Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#903 Washington Nationals -130 vs.
#904 Philadelphia Phillies 9
Friday, July 12, 2019 at 6:05pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Philadelphia Phillies will return from the All-Star break with a three home series against the Washington Nationals starting Friday night from Citizens Bank Park. The Nationals will give the starting call to 30-year-old right-hander Stephen Strasburg, and 26-year-old right-hander Nick Pivetta will take the mound for the Phillies. The Nationals lead the season series 7-4.

Strasburg Targets Fourth Straight Win

Stephen Strasburg will make his 19th start of the season, targeting his fourth consecutive victory. Strasburg was brilliant in his previous start, tossing 7.1 shutout innings against the Marlins in a 3-1 victory to lift his record to 10-4. The hard-throwing right-hander had a rough month of June, although overall he is having another effective season, filing a 3.64 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in 116.1 innings of work. Strasburg allowed six runs in four innings in his only start against the Phillies this season, and he features a 12-2 record and a stifling 2.72 ERA in 25 career starts against Philly. Jay Bruce is 9 for 25 against Strasburg, while Maike Franco is 9 for 27, and Rhys Hoskins is 1 for 13.

Anthony Rendon is feasting on the Phillies pitching this season, logging a .387 average with three homers and nine RBI’s in 31 at-bats. The 29-year-old third baseman is one of the best hitters in the game, and he enters this one hitting .304 with 20 jacks and 62 RBI’s. Rendon has driven in four runs in his last four games.

The Nationals are currently scoring an average of 4.94 runs on the season, ranking them 14th in the Majors. The Washington pitching staff is carrying a strong 4.38 team ERA, pegging them 14th overall. The Nationals stand at 21-22 on the road this season.

Pivetta Attempts to Put First Half Woes Behind Him

Nick Pivetta will get the nod for the 12th time of the year, aiming for his first win since June 8th. Pivetta was hit hard in his previous start, conceding six runs (five earned) in 5.2 innings against the Braves, leading to the defeat to drop his record to 4-3. The third-year right-hander had a rough first half, and he especially struggled in his last four starts. His ERA has plummeted to 5.84 to go with a 1.48 WHIP in 61.2 innings pitched on the season. The Nationals have plated 13 runs innine innings against Pivetta this season, and the right-hander now holds a 1-6 record and an abysmal 10.80 ERA in 31.2 career innings against the division foes. Adam Eaton is 3 for 8 against Pivetta, while Trea Turner is 4 for 14, and Antony Rendon is 10 for 18.

Phillies’ slugger Rhys Hoskins is heating up after an inconsistent June, collecting seven RBI’s in his last eight games overall. The 26-year-old 1st baseman is having an outstanding season, hitting .263 with 20 homers and 59 RBI’s, and he features a .401 on base percentage. Hoskins is 8 for 40 with three home runs and nine RBI’s against the Nationals pitching this season.

The Phillies are averaging 4.91 runs on the year, ranking them 15th in the big leagues. The Philadelphia pitching staff holds 4.64 team ERA, pegging them 19th overall. The Phillies are 27-17 on their home field this season.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am siding with the Nationals in this one. The Nationals have been one of the hottest teams in the Majors, and they have won 10 out of their last 12 games overall while the Phillies are very inconsistent. Nationals’ starter Stephen Strasburg has completely dominated the Phillies in his career, sporting a 12-2 record and a stifling 2.71 ERA.

Furthermore, Phillies’ starter Nick Pivetta is scuffling in a big way, squandering at least four runs in four consecutive starts, and the Nationals have scored 13 runs in 9 innings against the right-hander this season. All signs point to a convincing Nats’ victory.

Prediction: Washington Nationals

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The over is a strong play in this one. The Nationals are locked in at the plate and I expect their success to continue considering they are piling on the runs against the Phillies this season. Washington is averaging 6.09 runs in the 11 meetings this season, plus the over is 6-1 in Pivetta’s last seven starts against the Nationals.

In addition, the Phillies are also in a groove at the dish, scoring at least six runs in three out of their last four games, and the over is 4-0 in their last four overall, and 4-0 in their last four games against a starter with a WHIP below 1.15.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The over on the Nationals team total offered by PointsBet is a strong play. Nick Pivetta has posted disastrous results in his career against the Nationals, logging a 1-6 record and a terrible 10.80 ERA in 31.2 innings. The Nationals lineup is hitting a combined .408 against Pivetta, and I expect several runs again in this one.

Prediction: Nationals Team Total Over

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am selecting Stephen Strasburg to record the win. Strasburg features a 12-2 career record against the Phillies and I expect him to benefit from a ton of run support against a struggling Nick Pivetta. Strasburg features better stats on the road where he is 5-2 with a solid 3.19 ERA on the season.

Prediction: Strasburg to Record the Win
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.