 746. The pen for the Jays ranks 16th in the league with a 3.94 ERA.

Braves Figure To Be Active Heading To the Trade Deadline

The Atlanta Braves are right in the thick of the National league Race as they will enter their game on Tuesday sitting just one game out of first and that has them looking to be buyers at the trade deadline as they look to build for a stretch run. The biggest name the will be going after is Manny Machado of the Baltimore Orioles. One of their needs is at third base. Johan Camargo is their current everyday player at that position, but getting Adrian Beltre from the Rangers or Mike Moustakas from the pathetic Royal would be a very good option for them and they do have some bargaining chips in a very solid farm system. They could also use another solid starter, especially one with postseason experience and J.A. Happ fits the bill in that respect, but they may not be able to outbid the Yankees or Cubs for him. They would also like to shore up their bullpen and there will be a plethora of quality relievers that they could choose from to go after. The Braves figure to be very active as the deadline approaches. Atlanta has averaged 4.85 rpg and has allowed 4.21 rpg here at home for the year.    

Taking the hill for the Braves will be Mike Foltynewicz and he has gone 6-5 with a 2.37 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in 17 starts on the year, including 2-1 with a 2.18 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in eight starts here at home. In his career, he has gone 14-10 with a 4.01 ERA in 46 games (39 starts) in his home games and 6-5 with a 4.73 ERA in 16 games (13 starts) during the month of July, plus 6-3 with a 4.15 ERA in 12 games (10 starts) in interleague play, while against the Blue Jays he has gone 1-0 with a 4.05 ERA in two games (one start).

Atlanta has been very good on offense so far as they enter this contest ranked 6th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.91 rpg, while also ranking 5th in hitting at .259 and 19th in homers with 96. On the mound, they have been solid in the early going as they come in ranked 12th in the league in ERA at 3.89 while also ranking 14th in WHIP at 1.29 and 12th in K’s with 790. The pen for the Braves comes in ranked 20th with a 4.28 ERA.

Trends

Toronto is:

  • 4-12 in their last 16 road games
  • 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record

Atlanta is:

  • 11-4 in their last 15 home games vs. a right-handed starter
  • 17-8 the last 25 games in this series.  

The Braves have a game on Tuesday night and that is their first game back after a long road trip. Normally teams in that position struggle, but they play far better in their second game off a long trip. Sam Gaviglio has pitched very well at home this year, but on the road, he has gone just 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA. he will be facing a solid Atlanta offense that has averaged 4.85 rpg here at home for the year. The Jays have not been a good offensive team away from home and the Braves have allowed just 4.21 rpg here at SunTrust Park so far, plus we note that Mike Foltynewicz is 2-1 with a 2.18 ERA here at home. The Braves really need this game, especially if they lose on Tuesday night as they do not want to start fading in the National League East. Take Atlanta to grab a much-needed home win in this one.

Pick: Atlanta

The Blue Jays are not going to be in the mix for a playoff spot this year, while the Braves are fighting for a division title. This is a huge game for Atlanta as they look to keep pace with the Phillies in the National League East. Atlanta must rely on their bats to get the job done and they should do just that as Sam Gaviglio has a 6.75 ERA on the road so far, with his road games averaging 11.50 rpg so far. The Blue Jays are not a great offensive team, but the Braves have allowed 5.00 rpg in their last 10 games. I will look for the bats for both teams to have a good showing in this one as we go Over the total, especially since the Over is 18-5 in Toronto’s last 23 interleague road games and 16-5 in Atlanta’s last 21 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

Pick: Over

Confidence: 2

David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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