In this Yankees at Mets prediction, the Subway Series wraps up on Sunday in Queens. The Yankees have stumbled out of first place after being swept by the Blue Jays heading into this series. The Mets continue their back-and-forth with the Phillies, trying to claim the NL East Division lead. The pitching matchup in the series finale features Yankees' ace Max Fried (10-2, 2.13) going against Brandon Waddell (0-0, 2.55), serving as an opener for the Mets. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:40 PM EST. Read on for more in this Yankees/Mets prediction, and grab our top MLB predictions to increase your bankroll!
New York hopes to finish series strong
The stumbling New York Yankees wrap up their Subway Series with the Mets, hoping to gain ground on the Toronto Blue Jays, who have passed them for the division lead in the AL East. The Yankees were caught from behind in Friday afternoon's series opener, 6-5, after holding a 5-3 lead after five innings. On Saturday, the Yankees lost their sixth straight, 12-6, to the Mets. They are now two games behind the Blue Jays in the AL East standings.
The Yankees will turn to their ace, Max Fried, in the series finale against the Mets. Fried has been everything the Yankees hoped for after signing him as their prized free agent this offseason. He comes into this game with a record of 10-2 in 18 starts, including 13 quality starts. He has an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 0.94. Fried has allowed just 84 hits in 114 innings of work, including nine home runs. He has walked 23 and struck out 106 batters. In his last start, a 12-5 loss to the Blue Jays, Fried allowed three hits and four runs in six innings of work, including two home runs. The Yankees have now lost three of Fried's last five starts. On the road, Fried is 6-2 with an ERA of 2.37 in 10 starts.
Key Injuries: RP Fernando Cruz, SP Luis Gil, and SP Clarke Schmidt are out.
Mets looking to close out series strong
The New York Mets appear to be in it for the long haul this season in their quest to win the National League East Division. Last season, the Mets got hot late and snuck into a wildcard spot before getting to the National League Championship series. On Friday night, the Mets drew first blood with a 6-5 win over the Yankees, thanks to a clutch two-run home run from Jeff McNeil. In game two of the series on Saturday, the Mets powered past the Yankees 12-6. Starter Frankie Montas picked up his first win of the season at the expense of his former team.
The Mets will look to close out the series with a win, but the task will be challenging in a bullpen game for the Mets' injury-riddled pitching staff. The Mets will turn to Brandon Waddell as the opener on Sunday. Waddell has made seven appearances, including two straight turns as an opener. He is 0-0 on the season with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.13. Waddell has allowed 15 hits in 17.2 innings of work, including two home runs. He has walked five and struck out 12. Don't expect Waddell to go deep into this game. His longest outing of the season has been three innings, which he's done in each of his last two starts. Waddell went three innings and allowed four hits and a run in his last turn against the Brewers at Citi Field.
Key Injuries: SP Kodai Senga, RP Yacksel Rios, and LF Jesse Winker are out.
Best Bets for New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status:
The Yankees are nearly in a must-win spot on Sunday with their ace on the hill in essentially a bullpen game for the Mets. Fried has not been as dominant in his last few starts, including losses against AL East rivals the Red Sox and Blue Jays. Overall, however, Fried has been outstanding. He has a dominant WHIP of 0.94 and is very familiar with this Mets team. The Mets will try to piece together pitchers on Sunday, a tough task against this Yankees' lineup. Expect Judge and company to push across more than enough runs for Fried to lead the Yankees to a much-needed win against their crosstown rivals.
Take the Yankees with the run line.
Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status:
Even with Fried on the hill, I like this game to go over the number. After struggling offensively for a few weeks, the Yankees appear back to their potent form. They have gone over the number in five straight games heading into Saturday's matchup in Queens. They have gone under the number in three of Fried's last five starts but over the number in two of his last three. The Mets have gone over the number in three of their last five games as well. They'll be forced to go with a bullpen game on Sunday with Waddell serving as the opener. They have gone over the number in two of Waddell's last three openers.
Take the over.
Want a second opinion on this pick?
For another opinion on this game, check out New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Prediction from Statsalt, our partner site.
