Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#905 St. Louis Cardinals Cardinals 9.5 vs.
#906 Pittsburgh Pirates -105
Wednesday, July 24, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

Stats

Back

Teams
Logo
W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#905 St. Louis Cardinals
#906 Pittsburgh
53-47
46-54
-
-
-
-

More

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the St. Louis Cardinals will conclude a three-game NL Central series Wednesday evening from PNC Park. The Cardinals will send 37-year old right-hander Adam Wainwright to the hill, and 28-year old right-hander Jordan Lyles will take the mound for the Pirates. The Cardinals own a 7-4 lead in the season series which included a 4-3 win on Tuesday night.

Wainwright Squanders Season High 7 Runs

Adam Wainwright will make his 19th start of the year, eying his second road win of the season. Wainwright was rocked in his latest effort, surrendering seven runs in 3.1 innings against the Reds, although he managed to escape with the no-decision in a 12-11 Cardinals victory. The veteran right-hander was looking good prior to his latest start, and he enters this one with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP accompanied with a 6-7 record in 98 innings of work on the year. Wainwright has held the Pirates to five runs in 11 innings this season, and he is 13-7 with a 4.34 ERA in 211.1 career innings against the division foes. Adam Frazier is 3 for 15 against Wainwright, while Starlin Marte is 10 for 40, and Corey Dickerson is 5 for 11.

Paul Goldschmidt has played a big role in the Cardinals recent success, collecting 11 RBI’s in his last nine games. The 31-year old slugger has been inconsistent in his first season with the Cards, and he now owns a .248 average with 19 home runs and 48 RBI’s on the season. Goldschmidt is a stellar 10 for 21 with five RBI’s and six walks against Pirates’ starter Jordan Lyles. The Cardinals are dealing with a few injuries as Matt Carpenter, Yadier Molina, and Marcell Ozuna are all out of the lineup.

The Cardinals are scoring an average of 4.53 runs per game, ranking them 21st in the Major Leagues. The St. Louis pitching staff is pitching well, and they are sporting a 4.09 team ERA, good for 10th in the Majors. The Cardinals feature a 24-27 road record entering Tuesday.

Lyles Searching for First Victory Since Late May

Jordan Lyles will make his 17th start of the season, hunting for his first win since late May. Lyles was sharp in his previous start, limiting the Phillies to one run in 5.2 innings in a start that concluded with a no-decision. The eight-year veteran right-hander has served up 15 runs in his 10.1 innings pitched this month, and he owns a 4.91 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP paired with a 5-6 record in 80.2 innings of action. Lyles held the Cardinals to just one run in six innings in the lone meeting this season, and he stands at 1-3 with a 4.33 ERA in 35.1 career innings. Matt Carpenter is 1 for 15 against Lyles, while Paul DeJong is 2 for 6, and Dexter Fowler is 3 for 11.

Watch for Pirates’ star Josh Bell as he is a sizzling 6 for 14 with five RBI’s in his career against Cardinals’ starter Adam Wainwright. The 26-year old first baseman has cooled off recently, and he features a stellar .289 average with a team-leading 27 homers and 86 RBI’s on the season. Bell is feasting on the Cardinals pitching this season, going 10 for 34 with 10 RBI’s.

The Pirates stand 18th in the big leagues with an average of 4.67 runs on the season. The Pittsburgh pitching staff holds a 4.91 team ERA, positioning them 23rd in the Majors. The Pirates stand at 23-24 at PNC Park entering Tuesday.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am siding with the Pirates in this matchup. The Pirates need some wins quickly if they want to stay in the playoff picture. Adam Wainwright is a pitcher they should be able to solve for some runs. The veteran right-hander has issues on the road where he stands at 1-5 with an abysmal 7.16 ERA on the season.

Furthermore, Pirates’ starter Jordan Lyles rebounded by holding a good Phillies lineup to one run in 5.2 innings in his previous start, and he held the Cardinals to one run in six innings in a 2-1 victory in the lone meeting this season. Lastly, the Cards are missing a few key players as Carpenter, Molina, and Ozuna are all sidelined.

Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I expect plenty of runs from both sides in this one. The Cardinals are in a groove at the plate, averaging a respectable 5.1 runs in their last ten games, and 5.6 runs against the Pirates this season. Also, the over is 6-1 in their last seven games in Pittsburgh.

In addition, Adam Wainwright holds a weak 5.69 career ERA at PNC Park, and he was just crushed for seven runs in his previous start, plus the over is 7-2 in his last nine starts against the Pirates.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Pirates should have a strong night at the plate and the over on their team total offered by PointsBet is a strong play. The Pirates have several hitters with strong stats against Wainwright. Josh Bell, Corey Dickerson, and Colin Moran are all hitting over .300 against the right-hander.  Wainwright owns a .304 opponent batting average on the road this season, and I expect the Pirates to notch several base hits which will translate to runs.

Prediction: Pirates Team Total Over

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am going with Starling Marte to record a hit along with a Pirates win. Marte continues to shine at the dish, collecting another eight hits in his last four games, and he is hitting .301 on the month. Also, the veteran centerfielder has notched at least one hit in 9 out of the 11 games against the Cardinals this season.

Prediction: Starling Marte to Record a Hit/Pirates Win

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.