Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#969 Chicago White Sox 9 vs.
#970 Tampa Bay Rays -225
Friday, July 19, 2019 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino



#969 Chicago
#970 Tampa Bay


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The Tampa Bay Rays will host the Chicago White Sox in the three-game series opener Friday night from Tropicana Field. The White Sox will send 25-year old right-hander Reynaldo Lopez to the hill, and the Rays are expected to counter with 23-year old left-hander Brendan McKay. The Rays swept the White Sox in the lone series this season.

Lopez Rebounds with Gem Against Athletics

Reynaldo Lopez will be on the hill for the 20th time of the season, seeking his second straight Quality Start. Lopez was flawless in his previous start, allowing just one run (zero earned) in six innings against a pesky A’s lineup, although he received little run support and finished with the no-decision in a 3-2 White Sox’ loss. The fourth-year right-hander has not been able to put together a solid stretch of starts, and he owns a weak 5.97 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP paired with a 4-8 record in 104 innings pitched on the season. Lopez was rocked for eight runs in 4.1 innings against the Rays earlier this season, and he has now surrendered 11 runs to go with an 0-2 record in 10.1 career innings against Tampa Bay. Avisail Garcia is 1 for 3 against Lopez, while Kevin Kiermaier is 3 for 5, and Willy Adames is 1 for 3.

Jose Abreu is playing well, recording a sharp .314 average paired with eight RBI’s on the month. The 32-year old first baseman is having another productive season, logging a .275 average with 21 home runs and 68 RBI’s. Abreu hasn’t been able to solve the Rays pitching this season, going 0 for 13 in the three meetings. Sluggers Eloy Jimenez and Tim Anderson have landed on the injured list.

The slumping White Sox are scoring an average of 4.23 runs on the season, ranking them down at 27th in the big leagues. The Chicago pitching staff holds a weak 5.18 ERA, placing them 27th in the Majors. The White Sox are 17-31 on the road entering Thursday.

McKay Makes Fourth Career Start

Brendan McKay has been recalled for his fourth start of the season in this one. McKay last pitched on July 13th and he was sharp, tossing five shutout innings against the Orioles in a no-decision. The rookie left-hander has looked good in all three starts this season, holding his opposition to a total of only three runs in 16 innings, and he has only conceded one home run and one walk. McKay posted a stifling 1.85 ERA in the Minors this season.

Tommy Pham has made the most of his three career at-bats against White Sox starter Reynaldo Lopez, going 2 for 3 with two homers and three RBI’s. The 31-year old centerfielder is playing well, driving in seven runs on the month, and he is currently hitting .278 with 15 home runs and 42 RBI’s on the season. Pham is 4 for 12 with three RBI’s against the White Sox this season.

The Rays stand 19th in the Major Leagues with an average of 4.70 runs on the year. The Tampa Bay pitching staff stands second in all of baseball with a 3.39 team ERA. The Rays possess a 26-22 home record.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I am siding with the underdog White Sox in this one. The White Sox young lineup should be able to do some damage against lefty Brendan McKay. The White Sox are effective against lefties as they stand sixth in the Major Leagues with a .272 team batting average against left-handers which is significant considering they are only hitting .249 against right-handers.

Furthermore, White Sox’ starter Reynaldo Lopez enters this one with confidence after holding the Athletics to one run (zero earned) across six innings last time out, and he has allowed three or fewer runs in three out of his last four starts. Also, fatigue could be an issue for the Rays after playing a doubleheader in the Bronx that concluded late Thursday night.

Prediction: Chicago White Sox

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


The over is a solid play in this matchup. I expect the White Sox to get to McKay as he is making just his fourth career Major League start, and the White Sox are starting to heat up at the plate, scoring 11 runs in their last two games, plus the over is 5-1 in the White Sox last six games against the AL East.

In addition, the Rays have scored a combined 24 runs in three games against the White Sox this season, and overall they are consistently generating offense, plus the over is 3-0-1 in the Rays’ last four home games against a team with a road winning percentage below .400.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:


The over on the White Sox team total offered by PointsBet is a strong option. The White Sox were slumping at the plate, however, they are breaking out as they have scored at least five runs in each of their last two games. This is a good opportunity for them to carry their momentum forward against a rookie starter.

Prediction: White Sox Team Total Over

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

Insiders Status:


I am taking the Rays to score first. Reynaldo Lopez has trouble in the first frame where he holds a weak 6.16 ERA on the season. In addition, the Rays are very productive in the opening inning where they have scored 56 runs paired with an .817 OPS.

Prediction: Rays to Score First

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.