Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#931 Colorado Rockies vs.
#932 Washington Nationals
Wednesday, July 24, 2019 at 1:05pm EDT
Written by Benjamin Hayes

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#931 Colorado
#932 Washington
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Colorado takes on Washington in Game 1 of a day-night doubleheader. This was a make up from Game 1 on Monday, which was postponed due to inclement weather. The Nats send out right-hander Erick Fedde against veteran right-hander Jon Gray.

(before Tuesday’s result)

Rockies are slipping from wild card race

Colorado came into the series against Washington having lost four straight to San Francisco at home and two of three at the New York Yankees. That places them at 5.0 games outside the last wild card spot, which is held by Washington (as of Tuesday afternoon). The Rockies’ issues usually stem from one major variable: pitching. In four of their last five games, they’ve allowed eight or more runs and 38 overall in those four losses. They rank 29th in the majors in ERA (5.52), 30th in WHIP (1.47) and 24th in quality starts. So if the Rockies miss out on the playoffs, they can point to starting pitching.

Fortunately, the Rockies can hit led by CF Charlie Blackmon (.319, 21 HR, 60 RBI), SS Trevor Story (.291, 22 HR, 58 RB(, 12sb) and 3B Nolan Arenado (.307, 22 HR, 76 RBI). Scoring is not an issue as Colorado averages 5.47 runs per game (4th) and hits .266 (6th).

Gray has been a bright spot on a lousy starting staff. Take into account that they play 81 games at the launching pad that is Coors Field. So having a 9-7 record with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP is not awful. But Gray’s last start against San Francisco was not a pretty one, as he gave up 11 hits, six runs, three walks and two dingers in 5.1 innings in an 11-8 defeat. Against Washington, he has four appearances and has allowed 17 runs and 25 hits over 18.2 innings.

Nats need Scherzer back

Washington is coming off a 2-2 split with Atlanta on the road this past weekend. Max Scherzer (back) missed Sunday’s start even though he’s eligible to come off the 10-day IL. This couldn’t be a worse time for Washington to lose Scherzer, who might return Thursday or Friday. He’s 9-5 with a 2.30 ERA with 181 strikeouts in 129.1 innings. Over his last nine starts, he’s been brilliant going 7 or more innings seven straight times and allowing one or less runs in eight of those starts. But age and workload may have caught up to Scherzer, although the Nats are in the thick of the wild card race, at 0.5 behind St. Louis.

Thanks to an injury to Austin Voth and Scherzer, the Nats will turn to Fedde, who is 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA this season. He’s started seven games and has gone 46.1 innings allowing 42 hits and 19 walks. In his last start, Fedde allowed one run and five hits in six innings against Baltimore on July 17. However, the Nats lost that game thanks to the bullpen, 9-2. The Washington bullpen is the biggest issue on the team. The Nats rank last in the majors in bullpen ERA at 5.93.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Colorado has taken three of the last four games against Washington and seven of 10. The Nats are playing better ball, but this is an excellent chance for the Rockies to take a game against Fedde with Gray starting. Fedde pitched well in his last start, but that was against Baltimore. Now he has to face the trio of Arenado, Blackmon and Story. That’s a daunting task for a pitcher who is basically a spot starter at best.

Prediction: Colorado

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

These teams have gone over in four of their last five games. The Rockies are 8-3 Over their last 11 Wednesday games. The Nats are an under team because they have outstanding starting pitching. That’s for the first four starters but after that, they are more likely to get shelled. Gray has also struggled lifetime against Washington in his four starts.

Prediction: Over

Written By Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!