Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#903 Chicago Cubs -145 vs.
#904 San Francisco Giants 9
Wednesday, July 24, 2019 at 3:45pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The San Francisco Giants will host the Chicago Cubs in the three-game series finale Wednesday afternoon from Oracle Park. The Cubs will give the starting nod to 35-year old left-hander Jon Lester, and the Giants will hand the ball to 26-year old right-hander Tyler Beede. The Giants have won the first two games of this series.

Lester Seeks Third Win in Last Four Starts

The Cubs will give the call to Jon Lester for the 29th time of the season in this one. Lester wasn’t sharp in his latest effort, allowing four runs on 12 hits in six innings against the Padres, leading to a no-decision in a 6-5 Cubs’ win. The 13-year veteran left-hander is having another outstanding season, registering a 3.87 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP paired with a 9-6 record in 107 innings pitched. Lester has dominated the Giants throughout his career, sporting a 5-1 record and a stifling 2.00 ERA in six starts. Brandon Belt is 0 for 9 against Lester, while Brandon Crawford is 4 for 14, and Pablo Sandoval is 0 for 6.

Javier Baez continues to shine at the dish in the number two spot in the batting order, belting two homers along with four RBI’s in his last four games. The sixth-year shortstop has lifted his average to .288 to go with 24 homers and 67 RBI’s. Baez went 0 for 4 in Monday’s series-opening loss against the Giants on Monday night. Cubs’ catcher Willson Contreras is questionable for this one with a foot injury.

The Cubs are currently averaging a solid 5.06 runs on the year, placing them 12th in the Major Leagues. The Chicago pitching staff possesses a 4.08 team ERA, good for ninth in the Majors. The Cubs are 18-29 on the road this season.

Beede Spins Gem in Tough No Decision vs. Mets

Tyler Beede will get the nod for the 13th time of the year, hunting for his third win of July. Beede was flawless in his previous performance, tossing eight shutout innings of three-hit ball against the Mets, however, he received no run support in a tough no-decision in a 1-0 Giants’ win. The second-year right-hander has turned his season around after a shaky start, and he enters this one with a 4.70 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP accompanied with a 3-3 record in 59.1 innings of action. This will mark his first career meeting against the Cubs. Beede has only issued one walk in his last three starts spanning 21.2 innings.

Giants’ veteran Buster Posey has fared well against Cubs’ starter Jon Lester, recording a .316 average with two RBI’s in 19 career at-bats. The 32-year old catcher is playing well, driving in six runs in his last eight games, and he is currently hitting .259 with five home runs and 28 RBI’s. Posey went 0 for 1 in Tuesday’s series opener. Evan Longoria remains out of the Giants lineup.

The Giants are only averaging 4.43 runs per game on the season, ranking them 23rd in the Major Leagues. The San Francisco pitching staff is carrying a 4.40 team ERA, pegging them 14th in the Majors. The Giants own a 25-27 home record.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am siding with the Cubs in this matchup. Cubs’ starter Jon Lester has dominated the Giants throughout his outstanding career, sporting a 5-1 record and a dazzling 2.00 ERA in six starts. While the Giants are hot, the Cubs are also locked in, winning seven out of their last 10 games entering Tuesday.

Furthermore, the Giants could have trouble keeping up with the Cubs offense. Giants’ starter Tyler Beede owns a weak 4.70 ERA on the season, so the Cubs experienced lineup should get to the young right-hander, while the Giants have plated a total of only 16 runs in their last five games. Look for the Cubs to avoid the sweep in this one.

Prediction: Chicago Cubs

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I anticipate a low scoring clash. The Giants struggle against left-handed pitching and their lineup is only hitting a combined .221 against southpaw Jon Lester, plus the under is 4-1-1 in the Giants’ last six home games.

In addition, the Giants pitching should at least contain the Cubs considering their recent performance, plus they feature an outstanding bullpen that stands sixth in the Majors with a 3.88 ERA on the season. The under is 6-0-1 in the Cubs’ last seven games overall, and it should convert again in this one.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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Rating:

The under on the Giants team total offered by PointsBet is a solid play. The Giants stand second last in all of baseball with a weak .665 OPS against left-handed pitching and last with a .233 average against lefties. Also, left-hander Jon Lester features a 2.70 career ERA at Oracle Park.

Prediction: Giants Team Total Under

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am taking the over on the first inning total. Jon Lester is susceptible to giving up runs early as he owns a 5.21 ERA in his 19 innings logged in the first inning this season. Giants’ starter Tyler Beede is even worse as he is carrying an 8.10 ERA in the first inning this season.

Prediction: First Inning Total Over

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.