Boston Red Sox vs. Washington Nationals Prediction and Picks - July 6, 2025

Author: Michael Briggs Last Updated: July 5, 2025 Game Start: 1:35pm EST

On Sunday, the Boston Red Sox will take on the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park, and we have you ready to go with our Red Sox vs. Nationals prediction. First pitch from Washington, DC is at 1:35 p.m. ET.

Boston beat Washington 11-2 on Friday. The Red Sox are 7-3 in their last ten meetings with the Nationals, and the under was 7-3 in those ten games. If you want the Red Sox vs. Nationals prediction, read on and check out our MLB Predictions to beat the sportsbooks!

*Article published before the conclusion of Saturday's game.

About the Author: Mike Briggs

I'm among the top handicappers at Winners and Whiners! Pick up a subscription for expert MLB analysis and useful baseball betting trends.

Boston will give the ball to their ace

Boston (44-45 SU, 43-46 RL, and 42-46-1 O/U) won two of three against Cincinnati in its previous series. The Red Sox are 4-6 in their last ten games (the over went 6-4).

Boston will start lefty Garrett Crochet on Sunday against Washington. In his previous appearance (6.0 IP win vs the Reds), the 26-year-old surrendered five runs on eight hits with nine strikeouts. He is 8-4 with a 2.34 ERA and 1.04 WHIP this year (18 starts), including 7-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 0.93 WHIP on the road (10 starts).

The Red Sox added several significant pieces this offseason, including Crochet, Alex Bregman (.299 BA/.385 OBP/.938 OPS), and Aroldis Chapman (1.29 ERA with 51 Ks in 35.0 IP), but the club hasn't been competitive enough. That contributed to management's decision to trade Rafael Devers (.261 BA/.384 OBP/.862 OPS) to San Francisco, signaling the white flag. How will the move affect the team going forward?

Boston Red Sox Baseball Injury Report: No new injuries to report for tomorrow's game against the Nationals.

Nationals are looking to a call-up for a spot start

Washington (37-51 SU, 45-43 RL, and 44-41-3 O/U) won two of three against Detroit in its previous series. The Nationals are 5-5 in their last ten games (the over was 8-2).

Washington hasn't named a probable starter for Sunday's game. The Nationals will look for a spot starter after losing Trevor Williams to an elbow strain. Cade Cavalli is anticipated to be named the starter, as the Nats recalled the right-hander on Friday evening. The 2020 first-round pick was 4-2 with a 4.32 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 12 minor league starts (50.0 IP) this year.

The Nationals boast an exciting young core with MacKenzie Gore (3.11 ERA in 18 starts), CJ Abrams (.287 BA/.358 OBP/.845 OPS), and James Wood (.292 BA/.395 OBP/.954 OPS). Former second-overall draft pick Dylan Crews (10-day IL) is also part of that group. Washington is unlikely to make a run into the MLB postseason, but the Nats are definitely on the come-up.

Washington Nationals Baseball Injury Report: No new injuries to report for Sunday's game against Boston.

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Prediction: Red Sox Cover Run Line

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Betting Trend: The over is 15-10 in Washington's games against the AL this year.

Boston scored 60 runs in its previous ten games and has been a solid run producer on the road this season, averaging 4.5 per game. With an unestablished spot starter taking the hill for Washington and the game's worst bullpen (5.91 ERA) waiting in the wings, the Red Sox should score early and often tomorrow in DC.

Washington also entered Saturday's action on a hot streak (61 runs scored in their previous ten games). These ballclubs rank 10th (Red Sox) and 11th (Nats) in wRC+ over the last two weeks. Crochet may limit the home team's bats on Sunday, but the visitors' bullpen has been shaky recently, ranking 26th in ERA (5.57) over the previous 14 days.

I favor a wager on the over in Sunday's interleague series finale between Boston and Washington!

Prediction: Over
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Author Profile

Michael Briggs , "Michael Briggs"

I jumped into sports betting headfirst due to an irresistible call to action. I am a sports writer by trade, earning my B.A. in Journalism with a sports reporting concentration from Michigan State in 2012. With my journalism background, I combine thorough research with a keen eye for hidden value to generate consistent profits for my clients. In my free time, I enjoy talking "shop" with like-minded people. This allows me to see different angles and avoid traps that derail my progress. In short, their insight and intuition assist or deter my decision-making process. The pitfalls to avoid in sports gambling are following the crowd, assumptions, gullibility, and lack of accountability. A bettor is never as hot or cold as their best and worst streaks. By dedicating yourself to obtaining knowledge, you will never feel like you know it all. At its core, sports betting is about intuition. When you can predict which way the wind will blow, you will never feel caught up in the current stream. Sometimes you need to be counterintuitive. Risk is in the mind of the beholder, but when you bet with me, you'll find that the reward justifies the wager!