Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#911 Cincinnati Reds 12.5 vs.
#912 Colorado Rockies -135
Friday, July 12, 2019 at 8:40pm EDT
Written by Ricky Dimon

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The Colorado Rockies and Cincinnati Reds will get a three-game series started when they clash at Coors Field in Colorado on Friday night.

Shades of Gray

The Reds are in last place in the NL Central but stand just 4.5 games back of the Cubs in the division race and the same amount behind Philadelphia for the second wild-card spot. Eugenio Suarez and Yasiel Puig both have 20 homers for Cincinnati, which has received good pitching and ranks third in the majors with a 3.77 ERA. Puig, who is 10-for-19 with three homers and six RBIs during a five-game hitting streak, is batting .314 with 12 HRs in 75 games against the Rockies.

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Right-hander Sonny Gray (5-5, 3.59 ERA) is taking the mound for Cincinnati on Friday and will face Jon Gray. Sonny was added to the NL All-Star team but didn’t pitch in the contest so he is well-rested for this series opener. The 29-year-old last pitched on July 3 when he matched his career high of 12 strikeouts and allowed just four hits while tossing eight shutout innings in a victory over the Milwaukee Brewers. Sonny, who has won his past three decisions, has never faced the Rockies in his seven big-league seasons.

Rockies need to start rolling

The Rockies are sliding in the wrong direction as they resume play after the all-star break by hosting Cincinnati on Friday in this opener of a three-game series. They lost their final six games prior to the break and have dropped 11 of their past 15 games to fell one game below .500 at 44-45. Colorado is in fourth place in the National League West–14.5 games behind the Dodgers–and stands 2.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL’s final wild-card spot. All-stars Nolan Arenado and Charlie Blackmon, with 20 homers apiece, are trying to keep the Rockies above water as the pitching staff struggles with an NL-worst 5.16 ERA.

Jon Gray (9-6, 3.92) will oppose Sonny on Friday. Jon won four consecutive decisions before losing to the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday. The 27-year-old gave up three runs and eight hits in five frames after allowing just three earned runs over 18.2 innings in his previous three turns. Jon is 4-0 with a 4.37 ERA in four career outings against the Reds and has struggled with Puig (7-for-17), Joey Votto (7-for-12), and Derek Dietrich (7-for-14).

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Rockies have been reeling, but Gray has been getting along nicely. Pitching has been Colorado’s problem; it shouldn’t be with Gray on the mound. Arenado and Blackmon will likely provide enough support for the home team to win this one. Perhaps most importantly for the Rockies, Cincinnati stinks on the road.

Prediction: Colorado Rockies

Full-Game Total Pick

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Colorado outfielder David Dahl was 1-for-16 with seven strikeouts in the last four games prior to the break. Votto is mired in a 10-game homer-less drought. Both pitchers, meanwhile, are in solid form at the moment. The under is 38-14-1 in the Reds’ last 53 on the road. It is also 4-0 in the Rockies’ last four overall. Additionally, the under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings between the two teams and 7-0 in Cincinnati’s last seven at Colorado. Look for this one to stay under the total.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is based in Atlanta, Georgia. Prior to joining the Winners & Whiners Staff, he worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.