Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#967 Toronto Blue Jays -160 vs.
#968 Detroit Tigers 10
Friday, July 19, 2019 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Detroit Tigers will host the Toronto Blue Jays in the three-game series opener Friday night from Comerica Park. The Blue Jays will give the nod to 28-year old right-hander Marcus Stroman, and the Tigers will have 33-year old right-hander Jordan Zimmermann take the mound. The season series is tied 2-2.

Stroman Tallies Quality Start in 10th Loss of Season

Marcus Stroman will take the mound for the 20th time of the season, eying his sixth consecutive Quality Start. Stroman resumed his outstanding work by holding the Yankees to three runs in six innings in his previous start, although he was charged with the loss to dip his record to 5-10. The sixth-year right-hander is having a stellar season and he could be dealt by the deadline. Stroman features a 3.25 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in 110.2 innings logged on the year. He tossed seven scoreless innings against the Tigers in the lone meeting this season, and he owns a 1-1 record and a sharp 2.17 ERA in four career meetings. Jeimer Candelario is 2 for 8 against Stroman, while Nick Castellanos is 2 for 11, and Miguel Cabrera is 0 for 6.

Randal Grichuk is one of the hottest hitters in the Blue Jays’ lineup, sporting a .275 average with nine RBI’s in his last ten games overall. The 27-year old centerfielder is on pace for a career-high in RBI’s, and he is currently hitting .232 with 16 homers and 43 RBI’s on the season. Grichuk is 0 for 12 against the Tigers pitching this season.

The Blue Jays rank 27th in the Majors with an average of 4.32 runs on the season. The Toronto pitching staff owns a 4.91 team ERA, pegging them 23rd in the Major Leagues. Toronto holds an 18-32 road record entering Thursday.

Zimmermann Still Searching for First Win

Jordan Zimmermann will make his 12th start of the year, still searching for his elusive first win of the season. Zimmermann’s woes resumed last time out, surrendering seven runs in four innings against the Royals, resulting in the no-decision in a game the Tigers won. The veteran right-hander is having an awful season, logging a 7.01 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP accompanied with an 0-7 record in 52.2 innings pitched. Zimmermann had his best start of the season against the Blue Jays early in the season, tossing seven shutout innings, and he features a 2-1 record with a 2.51 ERA in five career starts. Freddy Galvis is 4 for 17 against Zimmermann, while Justin Smoak is 3 for 12, and Randal Grichuk is 0 for 6.

Jeimer Candelario has responded from a recent trip to the minors rejuvenated. The 25-year old third baseman has clubbed five home runs along with 13 RBI’s on the month after struggling most of the season. Candelario is now hitting .216 with seven homers and 22 RBI’s on the season, and he is a solid 6 for 18 with two RBI’s against the Blue Jays this year.

The Tigers are only averaging 3.66 runs on the season, ranking them down at 29th in the Major Leagues. The Detroit pitching staff is carrying a 5.14 team ERA, pegging them 26th overall. The Tigers are terrible at home where they own a 12-32 record on the season.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am confident the Blue Jays can come away with the road win. Blue Jays’ starter Marcus Stroman has neutralized multiple tough lineups recently, holding the Red Sox, Angels, and Yankees all to three or fewer runs all within his last four starts, so I am confident he can shut down the low scoring Tigers.

Furthermore, Tigers’ starter Jordan Zimmermann is having a disastrous season. He owns an 0-7 record, and he has surrendered seven runs in back-to-back starts. That is not good news considering the Blue Jays have scored a combined 22 runs in their last four games.

Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect a high scoring game. The over is usually the safer bet when Jordan Zimmermann is on the mound. The right-hander holds a terrible 7.01 ERA on the season, and a 7.20 ERA at Comerica Park, plus over is 7-2 in his last nine starts.

In addition, while I expect most of the offense to occur from the Blue Jays, the Tigers have heated up at the plate, averaging 4.8 runs in their last ten games entering Thursday night’s game, and the over is 9-3 in their last 12 games overall, and 4-1 in their last five home games against the BlueJays.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The under on the Tigers team total offered by PointsBet is a strong play. The Tigers have shown some flashes of offense, however they cannot produce with consistency and they were just held to only 11 runs in four games against the Indians entering this series. Stroman features a 2.17 career ERA against the Tigers, and I expect another strong outing from the right-hander.

Prediction: Tigers Team Total Under

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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I expect Toronto to have a convincing lead early. Jordan Zimmermann especially has issues early as he owns a cumulative 7.91 ERA through innings 1-3 this season. Also, Stroman is very sharp early as he features a stifling 2.21 ERA through innings 1-3.

Prediction: Three Inning Line Toronto

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.