The Milwaukee Brewers will host the Chicago White Sox in the first contest of a three-game series beginning on Friday. This will be the first time these teams have met head-to-head this season. In 2020, the Brewers and White Sox each won two of the four contests against each other, with the road team winning all four times.
According to BetMGM, the Chicago White Sox enter this series with +750 odds to win the World Series, the third-best odds in baseball. The Brewer's odds are currently set at +1200 to take the Fall Classic, seventh in baseball.
White Sox in control of AL CentralThe White Sox began the second half of the season by winning two out of three games over the Houston Astros and then split a four-game series with the Minnesota Twins. The White Sox dropped their most recent game to Minnesota 7-2 on Wednesday, with Dylan Cease taking the loss. Chicago is still very much in control of the American League Central with a 58-38 record, holding an 8.5 game lead over the second-place Cleveland Indians, the largest division lead in MLB.
Chicago is a well-balanced team, ranking second with a .338 batting average, fourth with 489 runs scored, and ninth with a .421 slugging percentage. Jose Abreu leads Chicago with 18 home runs and 75 RBI. Tim Anderson has a team-best .312 batting average and 16 stolen bases. The White Sox pitching has also done well with a 3.58 team ERA which ranks seventh in MLB and third with 952 strikeouts. Starting for the White Sox Friday will be Lucas Giolito, who is 8-6 with a 3.90 ERA in 19 starts this year.
Brewers look to end two game losing streakMilwaukee is first in the NL Central with a 56-41 record, currently 6.5 games ahead of the second-place Cincinnati Reds. The Brewers opened up the second half of the season by sweeping the Reds in a three-game series on the road but returned home and lost two straight games to the lowly Kansas City Royals.
Final. pic.twitter.com/YaE9ChqbWU— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) July 21, 2021
Although the Brewers have the third-best record in the National League, the team has not been great offensively. Milwaukee is 10th in MLB with 50 stolen bases, 17th with 114 team home runs, and just 29th with a .223 batting average. Avisail Garcia leads the team with a .257 batting average, 78 hits, 17 home runs, and 57 RBI.
- White Sox are 8-21 in their last 29 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 15-5 in their last 20 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
After coming off two disappointing letdown losses to the Kansa City Royals, I expect to see a much better version of the Brew Crew on Friday. The Brewers lost to the Royals 6-3 on Wednesday in a day game right after the Milwaukee Bucks won the city its first championship in 50 years. After having a full day off Thursday to soak up the championship energy in the city, expect the Brewers to come in inspired and win behind Freddy Peralta, who is 4-1 with a 2.04 ERA at home on the season.
Full-Game Total Pick
Although this game features a solid pitching match-up between Giolito and Peralta, the total here is low considering the offensive potential on both sides. The Brewers are averaging 4.2 runs per game at home this season, and the White Sox are averaging 5.4 runs per game on the road. The over has also cashed in seven consecutive starts made by Lucas Giolito. I expect this to be a highly competitive game that could potentially go into extra innings, as well. I think there is a good chance we see at least eight total runs scored in this game, so I will play the over.