The Colorado Rockies will host the Chicago Cubs in the second game of a three-game series on Wednesday. Tuesday's game was not yet complete at the time of this prediction, but the Rockies were leading 7-2 in the fourth inning.
Both teams are in fourth place in their respective divisions and out of playoff contention. The Rockies entered the series with a 46-60 record, and the Cubs were 51-56 heading into Tuesday night.
Cubs looking towards futureThe Chicago Cubs shook up their roster at the trade deadline, shipping away three former cornerstone players Anthony Rizzo (Yankees), Kris Bryant (Giants), and Javier Baez (Mets). The Cubs went into this series with losses in five of their last six games. The Cubs are 21st in MLB, averaging 4.2 runs per game, and 28th with a .227 team batting average.
The Cubs pitching staff is 14th in MLB with a 4.19 team ERA, but 28th with 406 base-on-balls issues. On Wednesday, Chicago is scheduled to start Alec Mills, who is 4-4 with a 4.55 ERA.
Rockies among baseball's best when at homeDespite having the eighth-worst record in MLB this season, the Rockies have been the sixth-best home team in baseball this year at 33-20, compared to a 13-40 mark in road games, tied with Texas for the worst in baseball. Colorado's 5.5 runs per game offensively at Coors Field is the second-highest home total in MLB, and the pitching staff leads all of baseball with just 3.2 runs per game allowed at home.
The Rockies will start Jon Gray on Wednesday. The 29-year old right-hander is 7-6 with a 3.62 ERA on the season. At Coors Field, Gray is 5-2 with a 3.14 ERA.
- Cubs are 0-4 in Mills' last 4 road starts.
- Rockies are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
Despite a poor record overall, the Rockies are 33-20 at home this season and will be facing a Cubs team that is 10-29 as a road underdog this season. The Cubs starter Alec Mills is 0-3 with a 5.93 ERA on the road this season, and Chicago has lost five of their last six games that he has started overall. Colorado has won three of its last four games started by Gray, with each game coming against either the Padres or Dodgers. Take the Rockies to win at Coors Field on Wednesday against a struggling Cubs team.
Full-Game Total Pick
The under has cashed in Jon Gray's last six starts, and I expect that trend to continue against Chicago on Wednesday. Even before trading Bryant, Baez, and Rizzo, the Cubs were already a bad road offensive team, averaging 3.7 runs per contest away from Wrigley Field, the fourth-worst mark in MLB. Although I do expect the Rockies bats to show up, I don't expect to see enough two-way offense to go against the under.