Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#965 Boston Red Sox -215 vs.
#966 Baltimore Orioles 10
Friday, July 19, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Ricky Dimon

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The Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox will get a three-game series started when they clash at Oriole Park on Friday night.

Still looking up

The first week after the all-star break did not provide the big jump in the standings for which the defending champions were hoping, and the biggest tests are still to come. Boston will try to string some wins together and find the consistency that the 2018 squad featured when it visits the last-place Orioles for the opener of a three-game series on Friday. The Red Sox still lag behind in the AL wild card race and is struggling to make up ground on the Yankees and Tampa Bay in the American League East after coming out of the break and going 4-3 on a home-stand against the Dodgers and Blue Jays. The Red Sox, who will play 14 straight against the Yankees and the Rays after leaving Baltimore, finished off the series against Toronto with a 5-0 victory on Thursday.

Left-hander David Price (7-2, 3.16 ERA) is taking the mound for Boston on Friday. Price needed a season-high 113 pitches to get through 5.0 innings against the Dodgers on Sunday and was charged with four runs – one earned – on four hits and three walks without factoring in the decision. The Vanderbilt product issued a total of four walks in 24.2 innings in June but is at nine free passes in 16 frames this month.

Already selling

The Orioles already started selling by trading right-hander Andrew Cashner to Boston last weekend and will showcase the rest of their trade candidates as the rebuild continues. That includes closer Mychal Givens and outfielder Trey Mancini, who drove in three runs in Wednesday’s 9-2 victory over Washington.

Baltimore will send all-star left-hander John Means (7-5, 2.94 ERA) to the mound on Friday to oppose Price. Means posted his worst outing of the season coming out of the break on Saturday, surrendering six runs on eight hits – three home runs – over six innings in a loss to Tampa Bay. The left-hander posted a 1.71 ERA in four starts last month while allowing one home run. Means enjoyed plenty of success in his first three starts of the season against Boston, going 1-1 with a 2.12 ERA and 14 hits–no home runs–allowed in 17.0 innings.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Red Sox have taken seven of the first 10 H2H meetings this season. Boston is 4-0 in its last four series openers, 8-0 in Price’s last eight starts against the Orioles, 4-0 in his last four road starts against the Orioles, and 25-6 in its last 31 at Baltimore. The Orioles are 28-70 in their last 98 against the American League East, 17-58 in their last 75 against winning opponents, and 16-36 in the last 52 meetings between the two teams.

Prediction: Boston Red Sox

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Price worked a season-high 7.0 innings at home against Baltimore on April 14, scattering three hits without allowing a run in the win. Baltimore outfielder Dwight Smith is 0-for-28 over his last seven games. The under is 11-5-1 in Boston’s last 17 against starters with WHIPs under 1.15. It is also 4-1 in the Orioles’ last five overall, 4-1 in their last five at home, and 5-2 in their last seven against the American League East. Additionally, the under is 5-1 in Price’s last six starts against Baltimore. Look for this one to stay under the total.

Prediction: Under

Written By Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.